论新世纪乡村小说的碎片化叙事

新世纪的诸多作家强烈感受到当下农村生活的混乱与破碎,他们运用了非常态视角、荒诞与狂欢等叙事策略来表述时代变革中的乡村,不再对农村生活进行整体性的叙述,这在贾平凹、阎连科、林白与莫言等作家近些年的乡村长篇叙事作品中表现得十分明显。从而,表述混乱的新世纪乡村小说形象地展现出支离破碎的乡村图景。     

小波变换在股市预测中的应用

本文应用小波变换对深圳股票市场的建模与预测进行了研究。首先对股指时序进行小波分解;然后对分解后的各部分分别建立混沌模型进行预测;再对混沌模型预测的结果予以小波重构,即得最终的预测结果。从吸引子结构的观点对预测精度提高的原因进一步分析得出,小波分解可使分解后的时序变得简单而容易预测,因而使得最终的预测结果能够具有较高的精度。研究表明,小波变换在股市预测中具有非常好的应用前景。     

从线性到非线性和混沌——谈数学的发展历程

本文以线性、非线性和混沌的理论知识为基础,分析了数学的发展历程,指出了数学从线性到非线性和混沌的发展道路。     

一类具稀疏效应食饵-捕食系统的分岔及混沌

得到了一类稀疏效应下的Predator—Prey系统发生静态分岔和Hopf分岔的条件，证明了此类系统存在混沌现象，完善了此类系统的研究工作。     

Prediction of Chaotic Time Series in the Presence of Measurement Error: the Importance of Initial Conditions

In this paper we argue that even if a dynamic relationship can be well described by a deterministic system, retrieving this relationship from an empirical time series has to take into account some, although possibly very small measurement error in the observations. Therefore, measuring the initial conditions for prediction may become much more difficult since one now has a combination of deterministic and stochastic elements. We introduce a partial smoothing estimator for estimating the unobserved initial conditions. We will show that this estimator allows to reduce the effects of measurement error for predictions although the reduction may be small in the presence of strong chaotic dynamics. This will be illustrated using the logistic map.     

上海股票市场的基于小波去噪的混沌性检验

由于经济混沌需要大样本、低噪声的时间序列,所以文章首先利用小波变换对上证指数日收盘价序列进行去噪处理,然后由去噪后的日收盘价序列计算出日收益率序列,姑且称其为去噪后的日收益率序列,并把它同未经过去噪处理得到的日收益率序列进行比较,发现该方法较好地保留了序列自身固有的特性,只是剔除了由于日常细微波动产生的噪声,为有效地探测我国上海证券市场的混沌性打下了基础。最后分别计算去噪前后收益率的关联维数和Lyapunov指数,发现小波去噪并未改变上海证券市场的混沌性,但是去噪后的市场的复杂度要小于去噪前的市场的复杂度。所以进行混沌性探测的时候必须对数据进行去噪处理。     

名人故里开发乱象的原因及其对策建议

近年来,名人开发的故里之争愈演愈烈,乱象横生,令人不禁生惑和忧虑。被开发的名人中既有可信度高的真实人物,也有神话传说中的对象,甚至是一些为人所不齿的反面典型形象——这种乱象大大颠覆了主流社会的伦理价值和审美观。造成此种乱象的直接根源是地方经济利益之争,另外,一些文化学术人的参加亦增添了其间的势头。正确保护与开发名人资源刻不容缓,这既应加强政府部门的监管,更应唤醒全民的保护意识,建立合理的良性的文化资源的保护、开发与传播局面。     

一种新的离散混沌系统的延时反馈控制(英文)

以跟踪误差渐进趋近于零为基础，提出了一种新的离散混沌系统延时反馈控制方法。该方法利用离散混沌系统的N步延时输出来估计系统的不稳定N周期轨道，并作为跟踪目标，使受控混沌系统既能稳定到相空间的确定点，又能稳定到N周期轨道。理论分析和实验均表明该控制方法具有鲁棒性。     

旅游“井喷”背景下的“名人故里之争”研究

随着我国旅游业的快速发展及在旅游经济的刺激下,越来越多的地方开始关注并发展旅游业,致使我国旅游业呈"井喷"式发展态势。名人资源是地方政府发展旅游业的重要关注点,"名人故里之争"在旅游"井喷"背景下表现尤为混乱无序,当地民众、地方政府、媒体及部分专家学者也参与其中;地方政府支持、经济发展需要、文化资源稀缺及地方情感依恋是推动"名人故里之争"的重要方面,其中经济利益之争是其核心。     

From Chaos to Safe Transformation: The Emotional Intelligence Learning Environment Model

Self-awareness is a necessary foundation for those seeking to develop emotional intelligence (EI). Yet, the process of developing self-awareness can be deeply disturbing, creating inner turmoil and chaos which EI trainers need to take into consideration and manage in the learning environment. This article describes the nature of this chaos and proposes a learning environment model to assist EI trainers in the design of their EI training programmes, helping trainers to create safe learning environments in which learners can pursue EI training, thereby leading to transformational change. A review of the literature defines EI, constructivism, and chaos theory, as well as exploring elements of a safe learning environment. The literature is considered along with data gathered from a recent study of twenty-one EI trainers in New Zealand, in an effort to identify key characteristics of a safe learning environment, and positive and negative qualities of the trainer and learners which can contribute to creating a safe learning environment. Based on these findings the Emotional Intelligence Learning Environment Model was developed. The article discusses the implications of the model and concludes with suggestions for future research.