Life Satisfaction in Brazil: Testing the Psychometric Properties of the Satisfaction With Life Scale (SWLS) in Five Brazilian Samples

The aim of this paper was to validate the Brazilian-Portuguese version of the Satisfaction With Life Scale (SWLS), presenting evidence of its reliability and construct and criterion-related validity. A large Brazilian sample (2,180 participants), from five different populations (undergraduate and high school students, general population, elementary school teachers, and physicians), was considered. The results confirmed the single factorial structure and reliability (0.77 < Cronbach’s α < 0.88, mean α = 0.81) of the SWLS. Supporting its criterion-related validity, the SWLS correlated positively with positive affect and negatively with both negative affect and psychological distress across all five samples. The findings indicate that the Brazilian-Portuguese version of the SWLS is a valid instrument to use with diverse Brazilian samples.     

The Lorenz Curve for Model Assessment in Exponential Order Statistic Models

A goodness-of-fit technique for random samples from the exponential distribution based on the sample Lorenz curve is adapted for use in the exponential order statistic (EOS) model. In the EOS model, only those observations in a random sample from the exponential distribution of unknown size N that are less than some known stopping time T are observable. The model is known as the Jelinski-Moranda model in software reliability, where it is used to estimate the number of bugs in software during development. Distributional results are derived for the distance between the sample Lorenz curve and the population Lorenz curve so that it can be used as a goodness-of-fit test statistic. Simulations show that the test has good power against several alternative distributions. Simulations also indicate that in some cases, model misspecification leads to poor parameter estimation. A plotting procedure provides a means of graphical assessment of fit.     

Statistical considerations for crowdsourced perceptual ratings of human speech productions

Crowdsourcing has become a major tool for scholarly research since its introduction to the academic sphere in 2008. However, unlike in traditional laboratory settings, it is nearly impossible to control the conditions under which workers on crowdsourcing platforms complete tasks. In the study of communication disorders, crowdsourcing has provided a novel solution to the collection of perceptual ratings of human speech production. Such ratings allow researchers to gauge whether a treatment yields meaningful change in how human listeners' perceive disordered speech. This paper will explore some statistical considerations of crowdsourced data with specific focus on collecting perceptual ratings of human speech productions. Random effects models are applied to crowdsourced perceptual ratings collected in both a continuous and binary fashion. A simulation study is conducted to test the reliability of the proposed models under differing numbers of workers and tasks. Finally, this methodology is applied to a data set from the study of communication disorders.     

Reliability Research of k-out-of-n: G Supply Chain System Based on Copula

Supply chain management has received considerable attention in the literature and it is meaningful and important to be able to measure the reliability of supply chains. In the article, the suppliers in the supply chain systems are not independent of each other and the dependency relation may be either linear or nonlinear correlation. From the view of the distribution service process, a copula-based method is proposed for analyzing the reliability of supply chains. In this article, by introducing the model of k-out-of-n: G system into the studies of supply chains, an evaluation method is suggested and the reliability indexes are obtained. Finally, a numerical example is presented to illustrate the results obtained in this article.     

Weibull inference using trimmed samples and prior information

Trimmed samples are commonly used in several branches of statistical methodology, especially when the presence of contaminated data is suspected. Assuming that certain proportions of the smallest and largest observations from a Weibull sample are unknown or have been eliminated, a Bayesian approach to point and interval estimation of the scale parameter, as well as hypothesis testing and prediction, is presented. In many cases, the use of substantial prior information can significantly increase the quality of the inferences and reduce the amount of testing required. Some Bayes estimators and predictors are derived in closed-forms. Highest posterior density estimators and credibility intervals can be computed using iterative methods. Bayes rules for testing one- and two-sided hypotheses are also provided. An illustrative numerical example is included.     

Some recent results for series system reliability

Asymptotic properties of key test results ate obtained. Some further results on the Lindstrom-Madden method are given, including a binomial-Poisson inequality, together with some numerical examples. Simplified proofs of some results of Pledger and Proschan (1971) and Nevius, Proschan and Sethuraman (1977) are provided and the listing of a FORTRAN program to calculate a lower bound to the 1-α lower confidence limit on the system reliability is given.     

The percentile residual life up to time t0: Ordering and aging properties

Motivated by practical issues, a new stochastic order for random variables is introduced by comparing all their percentile residual life functions until a certain instant. Some interpretations of these stochastic orders are given, and various properties of them are derived. The relationships to other stochastic orders are studied and also an application in reliability theory is described. Finally, we present some characterization results of the decreasing percentile residual life up to time t₀ aging notion.     

Simplified Likelihood Based Goodness-of-fit Tests for the Weibull Distribution

The aim of this paper is to present new likelihood based goodness-of-fit tests for the two-parameter Weibull distribution. These tests consist in nesting the Weibull distribution in three-parameter generalized Weibull families and testing the value of the third parameter by using the Wald, score, and likelihood ratio procedures. We simplify the usual likelihood based tests by getting rid of the nuisance parameters, using three estimation methods. The proposed tests are not asymptotic. A comprehensive comparison study is presented. Among a large range of possible GOF tests, the best ones are identified. The results depend strongly on the shape of the underlying hazard rate.     

The 'heuristics and biases' bias in expert elicitation

Summary.  In the early 1970s Tversky and Kahneman published a series of papers on 'heuristics and biases' describing human inadequacies in assessing probabilities, culminating in a highly popular article in Science . This seminal research has been heavily cited in many fields, including statistics, as the definitive research on probability assessment. Curiously, although this work was debated at the time and more recent work has largely refuted many of the claims, this apparent heuristics and biases bias in elicitation research has gone unremarked. Over a decade of research into the frequency effect, the importance of framing, and cognitive models more generally, has been almost completely ignored by the statistical literature on expert elicitation. To remedy this situation, this review offers a guide to the psychological research on assessing probabilities, both old and new, and gives concrete guidelines for eliciting expert knowledge.     

Properties of systems with two exchangeable Pareto components

The life lengths of the units in a system can be modelled by a bivariate distribution. In this paper, we suppose that the joint distribution of the units is a symmetric bivariate Pareto (Lomax) distribution. For this model, we obtain basic reliability properties for series and parallel systems. J. M. Ruiz Partially Supported by Ministerio de Ciencia y Tecnologia under grant BFM2003-02947 and Fundacion Seneca under grant 00698/PI/04.