大城市住房价格影响因素的动态分析

本文以状态空间的可变参数模型为分析视角,对1998-2010年南京市住房价格变动的影响因素进行实证分析。在多变量分析框架下,根据Kalman滤波法,运用样本空间为13年的时间序列数据对参数进行连续地估计,并对其波动进行了阶段性动态分析。实证结果显示:从空间状态模型来看,市场环境的改变,如城市地区生产总值、城镇居民可支配收入、房地产开发投资额、金融机构存款余额、利率的变化、预期的转变等,住房销售价格都会通过供给与需求的后续调整来得到表现。最后,本文针对实证分析结果提出了若干建议。     

亲自然滨水景观的设计与研究——以秦皇岛市新开河河岸治理为个案

以秦皇岛市新开河河岸治理为例,对亲自然的滨水景观进行了研究,强调人对水环境和景观的参与性,体现人的社会属性,分析和论证了亲自然滨水景观的特点和优势。同时,指出亲自然滨水景观应坚持注重小尺度的连续性、减少水质破坏点和面、强化亲水氛围的舒适度、预知特殊事件的影响力、营造具有美感的整体构图等设计原则和方法。     

Homelessness,Public Space and Civil Disobedience

This paper argues that anti-social behaviour, in the context of homelessness, ought to be seen as acts of civil disobedience. Firstly, I identify public space as a hostile space for people experiencing homelessness. Secondly, I detail how this reveals a default interpretation of them as anti-social through their mere presence. Thirdly, I explore how this de-politicises. I go onto define and examine civil disobedience theory, as a counter narrative to anti-social behaviour. I then argue how acts of disruption by people experiencing homelessness in public space can qualify as civil disobedience. I acknowledge this as a wicked problem but claim that flipping the default framing of homelessness in this way has normative gain, undoing the de-politicising othering that anti-social behaviour narratives have caused.     

Persistent mind: The effects of information provision on policy preferences

In constitutional states, representatives exchange information, discuss the budget direction and agree on a budget. The agreement is assumed to hold for one fiscal year. To test the validity of this constitutional assumption, we implemented an online panel survey with a randomized conjoint design three times over one year in Japan to track the direction of respondents’ preferences within a multidimensional public policy space. The policy space consisted of spending on education, infrastructure, health insurance, pensions, and poverty relief programs, as well as fiscal retrenchment. Providing information on the poverty rate in the first wave directed respondents’ preferences toward support for poverty relief programs by either increasing or reallocating the budget. The effects persisted in the second wave 5 months later across a diverse range of respondent backgrounds and political positions. By the third wave one year later, the effects had diminished. Once placed in a multidimensional space, information exchange might have a more extended scope than unidimensional approaches have shown. This finding, we believe, can broaden our capability to implement policies for poverty reduction.     

《红楼梦》四季性意象结构的空间意识

《红楼梦》四季性意象结构,不仅在时序上呈现出有规律的四季循环,而且在空间上也有它坚实的环境坐标系,呈现出庭院结构的特点。庭院意识与四季意识的融合,构筑起《红楼梦》艺术结构既集中统一又四处伸展,既相对静止又流动变化的立体综合思维态势,充分体现出中国人传统素朴的整体观念和求统一的思维方式以及“天人合一”的思想,具有辩证综合、互补相济、直觉意象的特征,从而打破了旧小说单纯以结构故事为中心的单线推进式的平面性结构格局。大观园的四时气象主要通过梦之夏的铺陈来渲染出贾家的富贵繁盛,从而与梦之秋冬阶段的萧条空荡形成艺术上的极大反差,即一极热一极冷,一喜一悲,互为反衬,呈现出小说四季阴阳正反对比式结构,显得既博大万象又寓意深远。在四季性意象思维中,小说通过巧妙凝聚中国传统文化的园林意识,抒情性地而又画面生动地将对社会、人生和自然宇宙的思考有机贯通起来,达到了情深、景美、理透三者融合无间的至高境界。     

