货币国际化对国内宏观经济的影响

 本文利用新开放经济宏观经济学方法,构建了货币国际化对宏观经济影响的理论模型,从理论上分析了货币国际化对宏观经济短期和长期的影响。理论研究表明,货币国际化具有以下影响：（1）无论在短期还是长期,都将促使本国货币升值,但汇率未出现超调现象;（2）短期内刺激本国消费,长期内抑制本国消费;（3）短期内产出减少,长期内产出增加;（4）短期内改善贸易条件,长期内使贸易条件恶化;（5）无论短期还是长期,都将改善本国居民福利水平。在此基础上,基于结构VAR模型,利用美元经验数据实证分析了美元国际化对美国宏观经济的影响,实证结果表明：经验分析与理论研究结果高度一致。上述研究结论为人民币国际化提供了若干启示。     

城镇廉租住房政策两类配租方式的经济学分析

实物配租和租金配租是城镇廉租住房政策实施过程中主要的两类配租方式。通过经济学方式,从消费者效用和市场供求关系两个维度分别对其进行分析,得出在市场低档存量房短缺的情形下,实物配租优于租金配租的结论。在此基础上提出几方面政策建议,短期内以增加市场上廉租住房的存量,增大实物配租的覆盖面为主,结合提高租金配租的保障水平,消除两种配租形式之间存在的待遇不公现象,继而逐步转变为以租金配租为主、实物配租为辅的配租模式。     

货币投放的动态模型及最佳投放量预测

本文运用控制理论和计量经济学方法建立了货币投放的动态模型,并研究了模型的输出能控性、稳定性和货币最佳投放量问题。这里货币投放的目标是使工农业总产值规划得以完成,并使财政收支基本平衡和物价适度稳定。最后给出了山东省“八五”期间货币投放的最优控制序列。     

The significance of national pride and national identity to the attitude toward the single European currency: A Europe-wide comparison

The purpose of this paper is to explain the attitude toward the euro on the basis of different aspects of national identity. It is demonstrated that national identity and national pride both entail multi-dimensional constructs. Where national identity is concerned, in most countries a dimension of pure categorization (patriotism) can be distinguished from a dimension of discrimination (nationalism). The third dimension encountered is that of “European patriotism”. National pride can express itself, first, in terms of cultural–historical pride and, second, in terms of economic–political pride. Where the attitude toward the euro is concerned, the stance of European patriotism and the nationalistic stance have particular explanatory force. The former fosters a positive attitude toward the euro, while the latter has a negative impact on the attitude toward the euro. National patriotism, on the other hand, bears no relation to the attitude toward the European Monetary Union.PsycINFO classification code: 2960; 3020     

最优货币区理论与我国区域货币政策选择

欧洲货币一体化的实现,吸引了越来越多的经济学家来探究衡量“最优货币区”标准。本文着眼于蒙代尔(Mundell)的最优货币区理论及其衡量标准,针对我国区域经济现状,探讨我国针对区域经济发展不平衡问题实行区域货币政策的现实意义。     

基于控制论的宏观经济分析方法

针对宏观经济系统中存在的复杂多变性,文章从控制论角度对宏观经济系统的控制论分析方法及主要调控手段、应用效果作了简要反思。文章指出,为了取得预期的经济效果,在经济分析中应更多地关注复杂多变性因素对宏观经济的影响。     

民国小区域流通货币研讨会综述

民国小区域流通货币研讨会于2008年7月28日在河南郑州召开。会议主要就民国小区域货币的定名问题和《县地方纸币卷》的编辑问题进行了研讨。     

Modeling Denomination Structures

Previous work on the denomination structure of currency treats as exogenous the distribution of transactions and the denominations held by people. Here, by way of a matching model, both are endogenous. In the model, trades in pairwise meetings alternate in time with the opportunity to freely choose a portfolio of denominations and there is a trade‐off between the benefits of small‐denomination money for transacting and the costliness of carrying a large quantity of small‐denomination money. For a given denomination structure, a monetary steady state is shown to exist. The model implies that too small denominations are abandoned.     

货币流动性、通货膨胀与我国货币政策走向探析

金融危机以来,新一轮通货膨胀给我国现实经济生活带来的影响已经显现。分析通货膨胀的决定因素并回顾我国自金融危机以来的货币政策可知,当前的货币政策应该关注更广泛意义上的价格变动,关注一般竞争性产品价格下降与资源、资产价格上涨之间的内在矛盾,并应谨慎使用利率工具。