刑法身份诸问题研究

身份问题的研究在中外刑法中都受到一定重视。现代各国刑法普遍将身份作为设定刑事责任的存在或影响刑事责任程度的因素,以从犯罪主体的角度调整危害行为与刑事责任的关系,准确有效地打击犯罪。我国刑法理论虽重视身份的研究,但其研究的领域和层次相对泛化,对其分类、功能、身份获得途径以及研究意义中的诸多问题缺乏深入的价值探寻和分析。因此,在现有研究成果的基础上,提出新问题,进行新追问,构建新的研究体系是我们的初衷。     

论国际互联网对旅行社业的冲击

进入 2 1世纪以后 ,旅游越来越被普通老百姓所接受 ,旅行社作为旅游业的三大支柱之一 ,前景光明。但随着国际互联网的出现和广泛使用 ,给传统旅行社带来了巨大威胁。本文在详细论述互联网给旅行社带来冲击的基础上 ,指出在互联网影响下旅行社存在发展的机遇 ,提出旅行社生存发展的具体对策。     

文以载入功能在《古船》中的体现

《古船》的人学蕴涵在其思想意义的诸多方面占据着核心地位。其中的人物形象不但是作品形式构成的主角,更重要的,还是作品意义构成的主角,是作者极力思考的核心内容。作品文以载人的功能是不容置疑的。这主要体现在作品的情节、结构和人物自身上。《古船》的人学蕴含是其区别于同期作品的一个鲜明特征。     

Model diagnostics for smoothing spline ANOVA models

The author proposes some simple diagnostics for assessing the necessity of selected terms in smoothing spline ANOVA models. The elimination of practically insignificant terms generally enhances the interpretability of the estimates and sometimes may also have inferential implications. The diagnostics are derived from Kullback‐Leibler geometry and are illustrated in the settings of regression, probability density estimation, and hazard rate estimation.     

Goodness‐of‐fit methods for matched case‐control studies

The authors propose graphical and numerical methods for checking the adequacy of the logistic regression model for matched case‐control data. Their approach is based on the cumulative sum of residuals over the covariate or linear predictor. Under the assumed model, the cumulative residual process converges weakly to a centered Gaussian limit whose distribution can be approximated via computer simulation. The observed cumulative residual pattern can then be compared both visually and analytically to a certain number of simulated realizations of the approximate limiting process under the null hypothesis. The proposed techniques allow one to check the functional form of each covariate, the logistic link function as well as the overall model adequacy. The authors assess the performance of the proposed methods through simulation studies and illustrate them using data from a cardiovascular study.     

The Colour of The Sky的中文翻译分析

科技文章的翻译须以严密性、准确性和客观性为宗旨。随着语言学科的发展,人们有更客现、更全面的方法来分析和评论译文。本文通过对译文《天空的色彩》语域特征和语域标志的分析,认为其做到了科技文章文体和行文方式的对等,意义相符和功能相似。     

A simple estimator for a shared frailty regression model

Summary. We propose a simple estimation procedure for a proportional hazards frailty regression model for clustered survival data in which the dependence is generated by a positive stable distribution. Inferences for the frailty parameter can be obtained by using output from Cox regression analyses. The computational burden is substantially less than that of the other approaches to estimation. The large sample behaviour of the estimator is studied and simulations show that the approximations are appropriate for use with realistic sample sizes. The methods are motivated by studies of familial associations in the natural history of diseases. Their practical utility is illustrated with sib pair data from Beaver Dam, Wisconsin.     

英语名词性成分的预设功能及其在组织课堂教学语言中的作用

本文首先介绍了预设理论的发展以及预设的各种手段 ,在此基础上 ,分析了名词性成分作为预设手段 ,在语篇中的作用———经济性与衔接性 ,并用例证说明了在这两种作用的影响下 ,名词性成分对课堂语言起着重要的作用 ,为此教师应了解并恰当运用预设知识进行教学     

论大理洞经文化的特点及社会功能

洞经音乐文化是中华文化的一部分,大理洞经音乐文化源远流长,它是道、佛、儒、唐宋词牌和民间小调的集合体,是以道教思想为基础发展演变而成的音乐社团和民俗文化,有大理地域文化的特色,是多元文化的结晶。洞经文化具有积淀历史文化、凝聚民众社团、陶冶民众道德情操的功能。目前应当抓好对洞经文化的继承与发展的课题。     

Conditional Likelihood Estimators for Hidden Markov Models and Stochastic Volatility Models

ABSTRACT.  This paper develops a new contrast process for parametric inference of general hidden Markov models, when the hidden chain has a non-compact state space. This contrast is based on the conditional likelihood approach, often used for ARCH-type models. We prove the strong consistency of the conditional likelihood estimators under appropriate conditions. The method is applied to the Kalman filter (for which this contrast and the exact likelihood lead to asymptotically equivalent estimators) and to the discretely observed stochastic volatility models.