全文获取类型
收费全文 | 7522篇 |
免费 | 229篇 |
国内免费 | 24篇 |
专业分类
管理学 | 703篇 |
民族学 | 10篇 |
人才学 | 1篇 |
人口学 | 93篇 |
丛书文集 | 98篇 |
理论方法论 | 138篇 |
综合类 | 848篇 |
社会学 | 277篇 |
统计学 | 5607篇 |
出版年
2024年 | 2篇 |
2023年 | 69篇 |
2022年 | 60篇 |
2021年 | 87篇 |
2020年 | 123篇 |
2019年 | 241篇 |
2018年 | 297篇 |
2017年 | 509篇 |
2016年 | 238篇 |
2015年 | 240篇 |
2014年 | 268篇 |
2013年 | 1774篇 |
2012年 | 539篇 |
2011年 | 281篇 |
2010年 | 233篇 |
2009年 | 288篇 |
2008年 | 268篇 |
2007年 | 254篇 |
2006年 | 229篇 |
2005年 | 239篇 |
2004年 | 202篇 |
2003年 | 163篇 |
2002年 | 152篇 |
2001年 | 138篇 |
2000年 | 127篇 |
1999年 | 117篇 |
1998年 | 104篇 |
1997年 | 80篇 |
1996年 | 54篇 |
1995年 | 51篇 |
1994年 | 57篇 |
1993年 | 42篇 |
1992年 | 44篇 |
1991年 | 33篇 |
1990年 | 22篇 |
1989年 | 19篇 |
1988年 | 24篇 |
1987年 | 14篇 |
1986年 | 10篇 |
1985年 | 14篇 |
1984年 | 15篇 |
1983年 | 18篇 |
1982年 | 14篇 |
1981年 | 4篇 |
1980年 | 5篇 |
1979年 | 5篇 |
1978年 | 2篇 |
1977年 | 2篇 |
1976年 | 2篇 |
1975年 | 2篇 |
排序方式: 共有7775条查询结果,搜索用时 31 毫秒
21.
焦春艳 《盐城师范学院学报》2002,22(2):83-87
英汉句法存在三种最基本的差异 ,即树型结构和线型结构、形合法和意合法以及句子界线的差异。在此基础上 ,着重介绍英汉互译过程中的三种转换方法 相似文献
22.
讨论增长曲线模型Y =X1BX2 +ε中回归矩阵B的函数C1BC2 的估计L1YL2 +A ,在矩阵损失 (LT2 L1)Y +A - (ST2 XT2 S1X1)B (LT2 L1)Y +A - (ST2 XT2 S1X1)B T 下 ,我们得到了非齐次线性估计L1YL2 +A在非齐次线性估计类Г ={L1YL2 +A|L1:t×p ,L2 ;n×n ,A :t×s均为已知实阵 }中可容许的充要条件 :L1YL2在Г0 ={L1YL2 |L1:t×p ,L2 :n×s均为已知实阵 }中容许且当LT2 XT2 L1X1=ST2 XT2 S1X1时有A =0。 相似文献
23.
Sets of relatively short time series arise in many situations. One aspect of their analysis may be the detection of outlying
series. We examine the performance of standard normal outlier tests applied to the means, or to simple functions of the means,
of AR(1) series, not necessarily of equal lengths. Although unequal lengths of series implies that the means have unequal
variances, that are only known approximately, it is shown that nominal significance levels hold good under most circumstances.
Thus a standard outlier test can usefully be applied, avoiding the complication of estimating the time series' parameters.
The test's power is affected by unequal lengths, being higher when the slippage occurs in one of the longer series 相似文献
24.