新媒体对个体透支型消费观念的影响— — —基于社会空间的视角

既有研究忽视了社会空间对新媒体与透支型消费观念的调节作用,文章基于中国社会综合调查数据(CGSS2010),运用有序Logit模型对其进行实证分析,得到如下三点发现:(1)地区位置上,较之东部地区,中西部地区个体的透支型消费观念更易受新媒体影响;(2)社会阶层中,个体所处阶层越高,新媒体对其透支型消费观念的影响越大;(3)社会空间中,新媒体对个体透支型消费观念的影响呈“W”分布,整体上呈现由强到弱的衰减趋势.其中,对东部地区上层,中西部地区中层及中西部地区下层个体的透支型消费观念具有显著影响,而对中西部地区上层、东部地区中层及下层个体的透支型消费观念影响有限.文章的结论和政策含义在于:新媒体促进了个体透支型消费观念,但社会空间呈现不规则性,这可能缘于权力结构的单一化,因而要改善权力结构失衡,合理引导新媒体资源的配置和纠正信息不对称.     

云南建水文庙的空间营造与审美域境

建水县古称临安,自古人文荟萃,元代以来,一度成为滇南政治、经济、文化中心。这里不但孕育了有“雅陶”之称的建水紫陶,亦以一大批保存完好的古建筑遗存而获“古建筑博物馆”的美誉,并因此于1994年被列为中国历史文化名城。在现存众多的古建筑中,始建于元代的建水文庙,属于典型的文化建筑代表。在综合考察建水建筑文化发展与传承及传统祠庙建筑一般特征的基础上,主要从平面布局、空间序列、建筑造型、装饰风格以及附属园林景观设计等方面,剖析其建筑与园林设计的视觉特征及美学内涵。     

Party on wheels: mobile party spaces in the Norwegian high school graduation celebration

Research on partying and nightlife often emphasizes commercial control while overlooking participants’ creativity and agency. Due to their age, appearance and transgressive partying, participants in the Norwegian high school graduation celebration have limited access to bars and pubs in the ordinary night‐time economy. To create alternative party spaces under their own control they utilize the spatial opportunities offered by automobility. Groups of students get together many years in advance and buy old buses which they refurbish to become rolling nightclubs that enable them to ‘transcend space’ through partying while on the move. These mobile party spaces provide a material and symbolic centre of communion and a tight space for physical assembly that enhances the production of intense positive emotions. In a cat‐and‐mouse game with the police, the buses provide a sense of nomadic autonomy, and enable participants to drink heavily for days on end. The study examines how youth may creatively zone their own party spaces within the context of automobility and how these mobile spaces again shape the partying that goes on within them. While this party practice opens up for autonomy, creativity and social transgressions reminiscent of liminal phases or carnivals, at a deeper level participants clearly reproduce class‐based differences and exaggerate conventional practices and symbols.     

开拓空间叙事新领域——论张世君《〈红楼梦〉的空间叙事》

本文论述张世君新著《〈红楼梦〉的空间叙事》的基本观点。它提出实体的场景空间、虚化的香气空间和虚拟的梦幻空间分别是文本叙事的三个空间层面。本书在理论上的创新意义在于建构了一个自成体系的全新的空间叙事构架 ,不仅填补了红学研究对空间叙事艺术整体研究的空白 ,还开拓了中西叙事理论都尚未涉及的空间叙事领域。在实践上的意义在于在细读文本的基础上 ,建立起论文的观点体系。     

Invariance and factorial models

Two factors having the same set of levels are said to be homologous. This paper aims to extend the domain of factorial models to designs that include homologous factors. In doing so, it is necessary first to identify the characteristic property of those vector spaces that constitute the standard factorial models. We argue here that essentially every interesting statistical model specified by a vector space is necessarily a representation of some algebraic category. Logical consistency of the sort associated with the standard marginality conditions is guaranteed by category representations, but not by group representations. Marginality is thus interpreted as invariance under selection of factor levels ( I -representations), and invariance under replication of levels ( S -representations). For designs in which each factor occurs once, the representations of the product category coincide with the standard factorial models. For designs that include homologous factors, the set of S -representations is a subset of the I -representations. It is shown that symmetry and quasi-symmetry are representations in both senses, but that not all representations include the constant functions (intercept). The beginnings of an extended algebra for constructing general I -representations is described and illustrated by a diallel cross design.