青年高级人力资源开发管理人才素质的综合评价

提出了青年高级人力资源开发管理的评价指标体系,采用层次分析法和模糊集合方法论确定了青年高级人力资源开发管理系统中个人素质评价指标的权重并对其进行了综合评价,最后给出了个人素质评价指标体系综合评价的应用实例。     

基于多属性决策的天然气储量评价方法研究

天然气储量的综合评价一直是天然气开发和利用过程中的关键问题。为此运用组合赋权法对影响天然气储量开发序列的8个主要因素进行分析,并利用实例说明多属性决策方法在天然气储量评价中的有效性,为确定天然气区块开发序列,降低开发风险,提高开发效益提供了有力的依据。     

Optimal design in average for inference in generalized linear models

This paper considers the problem of optimal design for inference in Generalized Linear Models, when prior information about the parameters is available. The general theory of optimum design usually requires knowledge of the parameter values. These are usually unknown and optimal design can, therefore, not be used in practice. However, one way to circumvent this problem is through so-called “optimal design in average”, or shortly, “ave optimal”. The ave optimal design is chosen to minimize the expected value of some criterion function over a prior distribution. We focus our interest on the aveD _A-optimality, including aveD- and avec-optimality and show the appropriate equivalence theorems for these optimality criterions, which give necessary conditions for an optimal design. Ave optimal designs are of interest when e.g. a factorial experiment with a binary or a Poisson response in to be conducted. The results are applied to factorial experiments, including a control group experiment and a 2×2 experiment.     

Multiple Hypotheses Testing with Weights

In this paper we offer a multiplicity of approaches and procedures for multiple testing problems with weights. Some rationale for incorporating weights in multiple hypotheses testing are discussed. Various type-I error-rates and different possible formulations are considered, for both the intersection hypothesis testing and the multiple hypotheses testing problems. An optimal per family weighted error-rate controlling procedure a la Spjotvoll (1972) is obtained. This model serves as a vehicle for demonstrating the different implications of the approaches to weighting. Alternative approach es to that of Holm (1979) for family-wise error-rate control with weights are discussed, one involving an alternative procedure for family-wise error-rate control, and the other involving the control of a weighted family-wise error-rate. Extensions and modifications of the procedures based on Simes (1986) are given. These include a test of the overall intersec tion hypothesis with general weights, and weighted sequentially rejective procedures for testing the individual hypotheses. The false discovery rate controlling approach and procedure of Benjamini & Hochberg (1995) are extended to allow for different weights.     

Modelling association between two irregularly observed spatiotemporal processes by using maximum covariance analysis

Summary.  Climatic phenomena such as the El-Niño–southern oscillation and the north Atlantic oscillation are results of complex interactions between atmospheric and oceanic processes. Understanding the interactions has enabled scientists to give early warning of the forthcoming phenomena, thereby reducing damage caused by them. Statistical methods have played an important role in revealing effects of these phenomena on different regions of the world. One such method is maximum covariance analysis (MCA). Two apparent weaknesses are associated with MCA. Firstly, it tends to produce estimates with a low signal-to-noise ratio, especially when the sample size is small. Secondly, there has been no objective way of incorporating incomplete records, which are frequently encountered in climatology and oceanographic data-bases. We introduce an MCA which incorporates a smoothing procedure on the estimates. The introduction of the smoothing procedure is shown to improve the signal-to-noise ratio on the estimates. The estimation of smoothing parameters is carried out by using a penalized likelihood approach, which makes the inclusion of incomplete records quite straightforward. The methodology is applied to investigate the association between Irish winter precipitation and sea surface temperature anomalies around the world. The results show relationships between Irish precipitation anomalies and the El-Niño–southern oscillation and the north Atlantic oscillation phenomena.     

镍磷合金镀层的摩擦磨损特性及其开发前景

本文分析了化学镀镍磷合金层的摩擦磨损试验结果,研究指出这一表面处理技术具有低的摩擦系数和高的耐磨性及硬度,又因沉积处理温度低而不存在变形,亦不影响零件原来的精度及粗糙度,因此宜于作为零件的最终表面处理。若应用于齿轮,凸轮等高副零件,前景十分乐观。最后从试样的磨损失重中估算出磨损系数和磨损减薄量以供作耐磨性设计的参考。     

创新:行业核心能力提升的基本路径——以安徽省农业装备制造行业面板数据为例

创新与核心能力存在着必然的关联,论文基于创新与核心能力关联模型,以安徽省农业装备制造行业2006-2009年面板数据为例进行实证和计量经济研究。分析表明了创新与核心能力之间存在较显著正相关关系;技术创新和学习型组织两大典型变量对于组织可持续发展及资本收益的影响,为探索提升行业核心能力的基本路径提供了依据。     

Shift Techniques and Canonical Factorizations in the Solution of M/G/1-Type Markov Chains

ABSTRACT

By using properties of canonical factorizations, we prove that under very mild assumptions, the shifted cyclic reduction method (SCR) can be applied for solving QBD problems with no breakdown and that it always converges. For general M/G/1 type Markov chains we prove that SCR always converges if no breakdown is encountered. Numerical experiments showing the acceleration provided by SCR versus cyclic reduction are presented.     

A Note on the Multivariate General Linear Test

The general linear test approach for testing hypotheses concerning parameters of a full-rank multivariate regression model is often not sufficiently discussed in applied multivariate analysis textbooks. This note makes mention of this approach and suggests that major emphasis of this topic in an applied multivariate analysis course provides students with a unifying structure for the analysis of statistical models.     

Examples of Differing Weighted and Unweighted Estimates from a Sample Survey

Unweighted estimators using data collected in a sample survey can be badly biased, whereas weighted estimators are approximately unbiased for population parameters. We present four examples using data from the 1988 National Maternal and Infant Health Survey to demonstrate that weighted and unweighted estimators can be quite different, and to show the underlying causes of such differences.