How Do Behavioral Assumptions Affect Structural Inference? Evidence From a Laboratory Experiment

We develop a model of labor force status (federal employment, nonfederal employment, unemployment, and out of the labor force) that depends on human capital variables, local labor market conditions, and personal characteristics. According to the estimated model for white non-Hispanic males and females a substantial difference exists between blacks and white non-Hispanics even after correction for the control variables. However, the control variables explain almost all of the difference between Hispanics and white non-Hispanics.     

The Increasingly Mixed Proportional Hazard Model: An Application to Socioeconomic Status,Health Shocks,and Mortality

We introduce a duration model that allows for unobserved cumulative individual-specific shocks, which are likely to be important in explaining variations in duration outcomes, such as length of life and time spent unemployed. The model is also a useful tool in situations where researchers observe a great deal of information about individuals when first interviewed in surveys but little thereafter. We call this model the “increasingly mixed proportional hazard” (IMPH) model. We compare and contrast this model with the mixed proportional hazard (MPH) model, which continues to be the workhorse of applied single-spell duration analysis in economics and the other social sciences. We apply the IMPH model to study the relationships among socioeconomic status, health shocks, and mortality, using 19 waves of data drawn from the German Socio-Economic Panel (SOEP). The IMPH model is found to fit the data statistically better than the MPH model, and unobserved health shocks and socioeconomic status are shown to play powerful roles in predicting longevity.     

Between Neo-liberalism and Neo-indigenismo: Reconstructing National Identity in Mexico

Heightened integration with the US coupled with the rise of an indigenous movement have challenged and strained long-held images regarding the US and the indigenous within Mexico. As a result, Mexico finds itself facing the difficult task of re-evaluating and reconstructing its national identity. This paper explores the traditional images of the US and the Indian shaping national identity in Mexico and the challenges posed today by neo-liberalism and neo-indigenismo. It sets out a range of current issues, explores the linkages and contradictions, and examines the state of national reform. Fundamentally, the paper strives to raise important theoretical questions and hence set the stage for further research into these issues.     

Political constructions of a cross-community identity in a divided society: how politicians articulate Northern Irishness

ABSTRACT

A shared identity has been shown to reduce prejudice between conflicting social groups. One such common national category is the ‘Northern Irish’ identity which can be inclusive of both Catholics and Protestants. This study analyses the plenary sessions of the Northern Ireland Assembly to show how the national category ‘Northern Irish’ is framed by politicians. Content analysis shows that it is used more often by centrist parties who tend to frame it positively and as part of their political viewpoint. There is also evidence of the instrumental use of this identity by unionists in line with the ingroup projection model.     

Proportional reversed hazard rate model and its applications

The purpose of this paper is to study the structure and properties of the proportional reversed hazard rate model (PRHRM) in contrast to the celebrated proportional hazard model (PHM). The monotonicity of the hazard rate and the reversed hazard rate of the model is investigated. Some criteria of aging are presented and the inheritance of the aging notions (of the base distribution) by the PRHRM is studied. Characterizations of the model involving Fisher information are presented and the statistical inference of the parameters is discussed. Finally, it is shown that several members of the proportional reversed hazard rate class have been found to be useful and flexible in real data analysis.     

“危险驾驶”行为不宜独立设罪——对刑法修正案（八）第二十二条的评析

危险驾驶行为有巨大的社会危险性,刑法修正案（八）将飙车、醉酒驾驶等危险驾驶行为纳入刑法打击的范围,迎合了社会公众要求打击此类行为的舆论。但是,单独设立危险驾驶罪有悖刑法谦抑性,会造成刑法规范之间的不协调和实践操作上的困难。通过解释和完善现有刑法规范,完全可以满足对高危驾驶行为进行刑事处罚的需要。因此,在刑法中单设危险驾驶罪没有必要。     

绵阳城区街道用字状况的调查分析

通过对绵阳城区街道用字状况的抽样调查,发现绵阳城区街道用字仍存在着一些不规范的现象。有关部门应加强宣传教育,提高人们的用字规范意识;同时加强监督管理,切实提高绵阳城区街道用字的规范程度。     

西方公共治理理论体系的构建及对我国的启示

西方公共治理的五大前沿理论有共性也有差异,这种差异性并非是对立之存在,而是互补之存在。新公共服务理论在理念层面上,突出服务理念;网络（化）治理理论在治理结构方面,强调网络结构;整体性治理理论在治理方式方面,提倡整合或合作的治理方式;数字治理理论在治理工具方面,主张大数据技术或智能化治理;公共价值管理理论在治理目标或使命方面,认为创造公共价值将是未来的方向。因此,我们应将治理的理念、结构、方式、工具、使命等层面的优势整合起来,构建西方公共治理理论体系,发挥出整体优势,理论群优势。这一理论体系的构建既能反观我国当前的治理背景、设计出合理的治理方案,又能在理念、结构、机制、工具、目标层面启发我国国家治理体系构建。     

工业城市"三位一体"公共危机管理机制的建构

工业城市公共危机事件的频繁发生,表明我国已进入工业城市公共危机的高发期。因此,在工业城市中构建以政府为核心和基础、以企业和社区为条件和保证的“三位一体”的公共危机管理机制已经势在必行。     

把握正确舆论导向服务全省工作大局

追求正确、积极的舆论导向是我国新闻媒体的必然要求.坚持正确的新闻舆论导向必须坚持"五个有利于",服从服务于全党的工作大局.本文从用"三个代表"重要思想统领宣传工作;围绕中心,服务大局,宣传好省委、省政府的决策部署;把握正确舆论导向,提高宣传引导水平等三个方面论述了河北电视台在把握正确舆论导向,服务全省工作大局中做出的贡献.