Estimation and inference of the joint conditional distribution for multivariate longitudinal data using nonparametric copulas

In this paper we study estimating the joint conditional distributions of multivariate longitudinal outcomes using regression models and copulas. For the estimation of marginal models, we consider a class of time-varying transformation models and combine the two marginal models using nonparametric empirical copulas. Our models and estimation method can be applied in many situations where the conditional mean-based models are not good enough. Empirical copulas combined with time-varying transformation models may allow quite flexible modelling for the joint conditional distributions for multivariate longitudinal data. We derive the asymptotic properties for the copula-based estimators of the joint conditional distribution functions. For illustration we apply our estimation method to an epidemiological study of childhood growth and blood pressure.     

Colorful Disclosures: Identifying Identity-Based Differences and Enhancing Critical Consciousness in Supervision

ABSTRACT

Managing microaggressions and marginalizing experiences while negotiating the ongoing oppression that occurs in micro, mezzo, and macro settings can be particularly challenging for clinicians of color. Thus, supervision with clinicians of color must include affirmation, empowerment, and exploration of the intracultural/intercultural dynamics inherent in the treatment-providing process and clinical supervision. Through case studies, autoethnographic studies of our supervision experiences, and interviews with supervisors and supervisees, we reflect on how axes of identity, including race, power, and privilege, inform practitioners’ clinical lenses and affect their vulnerability in treatment and the clinical supervision dyad. Special attention is placed on the clinical supervisor–clinician–client triad (the triple process) and the interpersonal dynamics of cultural sensitivity, cultural humility, and authentic responsiveness that supervisors aim to model and cultivate in the supervisory relationship. In addition to sustaining clinical growth for clinicians of color, adding this level of complexity to supervision supports equity in direct clinical practice, enhancing efficacy outcomes for clients and communities. Recommendations and pedagogical strategies are offered to support supervisors in initiating difficult dialogues and shifting the paradigm to promote this transformational perspective.     

A new Bayesian wavelet thresholding estimator of nonparametric regression

The methods of estimation of nonparametric regression function are quite common in statistical application. In this paper, the new Bayesian wavelet thresholding estimation is considered. The new mixture prior distributions for the estimation of nonparametric regression function by applying wavelet transformation are investigated. The reversible jump algorithm to obtain the appropriate prior distributions and value of thresholding is used. The performance of the proposed estimator is assessed with simulated data from well-known test functions by comparing the convergence rate of the proposed estimator with respect to another by evaluating the average mean square error and standard deviations. Finally by applying the developed method, density function of galaxy data is estimated.     

高校大学生教育管理模式转型方向及实践方式

教育管理是高校一项重要的工作,关系到高校教育的质量和效能,同时也决定了人才的成长和未来发展。在这种情况下,必须要注重高校大学生教育管理模式的打造,积极推进教育管理模式转型,从而为日常教育工作提供基础和保证。当前高校大学生教育管理模式中存在管理方式单一、管理内容陈旧、管理制度落后等问题,严重影响了高校教育工作的开展,不利于教育进步。文章以此为出发点进行研究,并为高校大学生教育管理实践提供思路指导。     

Governance and Economic Transformation in Taiwan: The Role of Politics

This article analyses the strengths and weaknesses of the developmental‐state approach as compared with a broader and more flexible developmental‐governance approach – in relation to economic transformation in a single case country, Taiwan. It argues that both approaches have strong and weak points, and comes down in favour of the view that it is only through a ‘thick’ study of political forces, processes and circumstances that the reasoning behind developmental policies and institutions can be understood and the processes of economic transformation explained.     

浅析高校女教工在山西转型跨越发展中的使命

在山西＂十二五＂转型跨越发展的过程中,高等教育在推动区域科技进步与产业转化、为区域经济发展提供智力与技术支持、为区域经济发展奠定软环境基础等方面都具有重要作用。而随着数量、素质的不断提高、结构比例的持续优化,作为具有合素质较好、知识层次较高、创新能力较强、社会影响较大等特点的高校女教工群体更应该在人才培养、科学研究、社会服务等诸多方面,充分发挥其作用,为推动山西转型跨越发展做出更大的贡献。     

社会转型与少数民族价值观变迁:以西南地区为例

从西南少数民族历史发展进程来看,其生活环境相对封闭,从而对少数民族成员的自我与他者认同构成了影响,形成特定的制度体系、交往体系和价值体系。但随着改革开放和社会转型的推进,少数民族的价值观体系也发生了变化,具体表现在价值主体、价值运行以及身份认知三个层次上,它们共同促进了少数民族的认同序列重构。     

西部地区旅游产业转型升级中的科技支撑——以云南省为例

科技推动旅游产业的发展,旅游转型升级需要强化科技支撑。西部地区经济相对落后,创新能力较低,旅游业科技应用与研发水平不高,旅游科技发展亟需创新思路和工作方法,应以技术引进为基础,以技术扩散为重点,以技术创新为辅助,重点加强技术引进和扩散,大力推进模仿创新,积极培育自主创新。现阶段应制定激励政策,引导科技、教育、研发机构、行业协会形成合力,发展技术市场和中介组织,培育旅游科技应用与创新示范企业,推进智慧景区、智能酒店、数字化旅游城市试点建设。     

上海社会组织建设与社会转型研究

社团、民办非企业单位和基金会构成上海社会组织的主体。尽管上海社会组织建设工作取得了突出的成绩,但面临的现实问题不容忽视,且存在一些先天性的制度障碍。在当前社会转型条件下,上海社会组织建设必须坚持培育发展和监督管理并重的方针,加强分类指导,强化政策扶持,改革管理体制,完善内部机制,严格依法监管,切实发挥社会组织在加强社会建设、创新社会管理中的重要作用。     

人口计生工作职能转变与建设高素质职业化队伍

行政管理体制改革是深化改革的重要环节。新时期人口和计划生育工作任重道远。要实现未来人口发展目标,转变人口和计划生育工作职能,关键要建设一支高素质的职业化队伍。国家人口计生委在机构得到充实和加强的基础上,着力转变职能,理顺关系,优化结构和提高效能,促进了人口计生工作健康、深入、持续发展。