Peak Oil and the Narrative Construction of Unmarked Identities

Resource depletion is usually an ecological or economic issue, but I approach interpretations of peak oil as the interplay between local and cultural knowledge during narrative identity construction. I examine two internet resource depletion blogs finding that bloggers compete for narrative control using identity unmarkers. Identity unmarkers are taken for granted understandings of normativity. I call this process narrative unmarking. I discuss four identity unmarkers that play on everyday sentiments of normativity: doing something, doing rationality, making plausible insights, and proposing solutions.     

考虑结构变化和长记忆性的国际原油价格波动率预测研究

原油市场普遍存在结构变化现象，可能会引发原油价格波动率的长记忆性，导致模型参数的有偏估计。为此，本文考虑原油价格波动率的结构变化和长记忆性特征，采用考虑结构断点的GARCH族模型和MMGARCH模型对WTI和Brent油价波动率进行预测建模。结果表明，WTI和Brent油价波动率中确实存在明显的结构变化和长记忆性特征，而能够捕捉这两种特征的GARCH族模型往往比忽略它们的模型取得更好的油价波动率预测效果，特别是，同时动态捕捉结构变化和长记忆性特征的MMGARCH模型对油价波动率的预测性能优于其他相关模型。     

德国在二战中的石油战述评

分析了二战中德国石油的来源、战争初期影响其石油供应的主要因素、石油供应不足对德国军事行动的制约等，论述了石油在国家战争行为中的重要作用。     

我国船舶油污损害赔偿法律制度探析

当今世界性能源危机加速了石油航运业的发展,使船舶溢油污染海域的风险日益增大。我国船舶油污损害赔偿法律制度尚存一些欠缺,有必要逐步与国际接轨,建立一个相对完善的船舶油污损害赔偿机制。     

从资源地缘政治角度分析中东石油安全问题

石油在当今的地位远非只是单纯的国际性的大宗商品,而是一种将经济、军事和政治利益集一身的战略商品。石油如此重要,却绝大部分来自于长期面临政治动荡、军事冲突不断的中东地区。中东石油安全问题归根到底是石油供给安全问题。虽然造成中东石油供给安全的原因很多,如恐怖袭击、反西方和激进宗教主义情绪、自然性因素等等,但从资源地缘政治学角度剖析,其根源在于各国对战略资源石油的安全考虑,以及为掌控这一资源而在中东地区实行的不同的对外政策,从而导致了对这一资源控制权的争夺。     

中缅油气管道运输的若干国际法律问题

中缅油气管道项目工程已经分别在中缅两国开工建设，但由于本项目建设与运营具有特殊性与复杂性，必须在对影响中缅油气管道运输的国际法律框架进行分析的基础上，对中缅油气管道运输的管辖权问题、环境问题、交易结算问题与争议解决等问题从国际法层面进行分析，对项目的平稳运行给予法律制度的保障，并对中国一东盟能源法律合作提供积极和可供借鉴的样板。     

The Effect of Geographic Proximity to Unconventional Oil and Gas Development on Public Support for Hydraulic Fracturing

With the rapid growth of unconventional oil and natural gas development transforming the U.S. economic and physical landscape, social scientists have increasingly explored the spatial dynamics of public support for this issue—that is, whether people closer to unconventional oil and gas development are more supportive or more opposed. While theoretical frameworks like construal‐level theory and the “Not in My Backyard” (or NIMBY) moniker provide insight into these spatial dynamics, case studies in specific locations experiencing energy development reveal substantial variation in community responses. Larger‐scale studies exploring the link between proximity and support have been hampered by data quality and availability. We draw on a unique data set that includes geo‐coded data from national surveys (nine waves; n  = 19,098) and high‐resolution well location data to explore the relationship between proximity and both familiarity with and support for hydraulic fracturing. We use two different measures of proximity—respondent distance to the nearest well and the density of wells within a certain radius of the respondent's location. We find that both types of proximity to new development are linked to more familiarity with hydraulic fracturing, even after controlling for various individual and contextual factors, but only distance‐based proximity is linked to more support for the practice. When significant, these relationships are similar to or exceed the effects of race, income, gender, and age. We discuss the implications of these findings for effective risk communication as well as the importance of incorporating spatial analysis into public opinion research on perceptions of energy development.     

船舶溢油应急反应机制的资金保障制度研究

船舶溢油应急反应资金保障制度的缺失,直接影响到船舶溢油应急反应工作的开展和溢油应急反应能力的提高。本文在构建船舶溢油应急反应资金保障制度设想的同时,包括资金的来源、适用范围、资金的管理、申请及支付程序等,也考虑了船舶溢油应急反应专项基金与船舶油污责任强制保证制度、油污损害赔偿基金等制度的衔接。     

铁路“以电代油”效应评价及未来发展趋势

在以石油为主导的世界能源消费结构逐步陷入能源供给危机的背景下,一些国家已着手对运输业的能耗结构进行调整,其中之一就是在铁路行业实施＂以电代油＂工程。通过对铁路电气化线路运营效率的主要指标、运输成本、能耗及其对整个行业能源结构的影响等因素的比较分析,发现电气化铁路在速度、经济效应及社会效应方面具有独特的优势。铁路＂以电代油＂未来发展趋势主要是发展高速电气化铁路,并改进电力机车性能及供电方式。     

林木生物柴油产业化开发问题探析

以木本油料植物为原料开发生产的生物柴油及其产业化经营,可以在不影响粮食安全的基础上有效地缓解我国巨大的能源压力。对比分析了草本油料植物、废弃油脂、木本油料植物等原材料在开发转化为生物柴油过程中的利弊,指出了林木生物柴油产业化开发的自然优势和技术优势,分析了其开发过程中存在的工业化和规模化不足等问题。提出了制定针对生物质能发展的补贴政策;引导生物柴油消费倾向;扩大试点示范、完善林木生物柴油产业化发展以及将林木生物柴油的产业化与促进农民增收有机结合,确保林木生物柴油规模化发展等对策建议。