基于胜任力模型的高校教师评价

采用行为事件访谈法(BEI)建构高校教师胜任力模型,利用自编问卷从学生的角度对此模型进行了验证。高校教师的胜任力模型有以下六个因子构成:研究特征、服务特征、教学技能特征、认知特征、学生导向特征、人格特征。基于构建的胜任力模型,提出了高校实施教师评价的建议。     

Cost effectiveness of an integrated service delivery model as measured by worker retention

This study sought to examine the impact of housing child welfare ongoing teams in the community, near client neighborhoods, and in a setting that also co-locates other service providers that serve the same clients. The focus was the impact of location and service integration on perceptions of worker stress and actual worker turnover. Thirty four workers from this type of setting and from a more traditional setting in two urban cities in a Southern state were interviewed. In addition turnover rates were calculated and compared. It was found that those located near clients and with staff from other agencies had better morale, lower stress levels, more positive attitudes toward clients and client contexts, knew more about the communities the clients lived in and had more chances to collaborate to solve client problems than those in a more traditional setting with co-location only with family support staff. The turnover rate was lower in the integrated service delivery setting than in either the traditional setting or the state overall. Thus, integration of service delivery benefits not only the child welfare workforce participants, but also the clients who have greater access to other service providers and to the bottom line of the agency through the retention of workers. Implications are described.     

上海电子信息产品制造业转型升级的思路——目标、方向、关键点、路径与发展模式

上海电子信息产品制造业在上海六大重点工业行业中占重要地位,但产业表现出“大而不强”的特征;产业的自主创新能力亟待提升。在后危机时代上海商务成本逐渐高企,土地等资源条件紧张的产业发展环境下,电子信息产品制造业的转型升级显得尤为迫切。本文通过分析该产业发展现状和面临的问题,提出上海电子信息产品制造业转型升级的思路、升级的方向、升级的路径、发展模式和关键点,并提出保障上海电子信息产品制造业更快更好转型升级的对策建议：提升政府的服务水平,营造优越的产业发展生态环境;聚焦产业“高新高效高端”特征,打造优势产业链;加强创新服务,强化以知识与智力资本动态比较优势为禀赋的竞争优势。     

Impact of Value‐Added Service Features in e‐Retailing Processes: An Econometric Analysis of Web Site Functions

We examine the impact of three classes of Web site functions (foundational, customer‐centered, and value‐added) upon e‐retailer performance. Using secondary panel data for 2007–2009 on operating characteristics of over 600 e‐retailers, our econometric analysis finds that only the value‐added service functions are positively associated with changes in e‐retail sales revenues across time. We also observe a decreasing marginal impact of deploying additional value‐added service features. To account for possible alternate explanations, we control for firm‐ and time‐specific fixed effects, merchant types, merchandise categories, and order fulfillment strategies. By further decomposing e‐retail sales revenues into Web site traffic, conversion rate, and average order value, we find that Web site functions affect e‐retail sales revenues mainly through their impact on Web site traffic. Our investigation demonstrates the empirical research usefulness of the Voss conceptual e‐service sand cone model. Our results identify for managers where to focus ongoing e‐retailing system development efforts, yet suggest that focusing too many retailing capabilities on exploratory and experimental value‐added service features may backfire, potentially leading to worsening e‐retailer performance.     

Using Electronic Medical Records in Admission Decisions: A Cost Effectiveness Analysis

In recent years, the healthcare sector has invested heavily in medical information systems to improve decision making while reducing medical costs and integrating medical data from multiple sources. However, the overall contribution of this technology to the medical field remains controversial, especially in high‐stress environments such as the emergency department. This article evaluates the differential effects of accessing an electronic medical record (EMR) system on the decision to admit, based on diagnosis of acute myocardial infarction (AMI), which is one of the main reasons people go to the emergency department. The admission decision with or without accessing the EMR system is modeled as a decision tree and a Markovian process. A cost‐effectiveness analysis compares the added value of information (retrieved from the EMR system) against the cost of providing this information. This model is then tested on a simulation of patients presenting symptoms of AMI. The results show that use of the EMR led to greater cost‐effectiveness in cases of suspected AMI. The findings of this study may assist physicians by demonstrating a probable contribution of EMR to improved medical outcomes and may inform policy makers in the healthcare sector regarding the advisability of investing in such systems in an emergency department.     

河北省旅游业全产业链商业模式创新研究

河北省旅游业近年取得了长足发展,正处于深入开发和进一步升级的新阶段,然而其现有的资源禀赋型商业模式已不能适应其进一步发展的需要,培育全价值链的旅游商业模式是河北省旅游业的必然选择,而培育全价值链商业模式,一要驱动政府和市场双轮构建"良性互动、不断增值"的全产业链商业模式;二是要打造旅游业战略联盟经营模式,使旅游产业从线性向网状发展;三要开发和打造多元化品牌化旅游产品,满足不同旅游需要。     

基于Leslie矩阵模型的湖南省人口老龄化预测分析

基于相关统计数据,简要分析湖南省人口老龄化的现状,并根据2010年全国第六次人口普查数据,在传统的Leslie矩阵模型的基础上考虑受“二孩政策”影响下生育率水平的变化因素,对分组年龄人口进行预测,进而得到2020-2100年湖南省人口老龄化相关的指标预测值,预测发现其具有增长速度快、阶段性明显、高龄化现象严重等特征,因此政府迫切需要进行养老服务的转型升级,构建多元化、多层次的养老服务体系。     

德国"经济奇迹"深层根源探究及其对中国改革之启示

德国虽在两次世界大战中溃败,但仍能复兴,并创造"经济奇迹",根源在于教育改革为其提供了高质量的人力资本,政治改革为其创造了前提条件,弗莱堡学派、本土新自由主义、民主社会主义和经济伦理学派相互补充、共同作用形成的社会市场经济模型为其理论向导,对外开放是其经济腾飞的外部因素.德国的成功经验启示我们:教育兴国,依法治国,理论强国和开放富国.     

大数据背景下网络调查样本的随机森林倾向得分模型推断研究

随着大数据与互联网技术的迅猛发展,网络调查的应用越来越广泛。本文提出网络调查样本的随机森林倾向得分模型推断方法,通过构建若干棵分类决策树组成随机森林,对网络调查样本单元的倾向得分进行估计,从而实现对总体的推断。模拟分析和实证研究结果表明:基于随机森林倾向得分模型的总体均值估计的相对偏差、方差与均方误差均比基于Logistic倾向得分模型的总体均值估计的相对偏差、方差与均方误差小,提出的方法估计效果更好。     

基层党建引领城市社区治理的路径探索——以成都模式为例

基层党建引领城市社区治理是当前经济社会发展和全面从严治党的新要求。基层党组织和社区治理二者存在制约因素,导致基层党建在引领城市社区治理的实践中面临功能定位不清晰、资源整合难、机制滞后、居民参与水平低等困境。成都市“一核多元、赋能基层”的发展治理模式突出基层党组织的政治优势和组织优势,坚持发展与治理并重,实施精细化治理,推动三治融合,有效破解了基层党建引领城市社区治理的困境。成都模式的启示就是确立以人民为中心的党建引领目标、依托互动的工作平台、优化党建引领的领域、完善治理制度,最终实现基层党建引领能力与城市社区治理水平的双向提升。