林业政策对林权抵押贷款信用风险影响的实证分析

以198份银行信贷员的调查资料为依据,通过建立多类别逻辑回归模型,分析林业政策对林权抵押贷款信用风险的影响。研究结果表明林权登记管理政策、限额采伐管理政策、林权交易管理政策对林权抵押贷款信用风险的影响显著,指出政府应通过健全我国林权登记管理政策与完善限额采伐管理政策和林权交易管理政策等,以进一步维护金融交易安全,推动林权抵押贷款持续开展。     

信用证欺诈例外原则的豁免研究

独立和抽象原则是信用证交易的基石,但它在客观上存在着保护欺诈受益人的缺点。因此,各国都纷纷建立信用证欺诈倒外原则来进行补救,但信用证欺诈例外原则的滥用又会给信用证交易的善意第三人利益带来冲击,于是信用证欺诈例外原则的豁免应运而生。美国率先在《美国统一商法典》中规定了信用证欺诈例外原则的豁免,英国也通过一系列的判例对信用证欺诈例外原则的豁免给以肯定。我国的信用证立法比较薄弱,虽然近年来的判例和相关文件表明我国对信用证欺诈例外原则的豁免持肯定态度,但立法上的完善应是必须的。     

房地产证券化的性质条件及在我国发展的障碍

房地产证券化的发展要求广泛的社会和市场条件 ,如成熟的房地产市场、证券市场、抵押贷款一级市场和担保市场。房地产证券化要求一级贷款市场为抵押贷款 ,而目前我国多采用担保贷款 ,如保证贷款、质押贷款等 ,这些贷款方式将贷款的债权债务关系复杂化 ,不适宜于建立抵押贷款二级市场。开展房地产证券化 ,就要规范、量化抵押房屋 ,要规范住宅抵押贷款行为 ,建立可操作的抵押贷款法规和制度。目前我国还没有推行房地产证券化的社会和法规条件 ,但可以做一些预研究或在条件成熟地区 (如深圳 )做小型试验     

The victim–offender overlap in late adulthood

This study contributes to the general knowledge of the victim–offender overlap by determining whether the phenomenon exists among older adults and whether known correlates of crime and victimization explain the relationship. Cross-sectional survey data from telephone interviews conducted with individuals 60 years and older (N = 2,000) residing in Arizona and Florida are used to estimate confirmatory factor models for both victimization and criminal offending. The results from a series of multivariate regression models show that victimization is associated with criminal offending. While factors such as low self-control, depression, and spending time in commercial drinking establishments partially attenuate the victimization–crime link, the statistically significant relationship persists in a multivariate context. Further testing indicates that the observed findings are robust across measurement and modeling strategies. Coupled with prior research, the results support the argument that the victim–offender overlap exists (and is difficult to explain) over the life course.     

美国次贷危机对我国经济的影响和启示

发生在美国次级房贷危机给全球的金融市场带来了剧烈的震荡,目前还难以预测其对世界经济的危害程度。本文深入分析了次贷危机的成因及其对我国宏观经济的影响,并总结从中获得的启示。     

Both Whistleblowers and the Scientists They Accuse Are Vulnerable and Deserve Protection

Whistleblowers play an important role diagnosing research misconduct, but often experience severe negative consequences. That is also true for incorrectly accused scientists. Both categories are vulnerable and deserve protection. Whistleblowers must proceed carefully and cautiously. Anonymous whistleblowing should be discouraged but cannot be ignored when the allegations are specific, serious, and plausible. When accused of a breach of research integrity it is important to be as transparent as possible. Sometimes accusations are false in the sense that the accuser knows or should know that the allegations are untrue. A mala fide whistleblower typically does not act carefully and we postulate a typology that may help in detecting them. Striking the right balance between whistleblower protection and timely unmasking false and identifying incorrect accusations is a tough dilemma leaders of research institutions have to face.     

表见合伙之价值评判——兼析新《合伙企业法》第76条

2007年6月1日开始实施的新《合伙企业法》是一部非常有效地法律,但其最大缺陷是仍然没有规定表见合伙制度。表见合伙与表见代理、与民事欺诈是有明显区别的,不能用表见代理与民事欺诈解决实践中的表见合伙纠纷。新《合伙企业法》第76条的规定让人困惑,像似表见合伙,实则不然。建立表见合伙制度更有利于保障交易公平和安全,彰显善意第三人的利益,充分救济善意第三人的权利。因此,我国应当建立表见合伙制度。     

诈欺不法原因给付财物与利益之刑法分析

诈欺基于不法原因给付的财物或者财产性利益的场合下是否成立诈骗罪,德国、日本和我国的立法、判例和学说都有所不同。在诈欺的对象是财物的场合下,基于不法原因给付的财物在因诈欺行为交付之前,也是民事法上保护的对象等原因,应当肯定诈骗罪的成立。在诈欺的对象是财产性利益的场合下,不法利益本身并非民事法上应当得到保护的利益,不应得到刑法保护,应否定财产罪的成立。     

A Mechanical Interpretation of the Coefficient of Rank Correlation and other Analogies

Periodically, the pyramid or “chain letter” scheme is offered to Americans under the guise of a business dealership. Recently, the FTC ordered Glen Turner's “Dare to be Great” firm to repay 44 million dollars to participants. In order to demonstrate that the potential gains are misrepresented by promoters, a probability model of the pyramid scheme is developed. The major implications are that the vast majority of participants have less than a ten percent chance of recouping their initial investment when a small profit is achieved as soon as they recruit three people and that, on the average, half of the participants will recruit no one else and lose all their money.     

德日动产让与担保制度构建比较研究及借鉴

德国日本的让与担保制度都是为了充分发挥物的经济功能,适应经济需要.德国在构建让与担保制度时,既重视物、权利的"经济所有权"的实质,同时毫不忽略"法律所有权"在制度中的权利制衡价值,使让与担保制度在法律的框架下得到合乎法理逻辑的充分调整,发挥了良好的制度价值,实现了法的安定性与合目的性.日本则在让与制度构建中出现了从所有权构成到担保权构成的转变,这一转变也是从唯法律性到唯经济性变化的过程,呈现出极端化的特点,在追求合目的性的过程中违反了法安定性的要求,对习惯法在形成和持续发展的破坏性不容忽视.两国的制度发展为我国的让与担保制度构建提供了良好的借鉴作用.