The process is the plan: defining strategic community futures

This case study describes the application and assessment of a community-based strategic planning model to a faith-based organization. The United Jewish Communities of MetroWest New Jersey is responsible for programming, raising and allocating funds to serve a mission both global and local. A board-sanctioned process opened planning and allocations to a broader audience of community and service agencies, resulting in both dynamic synergy and conflict for the organization and its beneficiaries. This article looks at how a more strategic and inclusive planning process shaped decision-making and program evaluation. With input from professional staff and lay leadership, we consider lessons learned in the context of profound challenges facing non-profit, philanthropy-dependent organizations.     

山西普通高等教育规模发展回归分析与未来发展预测

经济发展水平虽不是影响和制约高等教育发展的唯一决定因素,但经济因素对高等教育发展的决定性作用却非常明显。通过对山西普通高等教育规模发展与GDP发展指标的定量分析,建立了相关的数学模型,分析得出山西普通高等教育规模发展超过经济的发展水平。利用数学模型对山西普通高等教育未来规模发展进行了分析和预测,以便为政府部门决策提供重要参考。     

Identity status differences among Italian adolescents: Associations with time perspective

Based on Marcia's identity status model, this cross-sectional study examined adolescents' identity formation analyzing its association with time perspective. A sample of 1300 Italian adolescents filled in self-report measures assessing two major developmental processes: identity resolution and time perspective. Adolescents who achieved an integrated identity status seemed to primarily adopt a future time perspective and to have a positive view of the past. By contrast, Diffused adolescents reported negative experiences in the past, a lower future orientation and a greater inclination to fatalism compared to others.     

民办社会工作组织评估研究现状及未来研究策略

本文对当前民办社会工作组织研究状况进行了梳理和回顾,指出现有研究取得的成果,并揭示了以往研究存在的不足,文章最后提出了我国未来民办社会工作组织评估研究的基本策略。     

READING THE FUTURE

This essay asks how cultural studies practitioners can begin to found a critical practice that responds to the events of September 11 and their aftermath. Using Theodor Adorno' concept of ‘semi-erudition’, as developed in his analysis of horoscope readers in ‘The Stars Down to Earth’, together with Homi Bhabha' arguments about the links between racial stereotyping and fetishism, it is argued that those working in the discipline of cultural studies must respond to the multi-layered address of the official discourse regarding the ‘war on terrorism’ without becoming complacent about our own position vis-à-vis this discourse. The author connects this argument with a reading of Herman Melville' novella Benito Cereno to discuss the problem of American ‘innocence’ in this context. The concluding question is how, in the face of the current crisis, to begin to practice a truly responsive ‘criticism’, in the full sense of the term, one able to provide a different reading of the present and in turn affect the future.     

论未来教师“儿童心理健康诊测能力”的培养

未来教师是国家的未来,肩负着培养祖国接班人的重任。为了更充分发扬师范生教书育人的功能,不仅自己需要有健康的心理,还能够对小学生、儿童进行心理健康的诊断、辅导、咨询,以及具有心理素质和健康水平的测量等能力。通过问卷了解师范生的心理健康状况和心理健康诊测能力现状,提出＂儿童心理健康诊测能力＂培养的建议。     

Enterprise systems and performance of future city logistics

Abstract

Future cities are driven by the developments in Information and Communication Technology to support the triple bottom line requirements of sustainability. Logistics will play a critical role in future cities due to the increasingly micro-dynamic nature of socio-economics of these cities and globalised production and consumption patterns. Enterprise systems (ES), the founding applications to automate and integrate different business processes, will be the key enablers for providing the necessary support required by the future city logistics. However, the implementation of ES and realisation of proposed benefits within the estimated time frame is challenging due to the huge resource requirements in terms of manpower, budget and time. This study takes the antecedent (critical success factors) approach for the implementation process to establish a success predictive model for the realisation of ES benefits. The partial least square regression has been used to test the model. Moreover, this study explores the impact of ES benefits on the logistics performance indicators to explore the synergies between them. This is fundamentally important because future city logistics will rely heavily on appropriately designed and implemented (enterprise) information systems.     

“大周边”战略与未来中阿关系

2006年是中阿开启外交关系50周年。面对当前和今后波谲云诡的世界政治经济格局的严峻挑战,中国必须在“大周边”外交战略视野下对未来中阿关系做出重新定位,在未来的中阿关系构建中应当立足长远战略,矫正目前单一的能源优先的外交政策,避免短视和功利性,牢固树立可持续的发展观,将未来中阿关系全面提升为“战略伙伴”关系。     

European Welfare Futures: The Views of Key Influentials in Six European Countries on Likely Developments in Social Policy

The welfare state, having reached maturity in most European countries, faces challenges from economic, social and political developments. Some studies argue that common pressures are likely to evoke similar responses; others suggest that the differences between welfare regimes both permit and require different policies. It is also suggested that the single European market will require convergence in tax regimes, social provision and entitlements to ensure fairer competition and to prevent "social dumping". Analysis of data from a survey of politicians, representatives of business, trade unions, civil servants and others shows some convergence in the recognition of problems in welfare policy and in ideas about finance. However, debate about the response to similar issues often differs, according to the detail of institutional structure and the pattern of interests it produces.     

门限协整套利:理论与实证研究

 不同市场上的同质或相似商品的价格存在长期均衡关系,当价格偏离均衡时,由于套利交易的存在,偏离会迅速回到均衡。在一定的门限值以外,二者服从协整关系,在门限值以内,二者没有协整关系,这种关系称为门限协整。本文在Balke,Fomby(1997)[1]和Hasen（1996）[6]的基础上提出了基于门限向量误差修正模型（T-VECM）的sup-Wald检验,用Bootstrap方法模拟统计量的渐进分布,验证了英国富时指数期货（uk100）和德国法兰克福指数期货（ger30）的门限协整关系,并用Hasen,Seo（2002）[11]提出的极大似然估计方法（MLE）同时估计出门限参数和协整向量,并给出了在这种门限协整关系下进行跨市场无风险套利的策略。