人口老龄化、家庭消费结构与中国养老模式改革——基于微观数据对人口红利的探讨

对人口老龄化对中国农村居民和城镇居民家庭消费结构的影响进行细致研究。根据修正后的AIDS模型对少儿抚养比和老年抚养比对各类消费支出的影响加以量化分析,在利用CHALS数据对目前中国老年群体消费结构相关指标进行描述性统计的基础上,得出研究结论：中国目前的养老模式仍然以家庭养老为主,父母在子女成年后仍然对其有经济上的支助,财富在代际之间的转移不能形成有效的社会投资。如果不能建立更多的社会养老机构,完善社会保障体系,在我国进入严重老龄化阶段后,社会养老问题将成为我国抑制消费、阻挡投融资体系健康发展的巨大障碍。     

社会网络视角下农民工创业互助组织发展探析

农民工创业互助组织发展前景广阔,但面临诸多制约。从社会网络视角探讨这一新兴组织的发展方向及其与农民工创业计划的关系可以得出：社会网络越发达的农民工,创业行为越活跃;强关系是创业互助组织创立的基础,弱关系是决定其发展水平和规模的重要因素。同时,农民工创业互助行为受到社会支持和示范效应的影响。在组织发展的不同阶段,妥善利用社会网络中的强关系和弱关系,将情感型策略与工具型策略相结合,是不断推进农民工创业互助组织发展的动力。     

天津区域经济与职业教育协同发展研究

区域经济的发展为职业教育提出了需求和不断扩大的市场     

基于支持向量机模型的北京市能源需求预测研究

北京市能源需求系统具有非线性、历史数据较少而影响因素众多等复杂特征, 而支持向量机模型在解决小样本、非线性及高维模式识别问题方面具有突出优势。为此, 引入支持向量机模型对北京市1978-2010年能源需求进行建模, 并据此对2012-2020年能源需求量进行预测。结果表明:支持向量机模型能有效拟合北京市能源需求系统的复杂变化趋势, 比其他传统方法有更高的预测精度。研究发现, 2012-2020年北京市能源需求量逐年增加, 年均增速2.75%;另外, 北京市能源需求的增速在“十三五”期间会比“十二五”期间略有趋缓。     

弱势群体的法律保护——以经济法的视角

经济法是一门边缘性学科,其位于经济和社会的边缘,游弋于市场与政府之间,以实现社会正义为己任,维护社会整体利益、促进社会和经济的协调发展为目标.在解决问题时总是围绕着如何处理政府和市场之间的关系,协调社会和个人等的利益为出发点和落脚点,有着自己独特的视角.文章通过经济法对弱势群体的法律保护将经济法的这一视角展示出来.     

论我国跨境远程教育的质量保障

随着国际教育贸易竞争的不断加剧,世界各国的跨境远程教育迅速发展,为维护我国在国际教育竞争中的地位,亟需从整体上建立健全我国跨境远程教育的质量保障体系.该体系既应包含外部质量保障和内部质量保障两个层面,更应体现其自身的独具特色,涵盖网络公开课和微课程、跨境学生学习支助服务、双向信息交互、国家安全、跨境远程教育项目的管理和评估等诸多方面的质量保障,唯有如此,才能推动我国的跨境远程教育持续健康快速发展.     

社会支持对新生代员工组织变革应激的影响研究

社会支持各因素对不同组织变革应激存在影响。利用自编组织变革压力问卷和工作社会支持问卷对新生代员工进行调查,结果显示不同社会支持与特定组织变革压力存在显著相关;路线模型探索显示社会支持各因素对特定组织变革压力具有显著预测力。     

Methodological Considerations for Development of Research Support Systems

The article introduces the development of research support systems (RSS) as a special form of information systems (IS) development. Building on experiences from a concrete case several crucial differences between RSS development and development of conventional business support systems (BSS) are identified. So, development for RSS means less of mission and more of continues collaboration, less of producing and more of reciprocal learning and social change. It also involves an expanded universe of discourse that requires support more from an IS researcher and less of a conventional IS-developer. Further, there are issues of ethics and funding that makes RSS development extra challenging. All this represents a shift in focus away from How to do things, toward, What things to do. The article is closed with some tentative guidelines for RSS development. Those include preparing, learning, working arena, anticipatory acting, prototyping and stepwise improvement and scrutiny.     

Using E-Health Programs to Overcome Barriers to the Effective Treatment of Mental Health and Addiction Problems

E-Health programs for mental illness and addictive behaviors have recently emerged as potentially useful self-help resources. Health care professionals will soon have the option of referring clients to free-to-end-user online, expert-moderated e-health programs as complementary means of assisting clients. Such programs will have significant implications for developing improved stepped models of care. This article describes various e-health programs and lessons learned related to access, promotion, user demographics, and patterns of use. In addition, validation procedures, effectiveness and attrition rates, fitting and tailoring, and qualitative analyses of social networks are described. It is difficult to validate e-health programs that are completely anonymous and do not require registration, personal interaction, or membership fees. As competition emerges in the budding e-health industry, best practice guidelines will need to be developed for collecting data and evaluating the utility of these programs.     

Child Welfare Workers' Adoption of Decision Support Technology

Child welfare workers must process complex information in deciding to refer clients to appropriate mental health services. Decision support systems have been demonstrated in other fields to be an important tool, yet little research has been done in child welfare. This study focused on the adoption of a specific decision support system into child welfare practice. Quantitative analysis was used to demonstrate the diffusion of innovation process among a sample of state child welfare workers, while qualitative analysis was used to explain the facilitators and barriers to decision support systems adoption. Results indicate that for decision support systems to be widely adopted in child welfare practice, they should be integrated into the referral system and include workers' knowledge and experiences with referral resources. For successful adoption, decision support systems need to respect the natural logic and flow of worker interaction as well as organizational constraints.