住房价格上涨与其影响因素之间的关系研究——基于VEC模型的实证分析

通过建立向量误差修正模型,对中国近年来住房价格持续上涨的原因进行了分析。结果表明,土地价格的快速上涨、金融对房地产业的过度支持以及在住房价格继续上涨预期刺激下的投机因素是中国住房价格上涨过快的主要原因。近年来中国住房价格的持续快速上涨在很大程度上是一种泡沫现象。     

信贷规模与房地产价格的非线性动态关系——基于中国直辖市数据的比较研究

运用非线性平滑转换模型对中国直辖市的信贷规模与房地产价格的动态关系进行对比研究。研究发现如果想要通过控制信贷规模调控房地产价格,天津和重庆更容易达成调控目标,北京则很难。在信贷规模对房地产价格产生非线性影响的条件下,信贷规模对房地产价格的影响存在不同状态,重庆在不同状态间的变化速度最快,其次是天津,最慢的是北京。     

我国发展社会型住房合作社的难点及对策

随着我国住房制度以及人事制度改革的不断深化,我国的职工型住房合作社之路已走到尽头,而发展社会型住房合作社却又受到法律法规不到位、社员资格认定难、既得利益者的阻挠、产权交易等诸多问题的困扰。我们认为,可以通过加快在社会型住房合作社方面的立法、让金融部门积极参与社会型住房合作社的建设、政府加大对社会型住房合作社的支持力度等措施来解决这一难题。     

城中村、小产权房是解决我国城镇人口住房问题的有效出路

当前我国的城市住房问题,已经从民生问题上升为政治问题。现有的解决手段在尚不成熟的社会主义市场经济面前,显得缺乏力度,基本丧失有效性。在这个事关亿万居民生活的关键问题上,必须寻求制度上的突破。本文认为,现有城镇土地管理体制必须变革,集体性质的土地应加入到城镇住房建设中去。城中村和小产权房的建设,是以集体性质土地解决城市居民居住问题的有效办法,应予规范改进,进而合理发展。     

过度通勤的识别及其影响因素:以深圳为例

城市劳动力市场与住房市场的不完全市场特性,使得劳动力很难进行最优的居住与就业选择,进而导致城市通勤成本的增加,过度通勤是城市中普遍存在的一种现象。文章利用深圳市住房调查问卷的相关信息,对过度通勤进行识别并对其影响因素进行分析。研究发现,过度通勤的大小在10%～20%之间;过度通勤的影响因素包括受教育程度、从事的行业类型以及住房所有权形式。     

灾后重建中的非营利组织与非正式参与途径

在灾后重建中,人们往往重视的是政府自上而下的正式援助计划,而忽略了自下而上的民间社会非正式参与的力量。事实上,小规模之自主性策略取代自上而下中央集权式政策执行也是行之有效的灾后重建措施。文章认为虽然非营利组织非正式参与灾后重建的四种新途径或模式,能有效参与到灾后重建过程中来,但非营利组织能否在灾后重建工作中取得成效,除了选择适当的模式外,还需要考虑自身的二元性问题,尤其要注意外来的以社会服务为取向的非营利组织与本土社会系统产生冲突与抵抗的问题。     

统筹城乡住房发展的必要性及对策

中心村建设是新农村建设的重要内容,发展保障住房以满足广大城市中低收入者的住房需求则是我国城市面临的重要任务。统筹城乡住房发展,修改和制定与城乡住房发展和住房流通相关的法律法规和措施,制定自上而下的城乡住房发展建设统筹规划,将是城乡住房发展少走弯路,提高城乡建设效率,促进城乡合理发展的有效途径。     

人民币加入ＳＤＲ 预期对其国际化的影响

一国货币的国际化程度主要体现在其国际影响力及对国际主要国家货币汇率波动的反应程度。人民币纳入ＳＤＲ 货币篮子将会改变人民币在国际货币金融体系中的地位与作用,从而影响人民币国际化程度。基于２０１５ 年８ 月１１ 日至２０１６ 年３ 月１６ 日的样本区间数据,通过构建ＶＡＲ模型实证检验人民币加入ＳＤＲ 预期因素对人民币国际化程度的影响。结果发现：第一,人民币加入ＳＤＲ 预期能够提升人民币在国际货币金融体系中的影响力,尤其是人民币对美元的影响力将大大增加,但是其对世界其他主要货币的影响力仍显不足;第二,样本区间内,人民币自由化程度并没有提升,因为人民币汇率并没有随着世界主要货币汇率的波动而有所变化。     

Moving On From Supportive Housing (MOSH): Development and evaluation of a transitional skill-building curriculum for providers helping residents exit homeless services

This article describes the development and evaluation of MOSH (Moving On From Supportive Housing), a transitional skill-building curriculum for providers helping residents exit homeless services to mainstream housing without embedded supports. In this evaluation, we assess the feasibility, acceptability, fit, and potential efficacy of the MOSH curriculum to improve proximal provider-level outcomes, including self-efficacy to provide MOSH-related independent living skills and supports. Homeless-services providers (N = 49) from a range of programs and settings participated in the training. Findings from focus groups and pre- and posttest surveys indicate high levels of overall satisfaction with the training. The majority of trainees perceived the training to be useful to their work and potentially useful for service recipients, felt the training would fit well within their existing day-to-day work, and said they were very likely to use MOSH skills in such work. Statistically significant improvements in self-efficacy regarding all skills but one were also found. MOSH holds promise as an intervention that can enhance provider practice and promotion of independent living skills in homeless services. Although these initial findings on MOSH are encouraging, further research will be needed to evaluate provider knowledge gains and effective use of these skills in practice.     

Dual conditionality in welfare and housing for lone parents in Ireland: Change and continuity?

This article focuses on multiple conditionalities in benefits and housing from the perspective of lone parents in Ireland. The Irish case echoes historical experiences elsewhere and is offered not as an exceptional or extreme case but as an in-depth single case study and a lens for comparison. Although contemporary forms and combinations of conditionalities are new to Ireland, the experience of multiple conditionalities in benefits and housing is not new. Hence, a historical perspective is used to examine contemporary multiple conditionalities in benefits and housing. In the past, conditional regimes for lone parents were justified in terms of moral reformation for first time mothers and avoiding moral contagion of mothers with subsequent pregnancies. In contemporary times, in the case of employment, lone parents are problematised as working part-time and “nesting” on in-work-benefits, and in the case of homelessness, lone parents who prioritise the security of tenure embedded in social housing are accused of “gaming” the system. While acknowledging ambiguities, the paper finds the overlap of welfare and housing discourses contribute, intentionally or unintentionally, to epistemological foundations or understandings of lone parents, shifting public perceptions, and framing them as “problems” to be solved. They simultaneously temper lone parents' expectations. Increased precarity and disempowerment is associated with dual conditionality, and ontological uncertainty is multiplied when experienced cumulatively across employment, social protection, and housing regimes in a context of generally poor public services and labour market precarity and in the historical context of stigmatisation. Nonetheless, lone parents demonstrate considerable agency.