全文获取类型
收费全文 | 6643篇 |
免费 | 139篇 |
国内免费 | 15篇 |
专业分类
管理学 | 284篇 |
劳动科学 | 1篇 |
民族学 | 1篇 |
人口学 | 46篇 |
丛书文集 | 27篇 |
理论方法论 | 19篇 |
综合类 | 459篇 |
社会学 | 33篇 |
统计学 | 5927篇 |
出版年
2023年 | 39篇 |
2022年 | 63篇 |
2021年 | 46篇 |
2020年 | 118篇 |
2019年 | 242篇 |
2018年 | 278篇 |
2017年 | 445篇 |
2016年 | 204篇 |
2015年 | 166篇 |
2014年 | 197篇 |
2013年 | 2038篇 |
2012年 | 606篇 |
2011年 | 172篇 |
2010年 | 183篇 |
2009年 | 201篇 |
2008年 | 187篇 |
2007年 | 140篇 |
2006年 | 140篇 |
2005年 | 131篇 |
2004年 | 152篇 |
2003年 | 119篇 |
2002年 | 105篇 |
2001年 | 110篇 |
2000年 | 97篇 |
1999年 | 97篇 |
1998年 | 97篇 |
1997年 | 71篇 |
1996年 | 40篇 |
1995年 | 31篇 |
1994年 | 39篇 |
1993年 | 36篇 |
1992年 | 35篇 |
1991年 | 14篇 |
1990年 | 24篇 |
1989年 | 17篇 |
1988年 | 18篇 |
1987年 | 10篇 |
1986年 | 9篇 |
1985年 | 6篇 |
1984年 | 16篇 |
1983年 | 17篇 |
1982年 | 9篇 |
1981年 | 6篇 |
1980年 | 5篇 |
1979年 | 6篇 |
1978年 | 5篇 |
1977年 | 2篇 |
1976年 | 2篇 |
1975年 | 4篇 |
1973年 | 1篇 |
排序方式: 共有6797条查询结果,搜索用时 0 毫秒
31.
To reduce nonresponse bias in sample surveys, a method of nonresponse weighting adjustment is often used which consists of multiplying the sampling weight of the respondent by the inverse of the estimated response probability. The authors examine the asymptotic properties of this estimator. They prove that it is generally more efficient than an estimator which uses the true response probability, provided that the parameters which govern this probability are estimated by maximum likelihood. The authors discuss variance estimation methods that account for the effect of using the estimated response probability; they compare their performances in a small simulation study. They also discuss extensions to the regression estimator. 相似文献
32.
James P. McDermott G. Jogesh Babu John C. Liechty Dennis K. J. Lin 《Statistics and Computing》2007,17(4):311-321
We consider the problem of density estimation when the data is in the form of a continuous stream with no fixed length. In
this setting, implementations of the usual methods of density estimation such as kernel density estimation are problematic.
We propose a method of density estimation for massive datasets that is based upon taking the derivative of a smooth curve
that has been fit through a set of quantile estimates. To achieve this, a low-storage, single-pass, sequential method is proposed
for simultaneous estimation of multiple quantiles for massive datasets that form the basis of this method of density estimation.
For comparison, we also consider a sequential kernel density estimator. The proposed methods are shown through simulation
study to perform well and to have several distinct advantages over existing methods. 相似文献
33.
Chong Gu 《Revue canadienne de statistique》2004,32(4):347-358
The author proposes some simple diagnostics for assessing the necessity of selected terms in smoothing spline ANOVA models. The elimination of practically insignificant terms generally enhances the interpretability of the estimates and sometimes may also have inferential implications. The diagnostics are derived from Kullback‐Leibler geometry and are illustrated in the settings of regression, probability density estimation, and hazard rate estimation. 相似文献
34.
The authors propose graphical and numerical methods for checking the adequacy of the logistic regression model for matched case‐control data. Their approach is based on the cumulative sum of residuals over the covariate or linear predictor. Under the assumed model, the cumulative residual process converges weakly to a centered Gaussian limit whose distribution can be approximated via computer simulation. The observed cumulative residual pattern can then be compared both visually and analytically to a certain number of simulated realizations of the approximate limiting process under the null hypothesis. The proposed techniques allow one to check the functional form of each covariate, the logistic link function as well as the overall model adequacy. The authors assess the performance of the proposed methods through simulation studies and illustrate them using data from a cardiovascular study. 相似文献
35.
