Towards Enhancement of the Economy of a Thermal Power Generating System through Prediction of Plant Efficiency

The plant ‘Heat Rate’ (HR) is a measure of overall efficiency of a thermal power generating system. It depends on a large number of factors, some of which are non-measurable, while data relating to others are seldom available and recorded. However, coal quality (expressed in terms of ‘effective heat value’ (EHV) as kcal/kg) transpires to be one of the important factors that influences HR values and data on EHV are available in any thermal power generating system. In the present work, we propose a prediction interval of the HR values on the basis of only EHV, keeping in mind that coal quality is one of the important (but not the only) factors that have a pronounced effect on the combustion process and hence on HR. The underlying theory borrows the idea of providing simultaneous confidence interval (SCI) to the coefficients of a p-th p(≥1) order autoregressive model (AR(p)). The theory has been substantiated with the help of real life data from a power utility (after suitable base and scale transformation of the data to maintain the confidentiality of the classified document). Scope for formulating strategies to enhance the economy of a thermal power generating system has also been explored.     

基于主成分分析的我国西部地区间产业结构转换能力评价

产业结构的演进和转换是经济发展的本质特征,也是促进经济持续稳定协调发展的关键。西部地区产业结构转换能力的地区差异十分明显,本文阐述了影响地区产业结构转换的一般因素,并通过主成分分析方法对影响西部地区产业结构转换的主要因素进行了分析,并对西部各地区产业结构转换能力、转换速度以及转换方向进行了分析评价。     

论科技期刊的品牌资本

科技期刊的品牌资本是其生存和发展的关键因素,品牌资本体现了社会效益与经济效益的同一性。品牌资本的价值回归是一个缓慢但却是相当稳定的过程。通过抽样调查和方差分析,定量说明了上述论点的正确性。     

基于因果关系的教育研究方法思考

探索、检验因果关系是教育科学研究的重要目标之一,相关分析、回归分析、路径分析等常用统计方法存在许多不足。结构方程模型是针对这些不足提出来的,从统计思路上,它具有优点,但还不够完善,应引起我国教育学界的注意。     

文本同声传译材料的语言特点分析

文本同声传译材料的语言特点是影响口译质量的一个重要变量.它包括词汇密度高,没有冗长罗嗦成分,较少出现形合现象,句法停顿较多.为提高口译质量,我们建议同声传译大会发言者从发言口语化,多使用意群停顿以及保持适中语速方面做出努力.     

"辩诉交易"立法可行性的相对合理解读

“辩诉交易”制度是起源于英美法系国家 ,并为诸多发达国家所借鉴的刑事诉讼程序。在分析“辩诉交易”的起源及当前国际上的立法、司法现状基础上 ,一定范围内承认“辩诉交易”的合法性 ,借鉴其来弥补我国刑事诉讼简易程序、“坦白从宽”刑事政策、污点证人作证豁免制度的不足 ,并由此提出相对合理的立法思路和具体建议     

数学证明中的推理问题

演绎推理和非演绎推理经常被运用到数学证明中。二者的共同之处在于:都是从前提推出结论、从已知达于未知;非演绎推理除归纳法之外,与演绎推理一样,只要前提都真,结论必真。不同之处在于:演绎推理从前提到结论之间的推理是逻辑推理,而非演绎推理的推理过程则是根据具体问题进行具体分析;演绎推理的前提与结论之间的关系必然能被数理逻辑的逻辑演算中的形式定理所反映,非演绎推理的前提与结论间的关系则不能;演绎推理对应着一个演绎推理规则,非演绎推理则无对应的推理规则。     

网络技术政策探析

概要介绍了国外网络技术政策的制定与发展,重点探讨了网络技术政策应该注意的基本问题,并对制定我国网络技术政策提出了几点建设性的意见。认为我国网络技术政策的制定应建立在全球化的背景之上,并且应该进一步加强网络安全政策法规的制定与实施,坚持"统一规划,分步实施"的政策制定原则。     

Trade-Offs Between Formal Home Health Care and Informal Family CareGiving

Using 1994 National Long Term Care Survey data, we estimated logistic regressions of formal and informal home health care use and hours. Home health care use and intensity were differentially impacted by chronic conditions, are higher for Medicaid enrollees and rural or small town residents, but lower for HMO enrollees. Decreases in the probability of home health care use increased informal instrumental activities of daily living (IADL) support four hours and decreased informal activities of daily living (ADL) support eight hours weekly. IADL caregiving substituted for formal care, but ADL caregiving declined with reductions in formal care. Public policy reducing formal home health care access may reduce informal ADL caregiving and increase informal IADL caregiving, producing net declines in support.     

区域产业竞争力分析:以苏中地区为例

提高区域综合竞争力,关键是提高区域产业竞争力。根据文章给出的区域产业竞争力指标体系,通过对苏中地区与周边地区产业竞争力状况的比较研究和对苏中地区产业竞争力情况的实证分析,可知提高苏中地区产业竞争力应从提高投入要素的知识技术含量、大力发展第三产业等五个方面作出制度安排。