江苏教育学院学生体育锻炼方式及耐力素质状况调查分析

对江苏教育学院学生最喜爱体育锻炼方式进行了调查,并对耐力跑测试结果进行了分析,结果显示,本院学生课余通常采用简便易行的健身跑和轻松愉快的娱乐性活动等方式进行体育锻炼,男女生的耐力素质均差于江苏省大学生的总体均值．只有通过学校、教师和学生共同努力,才能有效地提高学生的身体素质,增强体质．     

论公共政策执行偏差及其矫正

对公共政策执行偏差的表现形式进行了概括和分析,并剖析了其产生的主、客观方面的原因,还对矫正公共政策执行偏差的方法与途径等进行了探讨.     

牛磺酸对力竭运动时大鼠脑组织自由基代谢的影响

以大鼠递增负荷力竭性运动为模型 ,观察了牛磺酸 (taurine)对力竭运动时脑组织(皮层运动区和感觉区)自由基代谢的影响 结果显示 :力竭运动后即刻 ,脑组织的MDA显著增加 ,SOD和GSH显著下降 ;补充牛磺酸能使力竭运动脑组织的MDA显著降低 ,阻止SOD下降和维持GSH的水平 ,并使大鼠运动至力竭的时间稍有延长 提示力竭运动使大鼠脑组织自由基代谢加强 ;牛磺酸在大鼠脑组织中具有很强的抗氧化作用 ,其机制可能和牛磺酸与醛基反应有关     

双重分层抽样中的校正估计

校正估计法已被大量运用于抽样调查中,它利用辅助信息构造的校正权重提高了对总体总值（或均值）的估计精度。本文提出了分层抽样中的校正组合比率估计量,并推广到分层双重抽样中。同时给出新估计量的近似方差表达式。最后利用计算机随机模拟验证较正估计量对估计精度的改进。     

Estimation and interpretation of models of absolute risk from epidemiologic data,including family-based studies

Absolute risk is the chance that a person with given risk factors and free of the disease of interest at age a will be diagnosed with that disease in the interval (a, a + τ]. Absolute risk is sometimes called cumulative incidence. Absolute risk is a “crude” risk because it is reduced by the chance that the person will die of competing causes of death before developing the disease of interest. Cohort studies admit flexibility in modeling absolute risk, either by allowing covariates to affect the cause-specific relative hazards or to affect the absolute risk itself. An advantage of cause-specific relative risk models is that various data sources can be used to fit the required components. For example, case–control data can be used to estimate relative risk and attributable risk, and these can be combined with registry data on age-specific composite hazard rates for the disease of interest and with national data on competing hazards of mortality to estimate absolute risk. Family-based designs, such as the kin-cohort design and collections of pedigrees with multiple affected individuals can be used to estimate the genotype-specific hazard of disease. Such analyses must be adjusted for ascertainment, and failure to take into account residual familial risk, such as might be induced by unmeasured genetic variants or by unmeasured behavioral or environmental exposures that are correlated within families, can lead to overestimates of mutation-specific absolute risk in the general population.     

从政治文明建设的视角解读依法行政

建设社会主义政治文明是我国现代化建设的重要战略目标。作为特殊政治主体的政府,实现依法行政是我国政治文明建设的必然选择。政府在依法行政过程中必须做到:依利民之法行政,政府要带头守法,坚持行政行为的公正,坚持行政行为问责制。     

Improving coverage accuracy of nonparametric prediction intervals

Methods are suggested for improving the coverage accuracy of intervals for predicting future values of a random variable drawn from a sampled distribution. It is shown that properties of solutions to such problems may be quite unexpected. For example, the bootstrap and the jackknife perform very poorly when used to calibrate coverage, although the jackknife estimator of the true coverage is virtually unbiased. A version of the smoothed bootstrap can be employed for successful calibration, however. Interpolation among adjacent order statistics can also be an effective way of calibrating, although even there the results are unexpected. In particular, whereas the coverage error can be reduced from O ( n ^-1) to orders O ( n ^-2) and O ( n ^-3) (where n denotes the sample size) by interpolating among two and three order statistics respectively, the next two orders of reduction require interpolation among five and eight order statistics respectively.     

从孔子言语教育 谈语文素质教育

孔子是我国古代著名的教育家 ,他的言语教育是最早的语文教育形式 ,对后世影响巨大 ,对今天的语文素质教育有多方面的启示 ,主要有思想教育、思维训练 ,发展个性以及大语文教育等。我们应当深入研究、择其精华 ,为当今的语文素质教育服务     

基于激励机制的指数化股票期权模型及其应用

股票期权的激励作用受到股市有效性的很大影响,股市的弱有效性使得经理层股票期权的收益发生扭曲。本文介绍了建立在基准指数基础上的指数化股票期权模型,分析了该模型的假设条件和约定价格的构造原理,并采用实例对指数化模型的定价效果进行了验证。     

连带责任治理在供应商集群中的有效性研究

在核心企业与供应商集群的渠道关系情境下探讨连带责任治理对机会主义行为的作用,将网络中心性和使用渠道权力纳入连带责任治理研究框架,考察二者对机会主义行为的影响以及对连带责任与机会主义行为之间关系的调节效应。以一家出口企业的供应商集群为研究对象,获得82个连带责任小组样本共246个被调查者的调查数据,应用SPSS 19．0软件和层级回归法对研究假设进行检验。研究结果表明,供应商之间的连带责任对其机会主义行为有显著的抑制作用;供应商领导者的网络中心性负向影响其他供应商成员的机会主义行为,并强化连带责任对机会主义行为的抑制作用;核心企业通过使用渠道权力负向影响供应商集群的机会主义行为,但会弱化连带责任对机会主义行为的抑制作用。