基于成本方法的中国人力资本估算

针对目前部分学者应用永续盘存法来估算人力资本存量忽略了折旧和价格的问题，采集和并估算了中国1952-2003年间的人力资本形成量序列数据，并与物质资本形成流量进行比较。估算方法倾向于低估人力资本投资流量，这种低估在前期误差较小，在近期误差较大，且有上升趋势。但就纳入估算的内容和时期来看，较中国已有的成本法估算有较大的扩展，而且其估计有一定的可靠性，可以将此作为今后进一步估算的基准。     

理念、方法与实务--管理学结构体系的新构思

管理学从整体上可表述为理念、方法和实务三个部分,三者存在相互关联和动态转化的特性。由理 念、方法和实务整合而成的一般管理模式具有新的理论指导性。     

情境在古诗词教学中的作用

情境教学法在古诗词教学中有重要作用,通过拓宽教育空间、缩短心理距离、注重角色效应、领悟诗词谐趣等四种途径可以增强情境教学的效果。     

焦虑的诱发因素及调控方法--以体操教学为例的研究

国内外心理学对学生的焦虑与运动成绩的相关研究已成为一个专门的课题。针对焦虑对学生体操技术掌握的影响，运用运动心理学有关理论对大学生体操教学中的焦虑诱发因素进行问卷调查，归纳了体操教学中诱发学生焦虑过度的原因，并对其主要影响因素进行分析，提出了控制学生的适宜焦虑水平的方法。     

义务教育乡镇管理体制评析

由于乡镇的财力单薄,管理水平偏低,管理心态失衡,乡镇政府难以有效管理本乡镇义务教育。改革义务教育乡镇管理体制,必须废除监护人直接支付的筹资方式,实行税收统筹分拨的筹资方式,建立省、县、乡三级义务教育管理体制,从经济上保证儿童受教育的权利。     

几类积分微分方程的可积类型

本文借助求导,迭代等方法,给出几类新的积分微分方程,并给出相应的通积分公式。并举例说明其在实际解题中的应用。     

Predictive Bayesian Microbial Dose-Response Assessment Based on Suggested Self-Organization in Primary Illness Response: Cryptosporidium parvum

The probability of illness caused by very low doses of pathogens cannot generally be tested due to the numbers of subjects that would be needed, though such assessments of illness dose response are needed to evaluate drinking water standards. A predictive Bayesian dose-response assessment method was proposed previously to assess the unconditional probability of illness from available information and avoid the inconsistencies of confidence-based approaches. However, the method uses knowledge of the conditional dose-response form, and this form is not well established for the illness endpoint. A conditional parametric dose-response function for gastroenteric illness is proposed here based on simple numerical models of self-organized host-pathogen systems and probabilistic arguments. In the models, illnesses terminate when the host evolves by processes of natural selection to a self-organized critical value of wellness. A generalized beta-Poisson illness dose-response form emerges for the population as a whole. Use of this form is demonstrated in a predictive Bayesian dose-response assessment for cryptosporidiosis. Results suggest that a maximum allowable dose of 5.0 x 10(-7) oocysts/exposure (e.g., 2.5 x 10(-7) oocysts/L water) would correspond with the original goals of the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency Surface Water Treatment Rule, considering only primary illnesses resulting from Poisson-distributed pathogen counts. This estimate should be revised to account for non-Poisson distributions of Cryptosporidium parvum in drinking water and total response, considering secondary illness propagation in the population.     

构建科学的教坛新秀评选体系

青年教师是高校教学科研的主力军,培养和造就一批高素质的青年教师队伍是推进高校素质教育的一项重要的战略任务,但他们中有许多人存在人文精神缺失及修养不足的问题,对高校的改革与发展产生了消极影响。为切实加强青年教师队伍建设,高校在广大青年教师中开展“教坛新秀”评选活动,以此激励广大青年教师的荣誉感和责任感,促进师德水平和教育教学质量水平的提高,意义深远。从评选理念出发,对教坛新秀的评选指标、评选条件、评选方法做了微观定位,以期为构建科学的教坛新秀评选体系提供参考。     

Bayesian inference for a discretely observed stochastic kinetic model

The ability to infer parameters of gene regulatory networks is emerging as a key problem in systems biology. The biochemical data are intrinsically stochastic and tend to be observed by means of discrete-time sampling systems, which are often limited in their completeness. In this paper we explore how to make Bayesian inference for the kinetic rate constants of regulatory networks, using the stochastic kinetic Lotka-Volterra system as a model. This simple model describes behaviour typical of many biochemical networks which exhibit auto-regulatory behaviour. Various MCMC algorithms are described and their performance evaluated in several data-poor scenarios. An algorithm based on an approximating process is shown to be particularly efficient.     

山野菜一点红总多酚提取工艺的研究

对山野菜一点红总多酚的提取影响因素进行了研究，并对提取工艺参数进行了正交优化，试验结果表明山野菜一点红总多酚提取的最佳工艺条件应为液料比为15：1，乙醇浓度为60％，浸体温度为80℃，浸提时间为1h，这种提取工艺可使一点红总多酚的提取率达到94．2％。