An integrated approach for water resources decision making under interactive and compound uncertainties

In recent years, the issue of water allocation among competing users has been of great concern for many countries due to increasing water demand from population growth and economic development. In water management systems, the inherent uncertainties and their potential interactions pose a significant challenge for water managers to identify optimal water-allocation schemes in a complex and uncertain environment. This paper thus proposes a methodology that incorporates optimization techniques and statistical experimental designs within a general framework to address the issues of uncertainty and risk as well as their correlations in a systematic manner. A water resources management problem is used to demonstrate the applicability of the proposed methodology. The results indicate that interval solutions can be generated for the objective function and decision variables, and a number of decision alternatives can be obtained under different policy scenarios. The solutions with different risk levels of constraint violation can help quantify the relationship between the economic objective and the system risk, which is meaningful for supporting risk management. The experimental data obtained from the Taguchi's orthogonal array design are useful for identifying the significant factors affecting the means of total net benefits. Then the findings from the mixed-level factorial experiment can help reveal the latent interactions between those significant factors at different levels and their effects on the modeling response.     

浅议中国民族歌剧发展存在的问题

中国民族歌剧自上世纪20年代诞生以来,在学习与借鉴欧洲传统歌剧的基础上,已经有了较大水平的提升,许多优秀歌剧作品不论是歌剧内容还是艺术形式上都堪比西方歌剧。然而,民族歌剧的艺术形式影响着歌剧在我国的普及程度,许多优秀的新歌剧"昙花一现",中国民族歌剧事业的发展面临着巨大挑战,探索一条我国歌剧自己的道路还需要歌剧创作者们付出更多的努力。     

Que faire de la compassion au travail ? La réflexivité stratégique des avocats à l’audience

The article explores the way in which professionals who are exposed to people's testimonies of suffering manage to integrate compassion into their work. Research has shown how compassion is a problematic emotion for such professionals, and has identified the forms of reflexivity that they employ to handle the tensions that such feelings arouse. By examining legal work — in particular the practices of lawyers in a criminal trial where a large number of victims are present — the article makes a new contribution to the study of compassion in the workplace. It identifies the normative repertoire which lawyers use to construct an appropriate attitude towards victims and analyses how, within the framework of strategic reflexivity, lawyers mobilise this repertoire to suit the particular interests they are representing at the trial.     

The matched pair sign test using bivariate ranked set sampling for different ranking based schemes

Bivariate rank set sample (BVRSS) matched pair sign test is introduced and investigated for different ranking based schemes. We show that this test is asymptotically more efficient and more powerful than its counterpart sign test based on a bivariate simple random sample (BVSRS) for different ranking schemes. The asymptotic null distribution and the efficiency of the test are derived. Pitman’s asymptotic relative efficiency is used to compare the asymptotic performance of the matched pair sign test using BVRSS versus using BVSRS in all ranking cases. For small sample sizes, the bootstrap method is used to estimate P-values. Numerical comparisons are used to gain insight about the efficiency of the BVRSS sign test compared to the BVSRS sign test. Our numerical and theoretical results indicate that using any ranking scheme of BVRSS for the matched pair sign test is more efficient than using BVSRS.     

“平等”之道德立法原理新论

平等，是人类文明的内在道德立法原理。从蒙昧时期到野蛮阶段，自然主义平等充任着人类生活的普遍准则；国家诞生后，权力主义等级内平等充当着人类文明的内在道德立法原理；进入近代社会，等级平等原理被人人平等原理所取代，由此建立起人类中心主义的现代文明，这种文明制造了人与自然间的不平等。因此，当代人类应重建普遍平等之道德立法的价值尺度原理，这一普遍平等原理的内在本质是普遍利益权利；其存在论原则是自然平等、万物平等、生命平等；其生存论方向是人人存在人权平等和公民生存权利平等。     

幼儿心理在幼儿园室内环境设计中的运用研究——以浙江省宝阳幼儿园为例

幼儿园室内环境的设计是现代设计中的重要组成部分。以浙江宝阳幼儿为例,从幼儿心理需求为中心,通过对室内生活、学习和公共区域等三个方面及整体色彩的分析,深入地探讨符合儿童身心发展的幼儿园室内环境的设计策略。     

Buffon's needle and the estimation of migration distances

A procedure is suggested for estimating migration distances from data on the proportion of migrants crossing regional boundaries. The method makes use of Buffon's needle, a problem in geometrical probability from the eighteenth century that was originally used as an empirical means of estimating π. The procedure is described for various scenarios that differ in their assumptions about region shape, the spatial distribution of population, and the distribution of migration distances. An application to migration distances in the United States is given, and additional attention is given to the estimation of intraregional migration distances.     

Inferences on regression coefficients in a regression model under heteroscedasticity and robustness with respect to departure from normality

In this paper we consider a simple linear regression model under heteroscedasticity and nonnormality. A statistical test for testing the regression coefficient is then derived by assuming normality for the random disturbances and by applying Welch's method. Some Monte Carlo studies are generated for assessing robustness of this test. By combining Tiku's robust procedure with the new test, a robust but more powerful test is developed.     

Evaluation of the parameters of su by rational fractions

A rational fraction approximation is given for a function of one of the parameters defining Johnson's S_UError assessment for a segment of the domain of validity shows remarkable accuracy.     

鄞县鲍家、郁家与初创时的商务印书馆

成立于1897年的商务印书馆,是中国历史最悠久的现代出版机构。为促进民族觉醒、提高国民素质、繁荣学术文化、推动社会进步,做出了积极贡献。鄞县鲍氏和郁氏家族在商务印书馆的创办过程中出力甚多,在7位创办发起人中,鄞县鲍氏和郁氏家族占5位,即鲍咸恩、鲍咸昌（郁厚坤姐夫）、郁厚坤和鲍咸昌的2位妹夫夏瑞芳、张桂华,他们为该馆的创立和发展做出许多重要贡献。