Craig H. Mallinckrodt Christopher J. Kaiser John G. Watkin Michael J. Detke Geert Molenberghs Raymond J. Carroll 《Pharmaceutical statistics》2004,3(3):171-186
The last observation carried forward (LOCF) approach is commonly utilized to handle missing values in the primary analysis of clinical trials. However, recent evidence suggests that likelihood‐based analyses developed under the missing at random (MAR) framework are sensible alternatives. The objective of this study was to assess the Type I error rates from a likelihood‐based MAR approach – mixed‐model repeated measures (MMRM) – compared with LOCF when estimating treatment contrasts for mean change from baseline to endpoint (Δ). Data emulating neuropsychiatric clinical trials were simulated in a 4 × 4 factorial arrangement of scenarios, using four patterns of mean changes over time and four strategies for deleting data to generate subject dropout via an MAR mechanism. In data with no dropout, estimates of Δ and SEΔ from MMRM and LOCF were identical. In data with dropout, the Type I error rates (averaged across all scenarios) for MMRM and LOCF were 5.49% and 16.76%, respectively. In 11 of the 16 scenarios, the Type I error rate from MMRM was at least 1.00% closer to the expected rate of 5.00% than the corresponding rate from LOCF. In no scenario did LOCF yield a Type I error rate that was at least 1.00% closer to the expected rate than the corresponding rate from MMRM. The average estimate of SEΔ from MMRM was greater in data with dropout than in complete data, whereas the average estimate of SEΔ from LOCF was smaller in data with dropout than in complete data, suggesting that standard errors from MMRM better reflected the uncertainty in the data. The results from this investigation support those from previous studies, which found that MMRM provided reasonable control of Type I error even in the presence of MNAR missingness. No universally best approach to analysis of longitudinal data exists. However, likelihood‐based MAR approaches have been shown to perform well in a variety of situations and are a sensible alternative to the LOCF approach. MNAR methods can be used within a sensitivity analysis framework to test the potential presence and impact of MNAR data, thereby assessing robustness of results from an MAR method. Copyright © 2004 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
25.
Estimated associations between an outcome variable and misclassified covariates tend to be biased when the methods of estimation that ignore the classification error are applied. Available methods to account for misclassification often require the use of a validation sample (i.e. a gold standard). In practice, however, such a gold standard may be unavailable or impractical. We propose a Bayesian approach to adjust for misclassification in a binary covariate in the random effect logistic model when a gold standard is not available. This Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) approach uses two imperfect measures of a dichotomous exposure under the assumptions of conditional independence and non-differential misclassification. A simulated numerical example and a real clinical example are given to illustrate the proposed approach. Our results suggest that the estimated log odds of inpatient care and the corresponding standard deviation are much larger in our proposed method compared with the models ignoring misclassification. Ignoring misclassification produces downwardly biased estimates and underestimate uncertainty. 相似文献
26.
Merging information for semiparametric density estimation 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
Konstantinos Fokianos 《Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series B, Statistical methodology》2004,66(4):941-958
Summary. The density ratio model specifies that the likelihood ratio of m −1 probability density functions with respect to the m th is of known parametric form without reference to any parametric model. We study the semiparametric inference problem that is related to the density ratio model by appealing to the methodology of empirical likelihood. The combined data from all the samples leads to more efficient kernel density estimators for the unknown distributions. We adopt variants of well-established techniques to choose the smoothing parameter for the density estimators proposed. 相似文献
27.
Maximum likelihood estimation and goodness-of-fit techniques are used within a competing risks framework to obtain maximum likelihood estimates of hazard, density, and survivor functions for randomly right-censored variables. Goodness-of- fit techniques are used to fit distributions to the crude lifetimes, which are used to obtain an estimate of the hazard function, which, in turn, is used to construct the survivor and density functions of the net lifetime of the variable of interest. If only one of the crude lifetimes can be adequately characterized by a parametric model, then semi-parametric estimates may be obtained using a maximum likelihood estimate of one crude lifetime and the empirical distribution function of the other. Simulation studies show that the survivor function estimates from crude lifetimes compare favourably with those given by the product-limit estimator when crude lifetimes are chosen correctly. Other advantages are discussed. 相似文献
28.
Conservation biology aims at assessing the status of a population, based on information which is often incomplete. Integrated population modelling based on state‐space models appears to be a powerful and relevant way of combining into a single likelihood several types of information such as capture‐recapture data and population surveys. In this paper, the authors describe the principles of integrated population modelling and they evaluate its performance for conservation biology based on a case study, that of the black‐footed albatross, a northern Pacific albatross species suspected to be impacted by longline fishing 相似文献
29.
30.
By approximating the nonparametric component using a regression spline in generalized partial linear models (GPLM), robust generalized estimating equations (GEE), involving bounded score function and leverage-based weighting function, can be used to estimate the regression parameters in GPLM robustly for longitudinal data or clustered data. In this paper, score test statistics are proposed for testing the regression parameters with robustness, and their asymptotic distributions under the null hypothesis and a class of local alternative hypotheses are studied. The proposed score tests reply on the estimation of a smaller model without the testing parameters involved, and perform well in the simulation studies and real data analysis conducted in this paper. 相似文献