Nonparametric estimation of the conditional distribution function in a semiparametric censorship model

In this paper we propose a new nonparametric estimator of the conditional distribution function under a semiparametric censorship model. We establish an asymptotic representation of the estimator as a sum of iid random variables, balanced by some kernel weights. This representation is used for obtaining large sample results such as the rate of uniform convergence of the estimator, or its limit distributional law. We prove that the new estimator outperforms the conditional Kaplan–Meier estimator for censored data, in the sense that it exhibits lower asymptotic variance. Illustration through real data analysis is provided.     

社会的可持续发展及其公正实现

社会可持续发展不仅是人类追求的目标,也是人类社会发展繁荣至今的根本所在。但我们在强调发展的同时也大力倡导社会公正的实现,只不过是在目前社会主义初级阶段我们更加提倡能够促进社会经济可持续发展的“公正实现”,这种“公正实现”所带来的可持续发展是以效率的提高为前提的。     

Almost Consistent Estimation of Panel Probit Models with “Small” Fixed Effects

We propose four different GMM estimators that allow almost consistent estimation of the structural parameters of panel probit models with fixed effects for the case of small Tand large N. The moments used are derived for each period from a first order approximation of the mean of the dependent variable conditional on explanatory variables and on the fixed effect. The estimators differ w.r.t. the choice of instruments and whether they use trimming to reduce the bias or not. In a Monte Carlo study, we compare these estimators with pooled probit and conditional logit estimators for different data generating processes. The results show that the proposed estimators outperform these competitors in several situations.     

“受事+施事+vp”型主谓谓语句的句法、篇章功能考察

"受事 施事 vp"型主谓谓语句的形成和使用受到句法、篇章的制约.在句法上有强调、突出受事主语和强调、突出补语成分的作用.在篇章中,受事主语有衔接连贯、对比和开启下文的作用,衔接连贯的受事主语能够使文气顺畅;对比的受事主语带有话题焦点的性质;开启下文的受事主语可以使主题统一;施事主语有对比强调和开启下文的作用,对比强调的施事主语带有对比焦点的性质;开启下文的施事主语起到主题统一的作用.     

具有Virasoro型的无穷维对称代数的群不变模型

本文利用Virasoro型的对称代数的两种具体的实现获得了各种2 1维具有无穷维Kac-Moody-Virasoro型李代数的不变方程。一些熟知的高维可积模型例如KP方程也被给出。     

工程制图课程体系和教学方法改革的思路与实践

在阐述工程制图课程重要和特殊地位的基础上 ,概括指出了目前我国工程制图课程改革的三种教学模式 ,并列举了国外部分院校课程改革的实例 ,总结出教改共识。在明确课程改革基本思想的前提下 ,具体提出课程改革的总体思路和实践过程 :整合课程内容 ,形成新的课程体系 ,构建基础平台 ;改革教学手段 ,更新教学方法 ,保证教学质量 ,提高教学效率     

A note on LeCam’s bound for the distance between the Poisson binomial and the Poisson distribution

n possibly different success probabilities p ₁, p ₂, ..., p _n is frequently approximated by a Poisson distribution with parameter λ = p ₁ + p ₂ + ... + p _n . LeCam's bound p ² ₁ + p ² ₂ + ... + p _n ² for the total variation distance between both distributions is particularly useful provided the success probabilities are small. The paper presents an improved version of LeCam's bound if a generalized d-dimensional Poisson binomial distribution is to be approximated by a compound Poisson distribution. Received: May 10, 2000; revised version: January 15, 2001     

伍子胥散论

伍子胥是吴国的忠臣,他从长远考虑,竭力主张灭越,但他的意见未被夫差采纳,反而被夫差杀害。后来吴国遭到越国的偷袭,夫差这才意识到自己错杀了伍子胥,于是他为伍子胥立庙设祭,即是忏悔,又是安抚。吴人和越人都尊伍子胥为江海涛神,是怕屈死的伍子胥亡灵变成厉鬼作祟。伍子胥在筑吴国都城和伐楚战争方面是有功于吴国的,然而他是楚人,他为了报家仇而不惜引敌国之兵攻入祖国,烧杀抢掠、奸淫妇女,还惨无人道地鞭尸,实在不值得后人称道。     

从考试科目与内容看"科举学"的广博性

科举学不仅具有独特的研究对象,而且其研究内容具有广博性和现实性.探究种类繁多的科举考试科目和宽广专深的考试内容,既可从一个角度展示科举学的广博性,也可为当今高考改革提供历史借鉴.     

Bayesian analysis of outlier problems using divergence measures

A Bayesian approach is presented for detecting influential observations using general divergence measures on the posterior distributions. A sampling-based approach using a Gibbs or Metropolis-within-Gibbs method is used to compute the posterior divergence measures. Four specific measures are proposed, which convey the effects of a single observation or covariate on the posterior. The technique is applied to a generalized linear model with binary response data, an overdispersed model and a nonlinear model. An asymptotic approximation using Laplace method to obtain the posterior divergence is also briefly discussed.