AUSTRIFYING EUROPE: ULTRARIGHT POPULISM AND THE NEW CULTURE OF RESISTANCE

The article investigates the political and cultural causes of the emergence of right-wing coalitions throughout the European Union, taking Austria as a symptomatic case of this return of political antagonism within a culture of consensus. It is argued that, methodologically and theoretically, a valid analysis of the phenomenon of xenophobic populism can only be achieved with the combined effort of both political and cultural theory,respectively of both political discourse analysis and cultural studies. Two axes of analysis have to be taken into account: the first being the relation between culture (or the popular) and politics (or the ‘people’), and the second concerning the even more fundamental relation or difference between politics and the political.     

可持续发展影响评价制度的构建思路研究

建立可持续发展影响评价制度 ,可以防止恶性后果出现 ,提高可持续发展能力 ,避免决策出现重大失误 ,也是实施科学管理的保障。根据可持续发展影响评价具有战略性、综合性、区域性、系统性、阶段性等特点 ,在评价过程中应当遵循 :一公正、客观、科学相结合的原则 ,二突出长期的、潜在的和累积性影响的原则 ,三注重发展效果和增强发展能力相结合的原则。可持续发展影响评价指标体系的建立 ,应当遵循整体性、可操作性、相对独立性、层次性、差异性、动态与稳定结合等原则     

Political Economy of Redistribution

It is often argued that additional constraints on redistribution such as granting veto power to more players in society better protects property from expropriation. We use a model of multilateral bargaining to demonstrate that this intuition may be flawed. Increasing the number of veto players or raising the supermajority requirement for redistribution may reduce protection on the equilibrium path. The reason is the existence of two distinct mechanisms of property protection. One is formal constraints that allow individuals or groups to block any redistribution that is not in their favor. The other occurs in equilibrium where players without such powers protect each other from redistribution. Players without formal veto power anticipate that the expropriation of other similar players will ultimately hurt them and thus combine their influence to prevent redistributions. In a stable allocation, the society exhibits a “class” structure with class members having equal wealth and strategically protecting each other from redistribution.     

思想政治理论课教师教书育人满意度调查及应对路径探析

思想政治理论课教师是思想政治理论课组织实施的中坚力量。文章在问卷调查的基础上，分析高职大学生对思想政治理论课教师教书育人的评价，提出提高教书育人满意度的路径。     

Outlier Detection in Time Series Models Using Local Influence Method

We propose a new procedure for detecting a patch of outliers or influential observations for autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model using local influence analysis. It is shown that the dependency aspects of time series data gives rise to masking or smearing effects when the local influence analysis is performed using current perturbation schemes. We suggest a new perturbation scheme to take into account the dependent structure of time series data, and employ the stepwise local influence method to give a diagnostic procedure. We show that the new perturbation scheme can avoid the smearing effects, and the stepwise technique of local influence can successfully deal with masking effects. Various simulation studies are performed to show the efficiency of proposed methodology and a real example is used for illustrations.     

Chips off the old blocks? The political participation patterns of parents and children in Italy

This article studies the relationship between the political participation of parents and children in Italy, a country for which no empirical evidence on the topic is available and that has particular characteristics in terms of household dynamics and patterns of political participation. The analyses are based on a sample of 12,802 children from 14 to 19 years old and their parents, drawn from the “Multipurpose survey – Aspects of daily life”, collected by the Italian National Institute of Statistics. The results show that the political participation of children is strongly associated with that of their parents; that maternal participation is of somewhat greater relevance to the participation of both sons and daughters compared to that of fathers; and that the parents’ level of education is not associated with the likelihood of the child participating, net of parental participation.     

新出文献与李白研究述论

新出土的墓志中直接和间接涉及李白其人其诗者有二十余方,可以综合利用这些墓志以印证传世石刻和史传文献,探讨李白的生平、交游、婚姻情况,解读李白的诗歌作品,探究李白的影响,还可以从特定层面提供观察李白的材料和阐释其诗歌的方法。首先,可进一步探讨李白在安史之乱中的行踪;其次,探讨李白与古文先驱者李华、韩绅卿、韩云卿的关系,进而考察李白的复古思想与古文运动的联系;再者,通过出土文献印证李白的诗文作品;最后,通过新出墓志对李白影响的记述,可深化对李白及唐代文学史的研究。     

安徽省现代服务业影响因素的实证分析

现代服务业的发展水平是衡量一个地区经济的重要指标.当前,中国经济进入新常态,安徽亦处于产业结构转型升级的关键时期,加快现代服务业发展,转变经济增长方式,刻不容缓.但安徽的现代服务业发展水平与发达地区相比,仍有较大差距.因此,以安徽现代服务业为研究对象,介绍其发展现状及存在的问题,并对发展的影响因素进行了实证分析,结果表明受教育水平、经济发展水平和消费需求水平的影响最为显著.据此提出相应的发展对策,主要有发挥政府职能,加大教育投资、发展国民经济、扩大资产规模和完善现代服务业与工业耦合机制.     

创新网络背景下区域R & D支出的外部环境影响因素研究--基于省际面板数据的实证检验

创新网络形成后,区域内各创新主体的R&D支出与其他主体的行为息息相关,其R&D支出的总和在宏观上表现为区域R&D支出的核心内容。以此为背景,基于现有研究成果,构建数学模型,采用面板数据模型对2000~2009年的30个省市样本数据进行检验,研究区域R&D支出的外部环境影响因素。结果显示：在创新网络背景下,市场规模、市场结构、开放度以及技术引进等因素与区域R&D支出水平正相关,且相关程度依次递减;政府投入负向影响区域R&D支出,但影响的显著性水平并不高。研究成果对实现区域资源优化配置,提高区域创新绩效具有一定的理论意义和实用价值。     

事业单位职工延迟退休意愿及其影响因素的实证分析

为研究事业单位职工在不同情况下对延迟退休的态度的变化,在相关理论基础和初步调查的基础上,筛选出了对职工延迟退休意愿产生影响的因素及其影响的程度和方式。以政策实施的对象为研究目标,立足于个体意愿,以788名事业单位职工的调查数据为基础,采用二元Logistic回归模型,针对个体特征、经济因素、工作因素与制度因素对职工延迟退休意愿的影响进行了研究。结果表明,最适退休年龄、工龄、升职空间和继续工作意愿与职工延迟退休意愿存在显著正相关关系;退休后社会保障外收入则与职工延迟退休意愿存在显著负相关关系。