The effect of cognitive diversity on the illusion of control bias in strategic decisions: An experimental investigation

By integrating cognitive diversity into debiasing literature, this paper contributes towards opening the black box of executive judgment. Based on information processing theory we investigate the role of cognitive diversity in strategic decision making. We apply a vignette-based experimental research design to examine the effect of cognitive diversity in teams on decision maker's illusion of control. The results of these experiments provide evidence for a positive influence of high cognitive diversity for debiasing judgment while similarly indicating no such effect for groups with low cognitive diversity. These findings suggest that group composition aspects can play an important role for improving judgment in decision making teams and open promising new avenues for studying debiasing in behavioral strategy research.     

社会网络、 先前经验与创业风险识别

无法识别创业风险是导致创业失败的主要原因之一,如何有效识别并管理创业风险是新创企业健康成长的关键.社会网络能够弥补创业者在识别风险过程中的信息劣势,但既有研究极少探索社会网络是否以及如何影响创业风险识别.为弥补这个研究空白,文章利用信息处理理论为研究框架,构建了创业风险识别模型.具体而言,结构洞和网络强度有利于创业者获取更多、高质量与风险相关的信息,进而识别更多的创业风险;获取信息的数量在网络强度与创业风险识别关系之间发挥完全中介作用;创业者的先前经验正向影响创业风险识别,并对结构洞与获取信息的数量之间关系起调节作用.文章讨论了研究结果的理论贡献与实践启发.     

Does Iconicity in Pictographs Matter? The Influence of Iconicity and Numeracy on Information Processing,Decision Making,and Liking in an Eye‐Tracking Study

Researchers recommend the use of pictographs in medical risk communication to improve people's risk comprehension and decision making. However, it is not yet clear whether the iconicity used in pictographs to convey risk information influences individuals’ information processing and comprehension. In an eye‐tracking experiment with participants from the general population (N = 188), we examined whether specific types of pictograph icons influence the processing strategy viewers use to extract numerical information. In addition, we examined the effect of iconicity and numeracy on probability estimation, recall, and icon liking. This experiment used a 2 (iconicity: blocks vs. restroom icons) × 2 (scenario: medical vs. nonmedical) between‐subject design. Numeracy had a significant effect on information processing strategy, but we found no effect of iconicity or scenario. Results indicated that both icon types enabled high and low numerates to use their default way of processing and extracting the gist of the message from the pictorial risk communication format: high numerates counted icons, whereas low numerates used large‐area processing. There was no effect of iconicity in the probability estimation. However, people who saw restroom icons had a higher probability of correctly recalling the exact risk level. Iconicity had no effect on icon liking. Although the effects are small, our findings suggest that person‐like restroom icons in pictographs seem to have some advantages for risk communication. Specifically, in nonpersonalized prevention brochures, person‐like restroom icons may maintain reader motivation for processing the risk information.     

空间OLAP 技术研究

针对决策支持系统中空间数据可视化应用趋势,研究基于空间数据仓库的一种决策分析 工具———在线分析处理,通过改进空间数据立方体的物化视图选择方法,并进行了实例分析, 验证该方法的有效性和优越性,更好地解决空间OLAP 响应时间延迟问题. 进而扩展空间OLAP 应用模型和模式,实现更加完备、灵活的空间OLAP 操作功能.     

Asymmetries in Information Processing in a Decision Theory Framework

Research in psychology suggests that some individuals are more sensitive to positive than to negative information while others are more sensitive to negative rather than positive information. I take these cognitive positive–negative asymmetries in information processing to a Bayesian decision-theory model and explore its consequences in terms of decisions and payoffs. I show that in monotone decision problems economic agents with more positive-responsive information structures are always better off, ex ante, when they face problems where payoffs are relatively more sensitive to the action chosen when the state of nature is favorable.      

综合性运动会电脑服务系统的设计与应用

介绍了在四川省第六届运动会上首次使用我们研制的中小型运动会实时处理和综合服务系统及其系统组成、功能特点及应用实况.该系统的主要特点是可靠性高、实时性好、功能强全、操作简便和经济实用.     

智能化仪表传感器非线性校正的实现

本文描述了传感器非线性特性预处理的方法．实践证明该方法适用于标准或非标准特殊传感器，处理结果使智能型仪表的测试精度有显著提高．     

新鲜鱿鱼超高压杀菌工艺试验

为确定新鲜鱿鱼超高压杀菌工艺的最佳工艺参数,以杀菌压力、保压时间、漂烫温度为条件,设计了新鲜鱿鱼超 高压杀菌试验。试验结果表明,90℃漂烫10 min,在400 MPa压力下保压10 min,此为新鲜鱿鱼超高压杀菌的最佳工艺 条件。     

三点渐进式无模成形分析与数值模拟

渐进成形是一种金属板材快速无模成形方法。工具头挤压板材产生连续的局部变形,通过累积局部变形以达到整体成形。然而每一局部变形必然影响整体变形,所以对局部变形的控制就成为成形精度的关键。文章提出一种3点渐进式无模成形方法,可以很好的控制的局部变形。通过LS-DYNA模拟整个成形过程,并通过分析节点在成形过程中的位移变化,可以看出此方法对局部变形的控制效果,提高了成形精度。     

EMDR、适应性信息加工与个案概念化(下)

EMDR是一个整合性的、以咨客为中心的心理治疗方法。该方法用于治疗那些不是由器质性损伤为病理学基础的心理问题,它的治疗重点是处理大脑的信息加工系统中的痛苦记忆。EMDR既能处理那些引起困扰的经历和体验,也能帮助咨客获得达到更健康的心理状态所需要的经历和体验。综览EMDR的历史、发展和研究,它是一个主要以经验为支持的治疗方法。本文在阐述适应性信息加工模型之后,用一个延续的个案实例,来说明EMDR的个案概念化和8个阶段的治疗。EMDR技术主要是加工那些有病理学基础的早期记忆和引发不良功能的当前情境,并为未来适应性的行为提供模板,包括克服技能不足和(或)发展性的不足所需的知识与行为。整合的EMDR与家庭系统观点的好处是可以提供最综合的治疗效果。