新经济政策时期“耐普曼”的发展问题研究

新经济政策实行后,苏维埃政权对由此出现的"耐普曼"持反对态度,在认识上视它为资本主义经济成分,在政策和实践中则以限制和打击为主。这也决定了"耐普曼"最终消亡的命运。     

从西藏地方与中世纪西欧“政教合一制”形成之比较谈“政教合一制”的认识与把握

“政教合一制”是一种特有的政治制度,然而在对这一制度的判断标准上学界却有不同的意见,文章通过西藏地方和中世纪西欧“政教合一制”形成的比较,提出作者自己的判断标准。     

自治区自治条例研究

民族自治地方自治机关拥有法律规定的立法权。自治机关的立法权主要是制定和变动自治条例和单行条例的权力,自治条例是民族自治地方立法机关和政府行使自治权力的法律标志。自治机关制定自治条例是全面实施民族区域自治制度的需要,是自治机关行使自治权的根本体现。由于多方面原因,到目前为止我国5个自治区无一出台自治区自治条例。制定和出台自治区自治条例必须严格遵循法律规范、法定原则和法定程序,新修改的《民族区域自治法》和西部大开发战略的实施是促成自治区自治条例尽快出台的契机。     

试论《中国少数民族古籍总目提要》的纲领性和发散性作用

国家"十一五"规划课题《总目提要》,是目前全国范围内开展实施的大型民族古籍文化项目,它开放包容、和谐共进、科学创新的设计思路和项目原则以及实施过程中引发的一系列学科发展变化,使其在民族古籍学科中的纲领性和发散性作用日渐凸显。     

陆荣廷政权在边疆民族经济融合进程中运用的政府和民间两种力量

陆荣廷为首的桂系集团是一个复杂的政治群体,对其历史作用应进行多元化评价。他们利用政府和民间两种力量清除了部分落后的社会政治制度和邪恶势力,扩大了近代经济制度和社会经济组织的影响,在一定程度上奠定了广西新的政治和经济格局。同时推动了边疆民族经济融合的程度进一步加深。     

The k-factor GARMA Process with Infinite Variance Innovations

In this article, we develop the theory of k-factor Gegenbauer Autoregressive Moving Average (GARMA) process with infinite variance innovations which is a generalization of the stable seasonal fractional Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) model introduced by Diongue et al. (2008 Diongue, A.K., Guégan, D. (2008). Estimation of k-Factor GIGARCH Process: A Monte Carlo Study. Communications in Statistics-Simulation and Computation 37:2037–2049.[Taylor &; Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]). Stationarity and invertibility conditions of this new model are derived. Conditional Sum of Squares (CSS) and Markov Chains Monte Carlo (MCMC) Whittle methods are investigated for parameter estimation. Monte Carlo simulations are also used to evaluate the finite sample performance of these estimation techniques. Finally, the usefulness of the model is corroborated with the application to streamflow data for Senegal River at Bakel.     

Conditional VAR and Expected Shortfall: A New Functional Approach

We estimate two well-known risk measures, the value-at-risk (VAR) and the expected shortfall, conditionally to a functional variable (i.e., a random variable valued in some semi(pseudo)-metric space). We use nonparametric kernel estimation for constructing estimators of these quantities, under general dependence conditions. Theoretical properties are stated whereas practical aspects are illustrated on simulated data: nonlinear functional and GARCH(1,1) models. Some ideas on bandwidth selection using bootstrap are introduced. Finally, an empirical example is given through data of the S&P 500 time series.     

Pooled Panel Unit Root Tests and the Effect of Past Initialization

This paper analyzes the role of initialization when testing for a unit root in panel data, an issue that has received surprisingly little attention in the literature. In fact, most studies assume that the initial value is either zero or bounded. As a response to this, the current paper considers a model in which the initialization is in the past, which is shown to have several distinctive features that makes it attractive, even in comparison to the common time series practice of making the initial value a draw from its unconditional distribution under the stationary alternative. The results have implications not only for theory, but also for applied work. In particular, and in contrast to the time series case, in panels the effect of the initialization need not be negative but can actually lead to improved test performance.     

The Local Power of the CADF and CIPS Panel Unit Root Tests

Very little is known about the local power of second generation panel unit root tests that are robust to cross-section dependence. This article derives the local asymptotic power functions of the cross-section argumented Dickey–Fuller Cross-section Augmented Dickey-Fuller (CADF) and CIPS tests of Pesaran (2007), which are among the most popular tests around.     

论刑法中的国家机关工作人员

为探寻刑法中“国家机关工作人员”正当而科学的判断标准,我们提出了关于“国家机关工作人员”本质的“公职论”,探讨了“公职论”的法理根基与政治学基础,并进行了“国家机关工作人员”的刑法学释义与分类。