全文获取类型
收费全文 | 23080篇 |
免费 | 766篇 |
国内免费 | 239篇 |
专业分类
管理学 | 1920篇 |
劳动科学 | 4篇 |
民族学 | 301篇 |
人才学 | 1篇 |
人口学 | 620篇 |
丛书文集 | 1576篇 |
理论方法论 | 1679篇 |
综合类 | 12920篇 |
社会学 | 2356篇 |
统计学 | 2708篇 |
出版年
2024年 | 44篇 |
2023年 | 218篇 |
2022年 | 244篇 |
2021年 | 312篇 |
2020年 | 510篇 |
2019年 | 590篇 |
2018年 | 613篇 |
2017年 | 762篇 |
2016年 | 678篇 |
2015年 | 706篇 |
2014年 | 1208篇 |
2013年 | 2304篇 |
2012年 | 1472篇 |
2011年 | 1525篇 |
2010年 | 1247篇 |
2009年 | 1223篇 |
2008年 | 1329篇 |
2007年 | 1478篇 |
2006年 | 1434篇 |
2005年 | 1176篇 |
2004年 | 1097篇 |
2003年 | 1002篇 |
2002年 | 834篇 |
2001年 | 619篇 |
2000年 | 426篇 |
1999年 | 211篇 |
1998年 | 109篇 |
1997年 | 114篇 |
1996年 | 106篇 |
1995年 | 90篇 |
1994年 | 69篇 |
1993年 | 61篇 |
1992年 | 47篇 |
1991年 | 27篇 |
1990年 | 31篇 |
1989年 | 34篇 |
1988年 | 26篇 |
1987年 | 25篇 |
1986年 | 22篇 |
1985年 | 15篇 |
1984年 | 16篇 |
1983年 | 8篇 |
1982年 | 8篇 |
1981年 | 9篇 |
1980年 | 2篇 |
1979年 | 1篇 |
1978年 | 1篇 |
1977年 | 1篇 |
1975年 | 1篇 |
排序方式: 共有10000条查询结果,搜索用时 0 毫秒
951.
In this paper, we propose a flexible cure rate survival model by assuming that the number of competing causes of the event of interest follows the Negative Binomial distribution and the time to event follows a Weibull distribution. Indeed, we introduce the Weibull-Negative-Binomial (WNB) distribution, which can be used in order to model survival data when the hazard rate function is increasing, decreasing and some non-monotonous shaped. Another advantage of the proposed model is that it has some distributions commonly used in lifetime analysis as particular cases. Moreover, the proposed model includes as special cases some of the well-know cure rate models discussed in the literature. We consider a frequentist analysis for parameter estimation of a WNB model with cure rate. Then, we derive the appropriate matrices for assessing local influence on the parameter estimates under different perturbation schemes and present some ways to perform global influence analysis. Finally, the methodology is illustrated on a medical data. 相似文献
952.
Trias Wahyuni Rakhmawati Geert Verbeke Christel Faes 《Journal of applied statistics》2016,43(9):1722-1737
We develop local influence diagnostics to detect influential subjects when generalized linear mixed models are fitted to incomplete longitudinal overdispersed count data. The focus is on the influence stemming from the dropout model specification. In particular, the effect of small perturbations around an MAR specification are examined. The method is applied to data from a longitudinal clinical trial in epileptic patients. The effect on models allowing for overdispersion is contrasted with that on models that do not. 相似文献
953.
954.
A Rejection Principle for Sequential Tests of Multiple Hypotheses Controlling Familywise Error Rates 下载免费PDF全文
We present a unifying approach to multiple testing procedures for sequential (or streaming) data by giving sufficient conditions for a sequential multiple testing procedure to control the familywise error rate (FWER). Together, we call these conditions a ‘rejection principle for sequential tests’, which we then apply to some existing sequential multiple testing procedures to give simplified understanding of their FWER control. Next, the principle is applied to derive two new sequential multiple testing procedures with provable FWER control, one for testing hypotheses in order and another for closed testing. Examples of these new procedures are given by applying them to a chromosome aberration data set and finding the maximum safe dose of a treatment. 相似文献
955.
This paper deals with the problem of predicting the real‐valued response variable using explanatory variables containing both multivariate random variable and random curve. The proposed functional partial linear single‐index model treats the multivariate random variable as linear part and the random curve as functional single‐index part, respectively. To estimate the non‐parametric link function, the functional single‐index and the parameters in the linear part, a two‐stage estimation procedure is proposed. Compared with existing semi‐parametric methods, the proposed approach requires no initial estimation and iteration. Asymptotical properties are established for both the parameters in the linear part and the functional single‐index. The convergence rate for the non‐parametric link function is also given. In addition, asymptotical normality of the error variance is obtained that facilitates the construction of confidence region and hypothesis testing for the unknown parameter. Numerical experiments including simulation studies and a real‐data analysis are conducted to evaluate the empirical performance of the proposed method. 相似文献
956.
