Estimation of the Reliability of a Stress-Strength System from Power Lindley Distributions

In this paper, we are interested in the estimation of the reliability parameter R = P(X > Y) where X, a component strength, and Y, a component stress, are independent power Lindley random variables. The point and interval estimation of R, based on maximum likelihood, nonparametric and parametric bootstrap methods, are developed. The performance of the point estimate and confidence interval of R under the considered estimation methods is studied through extensive simulation. A numerical example, based on a real data, is presented to illustrate the proposed procedure.     

Empirical likelihood ratio-based goodness-of-fit test for the logistic distribution

The logistic distribution has been used to model growth curves in survival analysis and biological studies. In this article, we propose a goodness-of-fit test for the logistic distribution based on the empirical likelihood ratio. The test is constructed based on the methodology introduced by Vexler and Gurevich [17 A. Vexler and G. Gurevich, Empirical likelihood ratios applied to goodness-of-fit tests based on sample entropy, Comput. Stat. Data Anal. 54 (2010), pp. 531–545. doi: 10.1016/j.csda.2009.09.025[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]]. In order to compute the test statistic, parameters of the distribution are estimated by the method of maximum likelihood. Power comparisons of the proposed test with some known competing tests are carried out via simulations. Finally, an illustrative example is presented and analyzed.     

On an Extension of the Exponentiated Weibull Distribution

In this article, the exponentiated Weibull distribution is extended by the Marshall-Olkin family. Our new four-parameter family has a hazard rate function with various desired shapes depending on the choice of its parameters and, thus, it is very flexible in data modeling. It also contains two mixed distributions with applications to series and parallel systems in reliability and also contains several previously known lifetime distributions. We shall study some basic distributional properties of the new distribution. Some closed forms are derived for its moment generating function and moments as well as moments of its order statistics. The model parameters are estimated by the maximum likelihood method. The stress–strength parameter and its estimation are also investigated. Finally, an application of the new model is illustrated using two real datasets.     

Change Point Estimation of Multivariate Linear Profiles Under Linear Drift

In this paper, maximum likelihood estimators (MLE) for both step and linear drift changes in the regression parameters of multivariate linear profiles are developed. Performance of the proposed estimators is compared under linear drift changes in the regression parameters when a combined MEWMA and Chi-square control charts method signals an out-of-control condition. The effect of smoothing parameter of MEWMA control charts, missing data, and multiple drift changes on the performance of the both estimators is also evaluated. The application of the proposed estimators is also investigated thorough a numerical example resulted from a real case.     

Estimation of the Lognormal-Pareto Distribution Using Probability Weighted Moments and Maximum Likelihood

This article deals with the estimation of the lognormal-Pareto and the lognormal-generalized Pareto distributions, for which a general result concerning asymptotic optimality of maximum likelihood estimation cannot be proved. We develop a method based on probability weighted moments, showing that it can be applied straightforwardly to the first distribution only. In the lognormal-generalized Pareto case, we propose a mixed approach combining maximum likelihood and probability weighted moments. Extensive simulations analyze the relative efficiencies of the methods in various setups. Finally, the techniques are applied to two real datasets in the actuarial and operational risk management fields.     

Inference for the Birnbaum–Saunders Lifetime Regression Model with Applications

The Birnbaum–Saunders distribution is a positively skewed distribution that is frequently used for analyzing lifetime data. Regression analysis is widely used in this context when some covariates are involved in the life-test. In this article, we discuss the maximum likelihood estimation of the model parameters and associated inference. We discuss the likelihood-ratio tests for some hypotheses of interest as well as some interval estimation methods. A Monte Carlo simulation study is then carried out to examine the performance of the proposed estimators and the interval estimation methods. Finally, some numerical data analyses are done for illustrating all the inferential methods developed here.     

Parameter Estimation of Type-II Hybrid Censored Weighted Exponential Distribution

A hybrid censoring scheme is a mixture of Type-I and Type-II censoring schemes. We study the estimation of parameters of weighted exponential distribution based on Type-II hybrid censored data. By applying the EM algorithm, maximum likelihood estimators are evaluated. Using Fisher information matrix, asymptotic confidence intervals are provided. By applying Markov chain Monte Carlo techniques, Bayes estimators, and corresponding highest posterior density confidence intervals of parameters are obtained. Monte Carlo simulations are performed to compare the performances of the different methods, and one dataset is analyzed for illustrative purposes.     

How to test hypotheses if you must

Drug development is not the only industrial‐scientific enterprise subject to government regulations. In some fields of ecology and environmental sciences, the application of statistical methods is also regulated by ordinance. Over the past 20years, ecologists and environmental scientists have argued against an unthinking application of null hypothesis significance tests. More recently, Canadian ecologists have suggested a new approach to significance testing, taking account of the costs of both type I and type II errors. In this paper, we investigate the implications of this for testing in drug development and demonstrate that its adoption leads directly to the likelihood principle and Bayesian approaches. Copyright © 2015 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

销售价格影响需求的易变质产品动态定价模型

在需求率线性依赖于销售价格的情形下,研究有限销售周期内一次订购模式下单一易变质产品在连续时间上的最优动态定价决策问题.针对给定初始库存水平和初始库存水平待定两种情形,利用最优控制理论分别建立了易变质产品的动态定价模型,目标是最大化产品销售周期内总的销售利润.通过分析,可将问题分别转化为有控制变量约束的拉格郎日问题和波尔扎问题.利用Pontryagin极大值原理求解上述两类问题,均得到系统最优定价决策.对上述第一类问题分别进行了数值仿真,仿真结果表明:不同参数取值情形下,产品最优动态定价决策会在三种情形中变动.