小波分析在管理数据处理中的应用

提出了一种基于小波变换的管理数据处理方法，把公司管理上的数据看成一个非平稳的时间序列，利用小渡函数将该时间序列分解到不同的频率通道上，然后将分解后的信号当作近似的平稳时间序列，用一些传统的统计方法进行预测，同时对中国足球彩票若干期的销售量数据进行了处理和预测，并将结果与实际销量以及用传统的AR模型的预测值进行了比较。     

英汉句法的比较和转换

英汉句法存在三种最基本的差异 ,即树型结构和线型结构、形合法和意合法以及句子界线的差异。在此基础上 ,着重介绍英汉互译过程中的三种转换方法     

阜新经济转型发展方向研究

在分析总结法国洛林和德国鲁尔等地区煤炭产业转型的成功经验基础上,对阜新与国外煤炭产区的经济转型进行了宏观对比分析,并根据阜新实际,对经济转型的接续产业和劳动力转移途径进行了研究探讨。在此基础上,提出了阜新经济转型重点应向现代农业和现代服务业转移,调整优化第二产业,并就经济转型中的劳动力就业、转型资金筹集和环境保护等问题提出了政策和措施建议。     

震荡与冲突：近代中国社会结构转型探析

中国传统社会结构乃是权威—依附模式。鸦片战争以后 ,随着家族中心主义的动摇、阶级的裂变和改组、社会群体的嬗变与激增以及沿海与内地、城市与乡村二元格局的出现 ,近代中国社会结构呈现出从宗法社会到二元结构社会转型的态势。     

Kurtosis modelling by means of the J-transformation

Summary: The H–family of distributions or H–distributions, introduced by Tukey (1960; 1977), are generated by a single transformation of the standard normal distribution and allow for leptokurtosis represented by the parameter h. Alternatively, Haynes et al. (1997) generated leptokurtic distributions by applying the K–transformation to the normal distribution. In this study we propose a third transformation, the so–called J–transformation, and derive some properties of this transformation. Moreover, so-called elongation generating functions (EGFs) are introduced. By means of EGFs we are able to visualize the strength of tail elongation and to construct new transformations. Finally, we compare the three transformations towards their goodness–of–fit in the context of financial return data.     

Generalized additive models for location, scale and shape

Summary.  A general class of statistical models for a univariate response variable is presented which we call the generalized additive model for location, scale and shape (GAMLSS). The model assumes independent observations of the response variable y given the parameters, the explanatory variables and the values of the random effects. The distribution for the response variable in the GAMLSS can be selected from a very general family of distributions including highly skew or kurtotic continuous and discrete distributions. The systematic part of the model is expanded to allow modelling not only of the mean (or location) but also of the other parameters of the distribution of y , as parametric and/or additive nonparametric (smooth) functions of explanatory variables and/or random-effects terms. Maximum (penalized) likelihood estimation is used to fit the (non)parametric models. A Newton–Raphson or Fisher scoring algorithm is used to maximize the (penalized) likelihood. The additive terms in the model are fitted by using a backfitting algorithm. Censored data are easily incorporated into the framework. Five data sets from different fields of application are analysed to emphasize the generality of the GAMLSS class of models.     

Horwitz's rule, transforming both sides and the design of experiments for mechanistic models

Summary. The paper develops methods for the design of experiments for mechanistic models when the response must be transformed to achieve symmetry and constant variance. The power transformation that is used is partially justified by a rule in analytical chemistry. Because of the nature of the relationship between the response and the mechanistic model, it is necessary to transform both sides of the model. Expressions are given for the parameter sensitivities in the transformed model and examples are given of optimum designs, not only for single-response models, but also for experiments in which multivariate responses are measured and for experiments in which the model is defined by a set of differential equations which cannot be solved analytically. The extension to designs for checking models is discussed.     

美国与英国公益性科技管理体系研究

从国家科技管理机构、科研体系及公共科研成果转化三个方面分析美国和英国的公益性科技管理制度及其发展变化.随着经济全球化和知识自由流动的发展,科学技术在国家经济发展与社会进步方面的作用越来越大,政府在科技管理上的职能与地位也随之发生变化,总的来说是由原来的主要资助者和实施者转变为催化者和促进者.     

社会转型与先进文化

社会转型为先进化的产生提供了基础，先进化是社会转型成功的客观要求。社会转型决定先进化，先进化又反作用于社会转型。当前中国的快速转型为先进化发挥作用提供了历史舞台，先进化只能服务于建设有中国特色的社会主义的任务，它对当前中国的社会转型起推动作用。发展当代中国的先进化，关键是要从中国先进化的基本内容上搞清楚和把握好主流性、创新性、开放性、先导性、民族性这几个中国先进化建设的重要特点，从而更好地指导当代中国的先进化建设。     

求直射变换的二重元素问题的简便方法

本文对高等几何中直射变换的二重元素的关系进行探索,得出一个求解直射变换的二重元素问题的简便方法.