Jason P. Fine David V. Glidden Kristine E. Lee 《Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series B, Statistical methodology》2003,65(1):317-329
Summary. We propose a simple estimation procedure for a proportional hazards frailty regression model for clustered survival data in which the dependence is generated by a positive stable distribution. Inferences for the frailty parameter can be obtained by using output from Cox regression analyses. The computational burden is substantially less than that of the other approaches to estimation. The large sample behaviour of the estimator is studied and simulations show that the approximations are appropriate for use with realistic sample sizes. The methods are motivated by studies of familial associations in the natural history of diseases. Their practical utility is illustrated with sib pair data from Beaver Dam, Wisconsin. 相似文献
36.
CATIA SCRICCIOLO 《Scandinavian Journal of Statistics》2007,34(3):626-642
Abstract. We consider the problem of estimating a compactly supported density taking a Bayesian nonparametric approach. We define a Dirichlet mixture prior that, while selecting piecewise constant densities, has full support on the Hellinger metric space of all commonly dominated probability measures on a known bounded interval. We derive pointwise rates of convergence for the posterior expected density by studying the speed at which the posterior mass accumulates on shrinking Hellinger neighbourhoods of the sampling density. If the data are sampled from a strictly positive, α -Hölderian density, with α ∈ ( 0,1] , then the optimal convergence rate n− α / (2 α +1) is obtained up to a logarithmic factor. Smoothing histograms by polygons, a continuous piecewise linear estimator is obtained that for twice continuously differentiable, strictly positive densities satisfying boundary conditions attains a rate comparable up to a logarithmic factor to the convergence rate n −4/5 for integrated mean squared error of kernel type density estimators. 相似文献
37.
Valentine Genon-Catalot Thierry Jeantheau Catherine Laredo 《Scandinavian Journal of Statistics》2003,30(2):297-316
ABSTRACT. This paper develops a new contrast process for parametric inference of general hidden Markov models, when the hidden chain has a non-compact state space. This contrast is based on the conditional likelihood approach, often used for ARCH-type models. We prove the strong consistency of the conditional likelihood estimators under appropriate conditions. The method is applied to the Kalman filter (for which this contrast and the exact likelihood lead to asymptotically equivalent estimators) and to the discretely observed stochastic volatility models. 相似文献
38.
A Sparse Implementation of the Average Information Algorithm for Factor Analytic and Reduced Rank Variance Models 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
Robin Thompson Brian Cullis Alison Smith Arthur Gilmour 《Australian & New Zealand Journal of Statistics》2003,45(4):445-459
Factor analytic variance models have been widely considered for the analysis of multivariate data particularly in the psychometrics area. Recently Smith, Cullis & Thompson (2001) have considered their use in the analysis of multi‐environment data arising from plant improvement programs. For these data, the size of the problem and the complexity of the variance models chosen to account for spatial heterogeneity within trials implies that standard algorithms for fitting factor analytic models can be computationally expensive. This paper presents a sparse implementation of the average information algorithm (Gilmour, Thompson & Cullis, 1995) for fitting factor analytic and reduced rank variance models. 相似文献
39.
JØRUND GÅSEMYR 《Scandinavian Journal of Statistics》2003,30(1):159-173
In this paper, we present a general formulation of an algorithm, the adaptive independent chain (AIC), that was introduced in a special context in Gåsemyr et al . [ Methodol. Comput. Appl. Probab. 3 (2001)]. The algorithm aims at producing samples from a specific target distribution Π, and is an adaptive, non-Markovian version of the Metropolis–Hastings independent chain. A certain parametric class of possible proposal distributions is fixed, and the parameters of the proposal distribution are updated periodically on the basis of the recent history of the chain, thereby obtaining proposals that get ever closer to Π. We show that under certain conditions, the algorithm produces an exact sample from Π in a finite number of iterations, and hence that it converges to Π. We also present another adaptive algorithm, the componentwise adaptive independent chain (CAIC), which may be an alternative in particular in high dimensions. The CAIC may be regarded as an adaptive approximation to the Gibbs sampler updating parametric approximations to the conditionals of Π. 相似文献
40.
Hee-Seok Oh Ta-Hsin Li 《Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series B, Statistical methodology》2004,66(1):221-238
Summary. The paper considers the problem of estimating the entire temperature field for every location on the globe from scattered surface air temperatures observed by a network of weather-stations. Classical methods such as spherical harmonics and spherical smoothing splines are not efficient in representing data that have inherent multiscale structures. The paper presents an estimation method that can adapt to the multiscale characteristics of the data. The method is based on a spherical wavelet approach that has recently been developed for a multiscale representation and analysis of scattered data. Spatially adaptive estimators are obtained by coupling the spherical wavelets with different thresholding (selective reconstruction) techniques. These estimators are compared for their spatial adaptability and extrapolation performance by using the surface air temperature data. 相似文献