知识经济与广州城市性质功能定位

本文认为,面对２１ 世纪和知识经济时代,广州城市性质与功能的定位必然产生变化。广州要发展,必须发展知识经济,确立由４ 个系统组成的广州知识经济创新体系,确立教育和科技产业成为知识经济产业的一个支柱部门,成为广州发展的主导因素之一。为此,广州城市性质与功能应该定位为华南地区、东南亚地区的教育科技城和以知识经济产业为主体的多功能的中心城市     

中学课外科技活动的存在问题及对策

本文较为详细地分析我们在１９９８ 年上半年进行的“广州 市中学生课外科技活动问卷调查”的数据, 指出广州市中学生课外科技 活动存在着师资力量不足、考核制度不完善等问题, 文章最后提出了解 决上述问题的意见和看法     

《世界经济地理》教材编写体系研究

本文从理论上探讨世界经济地理研究的依据和体系,指出现行教材编写存在的问题,提出编写的新建议。认为世界经济地理侧重研究经济区→经济地域→经济地域系统及其运动规律,认为存在世界和国家级区域级别差异。为此,本文认为教材编写时要强调条件要素要与经济地域和经济地域系统形成发展过程一起进行论述,要突出研究对象的等级层次关系,突出城市或城市群的地位与作用,并要加强国家经济国际化进程对经济地域形成发展的影响作用。     

水力发电企业整体效益评价及实例

针对水力发电企业的整体经济效益难以进行评价的问题,提出了以灰色关联度技术为支撑,选择数量模型评价方法,应用层次分析法的有关技术和思想,建立起具有可操作性的评价模型及评价体系。     

我国网络问卷调查发展现状与问题

随着信息传播技术的飞速发展,网络问卷调查业已成为相对主流的调查研究方法之一,被众多行业调研机构者和学术研究人员所采用。在简要介绍了网络问卷调查的发展历史及在我国的发展现状之后,通过参与式观察,我们剖析了国内网络问卷调查中存在的两大问题,即数据质量和个人信息安全,以期引起社会的关注和反思,针对这些问题,最后试图提出可行性解决方案,以期推动网络问卷调查行业的良性发展。     

中国高等教育与经济发展的区域协调性

 本文应用因子分析法对我国分地区高等教育与经济发展水平的协调性进行了实证分析。利用31个省区市2006年横截面数据计算了各地高等教育与经济发展的因子得分,进行排序、等级差和相关性分析。研究表明：31个省区市中,高等教育与经济发展协调程度为好和较好的有12个,差和较差的有13个,协调程度一般的有6个,总体协调程度较差。在分析个案原因的基础上,提出高等教育发展规划要更多考虑地方经济发展状况和潜力;鼓励高等教育发展滞后地区的地方政府加大对高等教育投资,支持社会资本进入高等教育领域;适当控制发展过度地区的高等教育规模,并加大中央财政对西部欠发达地区的财政支持。     

The economic design of multivariate binomial EWMA VSSI control charts

Since multi-attribute control charts have received little attention compared with multivariate variable control charts, this research is concerned with developing a new methodology to employ the multivariate exponentially weighted moving average (MEWMA) charts for m-attribute binomial processes; the attributes being the number of nonconforming items. Moreover, since the variable sample size and sampling interval (VSSI) MEWMA charts detect small process mean shifts faster than the traditional MEWMA, an economic design of the VSSI MEWMA chart is proposed to obtain the optimum design parameters of the chart. The sample size, the sampling interval, and the warning/action limit coefficients are obtained using a genetic algorithm such that the expected total cost per hour is minimized. At the end, a sensitivity analysis has been carried out to investigate the effects of the cost and the model parameters on the solution of the economic design of the VSSI MEWMA chart.     

Forecasting Accuracy of Alternative Techniques: A Comparison of U.S. Macroeconomic Forecasts

This article introduces and discusses a new measure of the relative economic affluence (REA) between income distributions with different means. The REA measure D is applied to the U.S. white and black household income distributions of 1967 and 1979. The measure D shows that the REA of the white households with respect to the black households decreased from 1967 to 1979. This conclusion contrasts with those obtained by applications of distance or quasi-distance functions. It is shown in this study that REA measures and distance functions address different and relevant issues. An REA measure deals with the relation “more affluent than” and defines a partial strict ordering over the set of pairs of income distributions—that is, the relation is asymmetric and transitive—whereas a distance function accounts for the dissimilarity between distributions without imposing an ordering relation and hence fulfills the symmetry property.     

Online Control Charts for Process Averages Based on Repeated Median Filters

Two types of estimates of process level, namely repeated median estimates (Siegel, 1982 Siegel , A. F. ( 1982 ). Robust regression using repeated medians . Biometrika 69 : 242 – 244 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) and full online estimates (Gather et al., 2006 Gather , U. , Schettlinger , K. , Fried , R. ( 2006 ). Online signal extraction by robust linear regression . Computational Statistics 21 : 33 – 51 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) based on repeated median filters, are used to develop control charts. The distributional properties of the estimates are studied using simulation and these are found to closely follow normal distribution. The repeated median being robust against outliers with asymptotically 50% breakdown value and having small standard deviation is found to be useful as a basis for monitoring process averages. The control charts using repeated median estimates have been recommended for general use.     

Determining Process Death Based on Censored Activity Data

This article addresses the problem of estimating the time of apparent death in a binary stochastic process. We show that, when only censored data are available, a fitted logistic regression model may estimate the time of death incorrectly. We improve this estimation by utilizing discrete-event simulation to produce simulated complete time series data. The proposed methodology may be applied to situations where time of death cannot be formally determined and has to be estimated based on prolonged inactivity. As an illustration, we use observed monthly activity patterns from 300 real Open Source Software development projects sampled from Sourceforge.net.