冷战遗留视角下的当代朝美关系跟踪分析

朝鲜半岛是冷战的焦点地区之一。两极格局瓦解后,冷战阴影在朝鲜半岛仍然挥之不去。两极格局瓦解后的朝鲜半岛冷战现象更多地具有不对称性和不平衡性,体现了美国东北亚外交的主导性。美国继续并强化在朝鲜半岛的冷战外交是美国东北亚战略利益的需要。当代关朝关系发展体现了冷战在亚洲结束的独特性。     

湖南核电产业现状及其发展探析

文章针对湖南经济发展受能源制约的问题提出应大力发展核电的策略。结合目前湖南核电产业发展中存在的制约因素,提出应从资金、技术、安全宣传、产业协同等方面来促进湖南核电产业的发展。     

论加快湖南核电产业发展的思路与对策

湖南缺电、少煤,能源供给不足已严重约束地方经济的快速健康发展。因此,积极利用核电成为湖南省能源结构优化的必然选择。文章从指导思想、发展原则和重点任务的角度,不仅为湖南核电产业提出战略发展思路,更深入具体探讨核电站建设、核电装备制造和核燃料循环等重点任务内容,有针对性地提出了推动湖南核电产业发展所需要采取的相应对策。     

试析美朝在核危机中的话语权之争

朝核危机产生于20世纪90年代。时至今日,美朝除了在国家利益、安全观念与政治互信等方面存在分歧外,还在朝鲜半岛核问题与朝鲜核问题、核能和平利用与反核扩散问题、横向核扩散与纵向核扩散问题等方面存在分歧与争夺。双方斗争的目的是为了置对方于不利的道义位置,以便在与对方打交道时增强自己的话语地位,为维护自身国家安全利益争取主动。     

A Procedural Evaluation of an Analytic-Deliberative Process: The Columbia River Comprehensive Impact Assessment

The U.S. Department of Energy's Columbia River Comprehensive Impact Assessment (CRCIA) was an ambitious attempt to direct its cleanup of the Hanford Nuclear Reservation toward the most significant risks to the Columbia River resulting from past plutonium production. DOE's approach was uncommonly open, including tribal, regulatory agency, and other Hanford interest group representatives on the board that was to develop the assessment approach. The CRCIA process had attributes of the "analytic-deliberative" process for risk assessment recommended by the National Research Council. Nevertheless, differences between the DOE and other participants over what was meant by the term "comprehensive" in the group's charge, coupled with differing perceptions of the likely effectiveness of remediation efforts in reducing risks, were never resolved. The CRCIA effort became increasingly fragmented and the role its products were to play in influencing future clean-up decisions increasingly ambiguous. A procedural evaluation of the CRCIA process, based on Thomas Webler's procedural normative model of public participation, reveals numerous instances in which theoretical-normative discourse disconnects occurred. These had negative implications for both the basic procedural dimensions of Webler's model-fairness and competence. Tribal and other interest group representatives lacked the technical resources necessary to make or challenge what philosopher Jurgens Habermas terms cognitive validity claims, while DOE and its contractors did not challenge normative claims made by tribal representatives. The results are cautionary for implementation of the analytic-deliberative process. They highlight the importance of bringing rigor to the evaluation of the quality of the deliberation component of risk characterization via the analytic-deliberative process, as well as to the analytic component.     

朝核问题与六方会谈——以朝美关系为主导的多方博弈

朝核问题六方会谈已连续召开五轮。较之于前三轮的缓步不前,第四轮会谈达成了框架性、原则性的协议,并通过了首份“共同声明”。但在随后召开的第五轮会谈中,当事国依然难以跨越承诺与行动的矛盾。朝核问题是以朝美为主要当事国,是双方在恢复邦交正常化过程中的一次大博弈。同时也表现为参与六方会谈的各国根据本国利益进行的一场多方博弈。     

核级与非核级产品的寿命周期费用模型及其优化

提出了核电厂用核级（ＩＥ）与非核级（ＮＩＥ）产品的寿命周期费用ＬＣＣ（Ｌｉｆｅｃｙｃｌｅｃｏｓｔ）组成及影响ＬＣＣ诸因素；建立了ＬＣＣ模型；讨论了ＬＣＣ与产品性能、可靠性、耐核安全环境适应性诸方面的优化权衡．     

Historical Application of a Social Amplification of Risk Model: Economic Impacts of Risk Events at Nuclear Weapons Facilities

Public perception of risk is being cited as a documented reason to rethink a very contentious congressionally mandated process for siting interim storage and permanent disposal facilities for high-level radioactive waste. Rigorous survey research has shown that the public holds intense, negative images of "nuclear" and "radioactive" technologies, activities, and facilities. Potential host states and opponents claim that these negative images, coupled with an amplification of negative risk events, will potentially stigmatize the area surrounding such facilities and result in significant economic losses. At issue is whether a supporting social amplification of risk model is applicable to communities hosting facilities that are part of the U.S. Department of Energy Nuclear Weapons Complex. An initial assessment of high-profile discrete and cumulative key negative risk events at such nuclear facilities does not validate that there has been stigmatization or substantial social and economic consequences in the host areas. Before any changes to major national policy are implemented, additional research is required to determine if the nearby public's "pragmatic logic," based on practical knowledge and experience, attenuates the link between public opinion and demographic and economic behaviors.     

Probabilistic Reliability Analysis, Quantitative Safety Goals, and Nuclear Licensing in the United Kingdom

Although unpublicized, the use of quantitative safety goals and probabilistic reliability analysis for licensing nuclear reactors has become a reality in the United Kingdom. This conclusion results from an examination of the process leading to the licensing of the Sizewell B PWR in England. The licensing process for this reactor has substantial implications for nuclear safety standards in Britain, and is examined in the context of the growing trend towards quantitative safety goals in the United States.     

小泉首相访朝后的朝日关系展望

金正日总书记与小泉首相的历史性会晤,为朝日关系的正常化迈出了可喜的一步,但关键问题是朝日两国今后如何履行《朝日平壤宣言》。由于朝日间的"历史问题"、"绑架人质事件"以及"核问题",两国关系的前景是不容乐观的。朝日关系的改善有赖于朝美双方采取克制的态度尽快恢复和谈,而国际社会也应该积极斡旋。