欧美文学历史演变的现代阐释

将欧美传统文学与 2 0世纪现代主义与后现代主义文学互为参照 ,可以更好地说明欧美文学演变的历程及其特征。现代主义在传统的范畴中反抗传统 ,而后现代主义在解构了一切之后 ,似乎又不得不回归传统。从人道主义到反人道主义 ,从社会性宗教到宗教信仰的个人化 ,都显示了欧美文学发展的内在轨迹。     

论网络时代中国新闻传播业的生态变迁

网络媒体的物质特性、传播特性决定了网络媒体产生后的中国新闻传播业必然发生深刻的生态变迁 ,传统新闻传播学话语被改写甚至被置换。这主要体现在新闻传播者主体席位增加与“受众”的消解 ,“线性模式”崩溃与“控制研究”式微 ,新闻传播媒体自身形态和外部环境的变化等。     

新时期的创业教育:起点、问题及图景初探

新的历史背景为创业教育提出了新的要求,严竣的就业形势、创新型国家战略、当前的教育发展以及人的全面发展都需要切实开展创业教育。然而,在主体性、整体性、民族性与时代性、学段性以及问题的生成性等方面创业教育存在着发展之困。为此,我们应通过绘制动力机制、设计机制、反馈机制以及体系化建构机制破解创业教育发展难题,进而形成创业教育发展的理论图景。     

张学良主政东北时的反日行动

张学良主政东北期间,国难家仇系于一身,反日思想极为浓烈,先后在东北推行了一系列反日政策,并付诸实施。如摆脱日本羁绊毅然“易帜”;推行“Q型计划”包围满铁;实施反日教育等等。     

互联网在服务营销中的应用与前景

服务营销作为企业营销管理深化的内在要求,乃是当前企业竞争制胜的重要保证。本文在分析服务营销固有的不可感知性、不可分离性、差异性和不可储存性的特点,研究了利用互联网技术改善服务营销过程和服务营销控制方面的特点,指出互联网在服务营销中的应用十分广泛,有助于实现顾客让渡价值最大化。     

数字时代中广告插画艺术的变革

人类进入数字时代后,先进的计算机技术不仅克服了文字数字化的难题,而且征服了比文字更复杂的声音、图像世界。主流与非主流插画开始应用到生活的各个方面,涉及到装修、时装、数码产品、互动媒体、电影、广告等等领域。面对正日益缩小的传统插画传播媒介间的差距,传统的传播者与受众之间的相互关系正面临巨大的变革。     

Comparing Possibly Misspecified Forecasts

Abstract

Recent work has emphasized the importance of evaluating estimates of a statistical functional (such as a conditional mean, quantile, or distribution) using a loss function that is consistent for the functional of interest, of which there is an infinite number. If forecasters all use correctly specified models free from estimation error, and if the information sets of competing forecasters are nested, then the ranking induced by a single consistent loss function is sufficient for the ranking by any consistent loss function. This article shows, via analytical results and realistic simulation-based analyses, that the presence of misspecified models, parameter estimation error, or nonnested information sets, leads generally to sensitivity to the choice of (consistent) loss function. Thus, rather than merely specifying the target functional, which narrows the set of relevant loss functions only to the class of loss functions consistent for that functional, forecast consumers or survey designers should specify the single specific loss function that will be used to evaluate forecasts. An application to survey forecasts of U.S. inflation illustrates the results.     

Preventing Domestic Violence by Changing Australian Gender Relations: Issues and Considerations

ABSTRACT

In recent years Australian governments have significantly refocused domestic violence policies to prioritise primary prevention strategies. The objective of such strategies is to change how Australians perceive, acknowledge, and respond to domestic violence as a gender-based problem. Recognising the value of these efforts to address oppressive cultural practices, we draw attention to limitations inherent in shifting culture as a means to prevent domestic violence. We demonstrate how governments may improve policy approaches by addressing the structural inequalities that have historically forced women into positions of subordination. This will help us move toward more effective and long-term solutions to domestic violence.

IMPLICATIONS

• Australian domestic violence policy must include structural and systems changes prioritising women’s equal rights in addition to equal opportunities.

• To change cultural attitudes and behaviours, we must alter the environment in which oppressions and opportunities are located.

• Social workers can shape the debate to ensure that changing culture to prevent domestic violence is conceptualised as part of a wider social and policy change agenda.

     

“刘易斯转折点”假象及其对“人口红利”释放的冲击

本文分析了当前普遍范围的用工荒是由于实际工资低于保留工资引起的农民工用脚投票结果。在此利用新家庭经济学单一模型理论分析这种经济行为是与简单单一个体预期效用最大化的经济行为相区别;农户以家庭为单位在金融资本及现代教育人力资本短缺的情况下通过家庭成员劳动力资本对外投资实施风险规避,在家庭内部实现收入分享,风险共担。这种经济行为带来的在工业制造和农业无法有效释放人口红利的结果,最终导致用工荒和环境负外部性以资本替代劳动的现代农业生产。     

结构转变、制度变迁下的人口红利与经济增长

已有的对人口红利影响经济增长的实证研究未将结构和制度的重大变革纳入模型,这与东亚及我国经济增长的现实不符。本文通过在模型中纳入结构转变和制度变迁变量,用1978～2008年的数据进行误差修正分析,计算出在结构转变和制度变迁的背景下,我国人口红利及各要素对经济增长的影响。结果发现,固定资产投资对我国经济增长的影响程度最大,其次是技术进步,第三是制度变迁,结构变化的影响也很显著。人口红利的影响也较显著,但是其对经济增长解释力度较小。因此随着人口红利的逐渐消失,未来的经济增长更需要依靠投资、技术进步、结构变迁和制度变革。