地区信息化水平的综合评价

本文从信息化的发展入手,阐述了信息化建设及各地区信息化水平评价的重要性,采用多元统计中的主成分分析和主成分回归法,设计一个综合指标用以评估各类地区的信息化水平及其在全国所处的位置,指导各地区的信息化建设。     

论虚假广告行政责任的立法完善

虚假广告不但损害消费者的利益,更是一种典型的破坏市场竞争秩序的不正当竞争行为,应当承担行政责任。但是,我国法律对于虚假广告的行政责任立法却存在许多漏洞。为完善虚假广告的行政责任立法,必须解决虚假广告行政责任法律冲突、行政责任的构成要件及行政处罚方式等问题。     

基于主成分分析的我国西部地区间产业结构转换能力评价

产业结构的演进和转换是经济发展的本质特征,也是促进经济持续稳定协调发展的关键。西部地区产业结构转换能力的地区差异十分明显,本文阐述了影响地区产业结构转换的一般因素,并通过主成分分析方法对影响西部地区产业结构转换的主要因素进行了分析,并对西部各地区产业结构转换能力、转换速度以及转换方向进行了分析评价。     

Direct and Indirect Causal Effects via Potential Outcomes*

Abstract. The use of the concept of ‘direct’ versus ‘indirect’ causal effects is common, not only in statistics but also in many areas of social and economic sciences. The related terms of ‘biomarkers’ and ‘surrogates’ are common in pharmacological and biomedical sciences. Sometimes this concept is represented by graphical displays of various kinds. The view here is that there is a great deal of imprecise discussion surrounding this topic and, moreover, that the most straightforward way to clarify the situation is by using potential outcomes to define causal effects. In particular, I suggest that the use of principal stratification is key to understanding the meaning of direct and indirect causal effects. A current study of anthrax vaccine will be used to illustrate ideas.     

浅论教师在多媒体教学中的主体地位

运用现代多媒体教学手段，是实现教育方法现代化的必由之路，但教师在现代多媒体教学中的主体地位是不可替代的，多媒体教学在高等教育教学中发挥的作用如何，主要取决于教师的主体地位。     

On Block Updating in Markov Random Field Models for Disease Mapping

Gaussian Markov random field (GMRF) models are commonly used to model spatial correlation in disease mapping applications. For Bayesian inference by MCMC, so far mainly single-site updating algorithms have been considered. However, convergence and mixing properties of such algorithms can be extremely poor due to strong dependencies of parameters in the posterior distribution. In this paper, we propose various block sampling algorithms in order to improve the MCMC performance. The methodology is rather general, allows for non-standard full conditionals, and can be applied in a modular fashion in a large number of different scenarios. For illustration we consider three different applications: two formulations for spatial modelling of a single disease (with and without additional unstructured parameters respectively), and one formulation for the joint analysis of two diseases. The results indicate that the largest benefits are obtained if parameters and the corresponding hyperparameter are updated jointly in one large block. Implementation of such block algorithms is relatively easy using methods for fast sampling of Gaussian Markov random fields ( Rue, 2001 ). By comparison, Monte Carlo estimates based on single-site updating can be rather misleading, even for very long runs. Our results may have wider relevance for efficient MCMC simulation in hierarchical models with Markov random field components.     

三维Minkowski空间中有相等主曲率函数的一类特殊曲面的位置向量场

讨论三维Minkowski空间R2 .1中一类特殊曲面在主曲率函数相等时的情形 ,给出了这类曲面在这一情形下的位置向量场     

基于分数本征特征的手写数字识别

特征提取是手写体数字识别研究中的重要问题,有效、稳定的特征是提高识别率和识别精度的关键。该文提出了一种基于分数本征特征和核非线性分类器的手写数字识别方法,首先找到时频平面的一个轴进行分数傅里叶变换,使不同类别样本在这个轴上最大限度地分开,然后用主元分析进行降维,得到比较稳健的低维特征,再将常用分类器用于特征分类,实现对手写数字的识别。对实际数据进行实验,结果表明上述本征特征与核非线性分类器相结合有较高的识别率和训练、分类效率。     

环渤海经济圈城市群能级梯度分布结构与区域经济发展战略研究

根据增长极理论、梯度转移理论和城市功能理论,构建了城市能级综合评价指标体系,并运用主成分分析法和SPSS软件对环渤海地区内的各城市进行了城市能级的综合评价,在此基础上又采用系统聚类分析法得到了环渤海经济圈城市群的层级分布结构,最后根据研究结果和相关理论提出了环渤海地区区域经济非均衡发展的建议和策略.     

小麦新品种“绵阳26”主要性状与产量的关系

对45个试验点的资料分析,多抗、丰产、优质、广适小麦新品种绵阳26的主要性状有效穗x1、穗粒数x2和千粒x3、单穗重x4与产量y的回归方程为：y＝－614．8425＋9.8683x1＋7.3223x2＋10．5315x3＋22．5748x4。经偏回归和偏相关分析,产量构成因素中,千粒重、有效穗对绵阳26产量的贡献和影响最大（b'3＝1．7435,b'1＝1．5372,R3y.＝0．7983,R1y＝0．6991）。在现有产量的基础上稳定千粒重,主攻穗数和穗粒数,是发挥绵阳26高产潜力的决定因素。