When studying associations between a functional covariate and scalar response using a functional linear model (FLM), scientific knowledge may indicate possible monotonicity of the unknown parameter curve. In this context, we propose an F-type test of monotonicity, based on a full versus reduced nested model structure, where the reduced model with monotonically constrained parameter curve is nested within an unconstrained FLM. For estimation under the unconstrained FLM, we consider two approaches: penalised least-squares and linear mixed model effects estimation. We use a smooth then monotonise approach to estimate the reduced model, within the null space of monotone parameter curves. A bootstrap procedure is used to simulate the null distribution of the test statistic. We present a simulation study of the power of the proposed test, and illustrate the test using data from a head and neck cancer study. 相似文献
957.
In Britain in recent years social mobility has become a topic of central political concern, primarily as a result of the effort made by New Labour to make equality of opportunity rather than equality of condition a focus of policy. Questions of the level, pattern and trend of mobility thus bear directly on the relevance of New Labour's policy analysis, and in turn are likely be crucial to the evaluation of its performance in government. However, politically motivated discussion of social mobility often reveals an inadequate grasp of both empirical and analytical issues. We provide new evidence relevant to the assessment of social mobility - in particular, intergenerational class mobility - in contemporary Britain through cross-cohort analyses based on the NCDS and BCS datasets which we can relate to earlier cross-sectional analyses based on the GHS. We find that, contrary to what seems now widely supposed, there is no evidence that absolute mobility rates are falling; but, for men, the balance of upward and downward movement is becoming less favourable. This is overwhelmingly the result of class structural change. Relative mobility rates, for both men and women, remain essentially constant, although there are possible indications of a declining propensity for long-range mobility. We conclude that under present day structural conditions there can be no return to the generally rising rates of upward mobility that characterized the middle decades of the twentieth century - unless this is achieved through changing relative rates in the direction of greater equality or, that is, of greater fluidity. But this would then produce rising rates of downward mobility to exactly the same extent - an outcome apparently unappreciated by, and unlikely to be congenial to, politicians preoccupied with winning the electoral 'middle ground'. 相似文献
958.
Orit Nuttman-Shwartz 《Clinical Social Work Journal》2007,35(4):237-244
One essential dilemma for modern clinical social work involves the relationship between the processes taking place inside
the self and the social, cultural, and political developments affecting a person from the outside. The group-analysis approach
focuses on four levels of relationships and communication within the group, among others a primordial level of shared myths,
archetypical images, and the collective unconscious as an important component of psychotherapy. This article describes group-analysis
therapy with women, analyzing a therapeutic process that used social myths to explore the formative institutionalization processes
participants had undergone, thereby expanding themselves, growing, and changing.
相似文献
Orit Nuttman-ShwartzEmail: Email: |
959.
Jackson M 《The British journal of sociology》2007,58(3):367-390
The question of how societies allocate occupational positions and subsequent rewards has long been of interest to sociologists. According to one influential theory, the needs of modern industrial societies and economies demand that high-level and functionally important occupational positions are allocated according to meritocratic principles. I argue that, ultimately, employers get the final say about which characteristics are rewarded in the labour market. In order to examine which skills and attributes are required by employers for particular occupations I analyse data drawn from a content analysis of c.5000 British newspaper job advertisements. The results show that both merit and non-merit characteristics are requested by employers in job advertisements, even for occupations falling within the higher classes. I also find evidence that employers have similar requirements for similar occupations, cross-cutting class boundaries. 相似文献
960.
Assessing the effects of land use and land cover patterns on thermal conditions using landscape metrics in city of Indianapolis,United States 总被引:6,自引:0,他引:6
Direct applications of remote sensing thermal infrared (TIR) data in landscape ecological research are rare due to limitations
in the sensors, calibration, and difficulty in interpretation. Currently there is a general lack of methodology for examining
the relationship between land surface temperatures (LST) derived from TIR data and landscape patterns extracted from optical
sensors. A separation of landscapes into values directly related to their scale and signature is a key step. In this study,
a Landsat ETM+ image of Indianapolis, Unites States, acquired on June 22, 2000, was spectrally unmixed (using spectral mixture
analysis, SMA) into fraction endmembers of green vegetation, soil, high albedo, and low albedo. Impervious surface was then
computed from the high and low albedo images. A hybrid classification procedure was developed to classify the fraction images
into seven land use and land cover (LULC) classes. Using the fractional images, the landscape composition and pattern were
examined. Next, pixel-based LST measurements were correlated with the landscape fractional components to investigate LULC
based relationships between LST and impervious surface and green vegetation fractions. An examination of the relationship
between the LULC and LST maps with landscape metrics was finally conducted to deepen understanding of their interactions.
Results indicate that SMA-derived fraction images were effective for quantifying the urban morphology and for providing reliable
measurements of biophysical variables. LST was found to be positively correlated with impervious surface fraction but negatively
correlated with green vegetation fraction. Each temperature zone was associated with a dominant LULC category. Further research
should be directed to the theoretical and applied implications of describing such relationships between LULC patterns and
urban thermal conditions.
相似文献
Dengsheng LuEmail: |