清末民初的国民外交思想论析

20世纪初的国民外交思想以人民主权思想为思想基础,也是此时中国国内外特定历史环境下的产物。国民外交的内涵有狭义和广义之分,狭义的国民外交是指国民为了维护国家主权和利益而进行的对外交事务的参与活动;广义的国民外交则还包括国家间的民间交往活动。国民外交思想有实践性很强的特点,具有特定的时代价值。     

《倪焕之》与五四青年的情感教育

《倪焕之》是五四新文学的重要收获之一。小说立足于大时代的社会动荡 ,聚焦于五四之后新青年的情感教育问题 ,在五四以来的中国新文学史上具有划时代的意义。倪焕之的希望与失望、昂奋与幻灭 ,是五四之后一代新青年知识分子的共同遭遇     

On population comparisons using factor indexes or latent variables

Population comparisons of multivariate models using factor indexes or latent factors are demonstrated to be unsound with current methods of comparative analysis unless one is willing to assume a priori that all of the variances of the latent factors in a model are identical across all populations analyzed. This is an assumption that is probably only rarely found in comparative research. Without this assumption, comparisons are unsound regardless of whether model estimations are made from regression analysis or maximum likelihood techniques. A general method is suggested which proposes to make comparative analyses of factors possible without the assumption of equal variances across populations.     

从殷卜辞黄组两种“王廿祀（祠）”看帝辛卜辞的存在证据

殷墟卜辞中帝辛卜辞确实是存在的.黄组卜辞王廿祀的资料可分为两组按文字分,"王廿祀"之祀,一作"祀",一作"司";按事类分,一为周祭祀典组,一为"在上(比吾)"组."王廿祀"用在周祭祀典组,"王廿司"用在"在上(比吾)"组.卜旬加周祭祀典的"王廿祀"卜辞应为帝乙时期,"(辶必)于上(比吾)"、"在上(比吾)"的 "王廿司"应为帝辛时期.     

从比武大赛看骑士与教会的冲突

比武大赛是西欧中世纪骑士生活中重要的军事行为和社会活动 ,历代的骑士们为了各自的利益和喜好积极地投身于这项活动 ,使其在西欧的历史中延续了数百年。教会出于自身的观念和利益曾对比武大赛予以强烈抨击和禁止。围绕比武大赛所表现出的冲突 ,反映了骑士和教会双方社会利益和思想观念的差别和矛盾。尽管双方在比武大赛方面最终达成了妥协 ,但从中所揭示的现象可引发我们对西欧中世纪社会的其它问题进行更深入的思考。     

Impact of demographic variables on women’s economic empowerment: An ordered probit model

The present study aimed to empirically examine the demographic variables that determine women’s economic empowerment. A sample of 500 married women between 21 and 49 years old (M_age = 35.49, SD = 7.66) was conveniently selected from district Multan (Pakistan). Control over economic resources was used as a proxy for women’s economic empowerment. Ordered probit regression was run to assess the demographic determinants (i.e., age, education, paid job, income, and property) of economic empowerment of the least empowered, moderately empowered, and highly empowered women. Paid job, age, income, and property appeared as positive and significant predictors of women’s economic empowerment. Implications of the study were also discussed.     

影响西部欠发达地区失业妇女再就业的显性因素分析与对策

本文立足于西部欠发达地区失业妇女再就业的现实,采用甘肃省天水市1205名失业妇女的调查数据,借助统计软件spss16.0,探讨了影响西部欠发达地区失业妇女再就业的显著影响因素：年龄、文化程度和培训经历,明确了家庭规模、思想障碍和再就业之间的非显著的因果关系,最后在logistic回归模型分析结果的基础上,从宏观、中观和微观三个层面提出了解决西部欠发达地区失业妇女再就业的有效对策。     

从多数政治走向共识政治——完善县级人大代表选举投票方法的思考

中国县级人大代表选举采用的投票方法是全额连记法。此方法虽然简单易懂,却典型地体现多数政治的缺陷。在此投票方法下,一些群体的声音与利益不易得到表达,也容易触发策略性投票。而认可票制能较好地解决全额连记法存在的问题,进而实现共识政治,也有利于和谐社会的实现。中国如要改进县级人大代表选举的投票方法,认可票制是较好的选择。     

本雅明眼中机械复制时代的文艺审美特征

20世纪初是继19世纪资本主义高速发展后西方文艺从古典向现代递变的时期,此期的文艺作品生产者、文艺作品以及文艺作品接受者较前代有了极大的转变。本雅明目睹了这种变化,并对各种文艺现象进行研究,提出了此期文艺审美的特征。     

Validity and efficiency in analyzing ordinal responses with missing observations

This article addresses issues in creating public-use data files in the presence of missing ordinal responses and subsequent statistical analyses of the dataset by users. The authors propose a fully efficient fractional imputation (FI) procedure for ordinal responses with missing observations. The proposed imputation strategy retrieves the missing values through the full conditional distribution of the response given the covariates and results in a single imputed data file that can be analyzed by different data users with different scientific objectives. Two most critical aspects of statistical analyses based on the imputed data set,  validity  and  efficiency, are examined through regression analysis involving the ordinal response and a selected set of covariates. It is shown through both theoretical development and simulation studies that, when the ordinal responses are missing at random, the proposed FI procedure leads to valid and highly efficient inferences as compared to existing methods. Variance estimation using the fractionally imputed data set is also discussed. The Canadian Journal of Statistics 48: 138–151; 2020 © 2019 Statistical Society of Canada