法律依赖与社会公正

在我国法治建设过程中,人们对法律产生一种依赖,这种法律依赖由于缺乏理论和现实支撑,往往会造成法律愿望与其结果不符的尴尬,甚至带来不公正的司法后果,并最终与法律目标相背离。所以,怎样结合现实,冷静、客观、全面地对待法律,消除对法律的心理和行为依赖,成为实现司法公正,乃至社会公正所需要解决的问题。     

A kolmogorov‐smirnov type test for positive quadrant dependence

The author considers a consistent, Kolmogorov‐Smirnov type of test of the complete set of restrictions that relate to the copula representation of positive quadrant dependence. For such a test, he proposes and justifies inference relying on a simulation‐based multiplier method and a bootstrap method. He also explores the finite‐sample behaviour of both methods with Monte Carlo experiments. A first empirical illustration is given for American insurance claim data. A second one examines the presence of positive quadrant dependence in life expectancies at birth of males and females across countries.     

微小經濟體旅遊業的宏觀經濟分析及其對澳門的啟示(英文)

一個地區旅遊業是否成功一般是用旅客到達數目和旅遊業毛收入來衡量,而通常忽略了旅遊業發展的潛在成本及其對該地區的不良經濟社會影響。在宏觀經濟理論的框架下,結合一些旅遊業主導的微小經濟體的相關統計數字,本文指出旅遊業對於地區的經濟影響和分配效應。希望相關的政策制定者關注旅遊業實際的而不是單純的賬面利潤,以制定出更全面、更有經濟效益的旅遊策略。     

从经济增长理论的演变看报酬递增问题

经济增长理论的持续演变 ,表明了人们对经济增长内在动因的不懈追求 ,也说明传统主流经济理论对报酬递增问题的无能为力。透过这一演变进程 ,我们发现经济增长依赖于报酬递增。循此概括出报酬递增所依存的主要方式 :技术进步、以企业为载体的规模经济、市场交易效率的提高、产业结构间的联系效应、制度创新等等。更进一步 ,我们分析认为报酬递增尽管呈现在不同的层面 ,其实质却是统一于人与人之间的分工合作关系 ,可以说是人与人分工合作关系的不同侧面 ,这意味着要循着分工合作的路子发掘和利用报酬递增     

多维寿命分布模型

针对两部件组成系统的二维寿命分布,提出了基于条件失效率函数刻画方法,这是一种刻画寿命分布有效的新途径。同时,推广了条件失效率函数,得到了n维寿命分布的刻画情况。     

略论西北吐蕃与北宋的关系

北宋时期 ,西北吐蕃在经济、政治、军事上对北宋的依附以及文化心理上对中原王朝的认同 ,是宋朝经制吐蕃而吐蕃也愿意归属的深层原因。     

论当前治理高校学术道德失范的路径依赖

近年来我国高校频发的学术道德失范行为,既阻碍了学术进步,又严重损害了教育工作者和高校的形象。而治理高校学术道德失范的路径依赖,从根本上来说在于包括正确的价值引导体系、完善的教育濡化体系、科学的考核评价体系和系统的监督惩戒体系等在内的学术道德规范体系的构建和完善。     

Markov structure based logistic regression for repeated measures: An application to diabetes mellitus data

In longitudinal studies, as repeated observations are made on the same individual the response variables will usually be correlated. In analyzing such data, this dependence must be taken into account to avoid misleading inferences. The focus of this paper is to apply a logistic marginal model with Markovian dependence proposed by Azzalini [A. Azzalini, Logistic regression for autocorrelated data with application to repeated measures, Biometrika 81 (1994) 767–775] to the study of the influence of time-dependent covariates on the marginal distribution of the binary response in serially correlated binary data. We have shown how to construct the model so that the covariates relate only to the mean value of the process, independent of the association parameters. After formulating the proposed model for repeated measures data, the same approach is applied to missing data. An application is provided to the diabetes mellitus data of registered patients at the Bangladesh Institute of Research and Rehabilitation in Diabetes, Endocrine and Metabolic Disorders (BIRDEM) in 1984, using both time stationary and time varying covariates.     

我国国有公司治理结构的特点及其依据

我国国有公司具有股权高度集中、国有股比重过大 ;特殊的二元制公司治理模式 ;“金字塔”型公司治理结构 ;职工参与公司治理等特点。它不仅是借鉴国外公司治理模式的结果 ,而且更主要是我国现行的政治经济制度以及中国历史传统和文化的反映 ,这是我们构建中国特色的公司治理结构的基本依据。     

Block Bootstrapping for Kernel Density Estimators under ψ-Weak Dependence

Block bootstrap methods are applied to kernel-type density estimator and its derivatives for ψ-weakly dependent processes. Nonparametric density estimation is discussed via moving block bootstrap (MBB) and disjoint block bootstrap (DBB). Asymptotic validity is proved for MBB and DBB. A Monte-Carlo experiment compares confidence intervals based on MBB and DBB with an existing method based on normal approximation (NA) in terms of serial correlation, dynamic asymmetry, and conditional heteroscedasticity. The experiment shows that, in cases of substantial serial correlation, MBB and DBB perform better than NA and, in the other cases, MBB and DBB perform as good as NA.