全文获取类型
收费全文 | 1333篇 |
免费 | 36篇 |
国内免费 | 3篇 |
专业分类
管理学 | 175篇 |
民族学 | 2篇 |
人口学 | 15篇 |
丛书文集 | 34篇 |
理论方法论 | 22篇 |
综合类 | 192篇 |
社会学 | 59篇 |
统计学 | 873篇 |
出版年
2023年 | 6篇 |
2022年 | 5篇 |
2021年 | 16篇 |
2020年 | 19篇 |
2019年 | 50篇 |
2018年 | 42篇 |
2017年 | 80篇 |
2016年 | 41篇 |
2015年 | 31篇 |
2014年 | 55篇 |
2013年 | 354篇 |
2012年 | 90篇 |
2011年 | 54篇 |
2010年 | 57篇 |
2009年 | 41篇 |
2008年 | 56篇 |
2007年 | 46篇 |
2006年 | 38篇 |
2005年 | 37篇 |
2004年 | 42篇 |
2003年 | 20篇 |
2002年 | 29篇 |
2001年 | 27篇 |
2000年 | 25篇 |
1999年 | 15篇 |
1998年 | 13篇 |
1997年 | 18篇 |
1996年 | 12篇 |
1995年 | 6篇 |
1994年 | 6篇 |
1993年 | 6篇 |
1992年 | 3篇 |
1991年 | 5篇 |
1990年 | 2篇 |
1989年 | 2篇 |
1988年 | 5篇 |
1987年 | 1篇 |
1986年 | 4篇 |
1985年 | 3篇 |
1983年 | 1篇 |
1981年 | 1篇 |
1980年 | 3篇 |
1979年 | 2篇 |
1976年 | 1篇 |
1975年 | 2篇 |
排序方式: 共有1372条查询结果,搜索用时 281 毫秒
51.
Hiep Duc Bin Jalaludin Geoff Morgan 《Australian & New Zealand Journal of Statistics》2009,51(3):289-303
Using generalized linear models (GLMs), Jalaludin et al. (2006; J. Exposure Analysis and Epidemiology 16 , 225–237) studied the association between the daily number of visits to emergency departments for cardiovascular disease by the elderly (65+) and five measures of ambient air pollution. Bayesian methods provide an alternative approach to classical time series modelling and are starting to be more widely used. This paper considers Bayesian methods using the dataset used by Jalaludin et al. (2006) , and compares the results from Bayesian methods with those obtained by Jalaludin et al. (2006) using GLM methods. 相似文献
52.
Abstract. One of the main research areas in Bayesian Nonparametrics is the proposal and study of priors which generalize the Dirichlet process. In this paper, we provide a comprehensive Bayesian non-parametric analysis of random probabilities which are obtained by normalizing random measures with independent increments (NRMI). Special cases of these priors have already shown to be useful for statistical applications such as mixture models and species sampling problems. However, in order to fully exploit these priors, the derivation of the posterior distribution of NRMIs is crucial: here we achieve this goal and, indeed, provide explicit and tractable expressions suitable for practical implementation. The posterior distribution of an NRMI turns out to be a mixture with respect to the distribution of a specific latent variable. The analysis is completed by the derivation of the corresponding predictive distributions and by a thorough investigation of the marginal structure. These results allow to derive a generalized Blackwell–MacQueen sampling scheme, which is then adapted to cover also mixture models driven by general NRMIs. 相似文献
53.
54.
We study a system of two non-identical and separate M/M/1/? queues with capacities (buffers) C1 < ∞ and C2 = ∞, respectively, served by a single server that alternates between the queues. The server’s switching policy is threshold-based, and, in contrast to other threshold models, is determined by the state of the queue that is not being served. That is, when neither queue is empty while the server attends Qi (i = 1, 2), the server switches to the other queue as soon as the latter reaches its threshold. When a served queue becomes empty we consider two switching scenarios: (i) Work-Conserving, and (ii) Non-Work-Conserving. We analyze the two scenarios using Matrix Geometric methods and obtain explicitly the rate matrix R, where its entries are given in terms of the roots of the determinants of two underlying matrices. Numerical examples are presented and extreme cases are investigated. 相似文献
55.
