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  相似文献   
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The problem considered is that of testing on the basis of a finite sequence of independent observations if all the observations have the same distribution versus the alternative that there is a unique change in the distribution and i.i.d. observations after the change are stochastically larger. The distributions before and after the possible change are continuous but not fully specified. We suggest a family of nonparametric tests based on ranks. Asymptotic approximations for the significance level of the test are obtained analytically. Monte Carlo experiments show that the rate of convergence of our asymptotics is fast.  相似文献   
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Abstract

Two recurrence relations with respect to sample size are given concerning the joint distribution of skewness and kurtosis of random observations from a normal population: one between the probability density functions and the other between the product moments. As a consequence, the latter yields a recurrence formula for the moments of sample kurtosis. The exact moments of Jarque-Bera statistic is also given.  相似文献   
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ABSTRACT

In the parametric setting, the notion of a likelihood function forms the basis for the development of tests of hypotheses and estimation of parameters. Tests in connection with the analysis of variance stem entirely from considerations of the likelihood function. On the other hand, non parametric procedures have generally been derived without any formal mechanism and are often the result of clever intuition. In the present article, we propose a more formal approach for deriving tests involving the use of ranks. Specifically, we define a likelihood function motivated by characteristics of the ranks of the data and demonstrate that this leads to well-known tests of hypotheses. We also point to various areas of further exploration such as how co-variates may be incorporated.  相似文献   
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Spatio-temporal surveillance methods for detecting outbreaks of disease are fairly common in the literature with the scan statistic setting the benchmark. If the shape and size of the outbreaks are known in advance, then the scan approach can be designed to efficiently detect these, however, this is seldom true. Therefore we want to devise plans that are efficient at detecting a number of outbreaks that vary in size and shape. This paper examines plans which use the exponential weighted moving average statistic to build temporal memory into plans and tries to develop robust plans for detecting outbreaks of unknown shapes and sizes.  相似文献   
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The minimum and maximum order statistics from many of the common bivariate exponential distributions are predominantly generalized mixtures of exponentials; however, the maximum from the Friday and Patil bivariate exponential (FPBVE) model is either a generalized mixture of three or fewer exponentials or a generalized mixture of gamma and exponentials. In this article, we obtain conditions based on the weights and parameters of the generalized mixtures of gamma and one or two exponential distributions that yield legitimate probability models. Furthermore, we analyze properties of the failure rate of the maximum from the FPBVE model. This answers a question raised in Baggs and Nagaraja (1996 Baggs , G. E. , Nagaraja , H. N. ( 1996 ). Reliability properties of order statistics from bivariate exponential distributions . Commun. Statist. Stochastic Mod. 12 : 611631 .[Taylor & Francis Online] [Google Scholar]).  相似文献   
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Methods based on scan statistics are widely used in health-related applications to detect clusters of disease. The most common methods are based on the Bernoulli and Poisson models. Kulldorff (1997 Kulldorff , M. ( 1997 ). A spatial scan statistic . Communications in Statistics—Theory and Methods 26 : 14811496 .[Taylor & Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]) derived the likelihood ratio test statistic for his scan method for both of these models. His scan statistic is widely used with freely available software, SaTScan? (see Kulldorff, 2005 Kulldorff , M. ( 2005 ). SaTScan: software for the spatial, temporal, and space-time scan statistics , version 5.1 [computer program]. Information Management Services 2005; Available: http://www.satscan.org/. Accessed July 2007 . [Google Scholar]). We provide an alternative derivation of the likelihood ratio test statistic in the Poisson case. Our derivation is simpler and more general in the sense that it applies when the incidences are not aggregated into subregional counts.  相似文献   
49.
The analysis of data using a stable probability distribution with tail parameter α<2 (sometimes called a Pareto–Levy distribution) seems to have been avoided in the past in part because of the lack of a significance test for the mean, even though it appears to be the correct distribution to use for describing returns in the financial markets. A z test for the significance of the mean of a stable distribution with tail parameter 1<α≤2 is defined. Tables are calculated and displayed for the 5% and 1% significance levels for a range of tail and skew parameters α and β. Through the use of maximum likelihood estimates, the test becomes a practical tool even when α and β are not that accurately determined. As an example, the z test is applied to the daily closing prices for the Dow Jones Industrial average from 2 January 1940 to 19 March 2010.  相似文献   
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This paper discusses a consistent bootstrap implementation of the likelihood ratio (LR) co‐integration rank test and associated sequential rank determination procedure of Johansen (1996). The bootstrap samples are constructed using the restricted parameter estimates of the underlying vector autoregressive (VAR) model that obtain under the reduced rank null hypothesis. A full asymptotic theory is provided that shows that, unlike the bootstrap procedure in Swensen (2006) where a combination of unrestricted and restricted estimates from the VAR model is used, the resulting bootstrap data are I(1) and satisfy the null co‐integration rank, regardless of the true rank. This ensures that the bootstrap LR test is asymptotically correctly sized and that the probability that the bootstrap sequential procedure selects a rank smaller than the true rank converges to zero. Monte Carlo evidence suggests that our bootstrap procedures work very well in practice.  相似文献   
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