In this paper, we consider a generalisation of the backward simulation method of Duch et al. [New approaches to operational risk modeling. IBM J Res Develop. 2014;58:1–9] to build bivariate Poisson processes with flexible time correlation structures, and to simulate the arrival times of the processes. The proposed backward construction approach uses the Marshall–Olkin bivariate binomial distribution for the conditional law and some well-known families of bivariate copulas for the joint success probability in lieu of the typical conditional independence assumption. The resulting bivariate Poisson process can exhibit various time correlation structures which are commonly observed in real data. 相似文献
56.
In many applications, the clustered count data often contain excess zeros and the zero-inflated generalized Poisson mixed (ZIGPM) regression model may be suitable. However, dispersion in ZIGPM is often treated as fixed unknown parameter, and this assumption may be not appropriate in some situations. In this article, a score test for homogeneity of dispersion parameter in ZIGPM regression model is developed and corresponding test statistic is obtained. Sampling distribution and power of the score test statistic are investigated through Monte Carlo simulation. Finally, results from a biological example illustrate the usefulness of the diagnostic statistic. 相似文献
57.
Shonosuke Sugasawa Tatsuya Kubokawa Kota Ogasawara 《Scandinavian Journal of Statistics》2017,44(3):684-706
Random effects model can account for the lack of fitting a regression model and increase precision of estimating area‐level means. However, in case that the synthetic mean provides accurate estimates, the prior distribution may inflate an estimation error. Thus, it is desirable to consider the uncertain prior distribution, which is expressed as the mixture of a one‐point distribution and a proper prior distribution. In this paper, we develop an empirical Bayes approach for estimating area‐level means, using the uncertain prior distribution in the context of a natural exponential family, which we call the empirical uncertain Bayes (EUB) method. The regression model considered in this paper includes the Poisson‐gamma and the binomial‐beta, and the normal‐normal (Fay–Herriot) model, which are typically used in small area estimation. We obtain the estimators of hyperparameters based on the marginal likelihood by using a well‐known expectation‐maximization algorithm and propose the EUB estimators of area means. For risk evaluation of the EUB estimator, we derive a second‐order unbiased estimator of a conditional mean squared error by using some techniques of numerical calculation. Through simulation studies and real data applications, we evaluate a performance of the EUB estimator and compare it with the usual empirical Bayes estimator. 相似文献
58.
Šárka Hudecová Marie Hušková Simos G. Meintanis 《Scandinavian Journal of Statistics》2017,44(4):843-865
We propose methods for detecting structural changes in time series with discrete‐valued observations. The detector statistics come in familiar L2‐type formulations incorporating the empirical probability generating function. Special emphasis is given to the popular models of integer autoregression and Poisson autoregression. For both models, we study mainly structural changes due to a change in distribution, but we also comment for the classical problem of parameter change. The asymptotic properties of the proposed test statistics are studied under the null hypothesis as well as under alternatives. A Monte Carlo power study on bootstrap versions of the new methods is also included along with a real data example. 相似文献
59.
Frailty models can be fit as mixed-effects Poisson models after transforming time-to-event data to the Poisson model framework. We assess, through simulations, the robustness of Poisson likelihood estimation for Cox proportional hazards models with log-normal frailties under misspecified frailty distribution. The log-gamma and Laplace distributions were used as true distributions for frailties on a natural log scale. Factors such as the magnitude of heterogeneity, censoring rate, number and sizes of groups were explored. In the simulations, the Poisson modeling approach that assumes log-normally distributed frailties provided accurate estimates of within- and between-group fixed effects even under a misspecified frailty distribution. Non-robust estimation of variance components was observed in the situations of substantial heterogeneity, large event rates, or high data dimensions. 相似文献
60.