首页 | 本学科首页   官方微博 | 高级检索  
文章检索
  按 检索   检索词:      
出版年份:   被引次数:   他引次数: 提示:输入*表示无穷大
  收费全文   3218篇
  免费   84篇
  国内免费   4篇
管理学   87篇
人口学   10篇
丛书文集   2篇
理论方法论   4篇
综合类   38篇
社会学   15篇
统计学   3150篇
  2024年   1篇
  2023年   15篇
  2022年   32篇
  2021年   25篇
  2020年   55篇
  2019年   127篇
  2018年   151篇
  2017年   230篇
  2016年   99篇
  2015年   85篇
  2014年   105篇
  2013年   1055篇
  2012年   314篇
  2011年   89篇
  2010年   82篇
  2009年   88篇
  2008年   77篇
  2007年   58篇
  2006年   49篇
  2005年   51篇
  2004年   82篇
  2003年   48篇
  2002年   42篇
  2001年   50篇
  2000年   43篇
  1999年   46篇
  1998年   47篇
  1997年   36篇
  1996年   11篇
  1995年   15篇
  1994年   16篇
  1993年   13篇
  1992年   14篇
  1991年   4篇
  1990年   10篇
  1989年   6篇
  1988年   2篇
  1987年   2篇
  1986年   3篇
  1985年   1篇
  1984年   8篇
  1983年   3篇
  1982年   5篇
  1981年   1篇
  1980年   4篇
  1979年   1篇
  1978年   1篇
  1976年   2篇
  1975年   2篇
排序方式: 共有3306条查询结果,搜索用时 15 毫秒
931.
This study is concerned with the extension of the Mallows–Bradley–Terry ranking model for one block comparison consisting of all the items of interest to situations which allow an expression of no preference. We consider a modification of the Mallows–Bradley–Terry ranking model by introducing an additional parameter, called an index of discrimination, in the model. This permits ties in the model. The maximum likelihood estimates of the parameters are found using a Maximization–Minimization algorithm: the evaluation of the mathematical expectations involved in the log-likelihood equation is obtained by generating samples of Monte Carlo Markov chain from the stationary distribution. In addition, a simulation study for asymptotic properties assessment has been made. The proposed method is applied to analyze data election.  相似文献   
932.
With the growing availability of high-frequency data, long memory has become a popular topic in finance research. Fractionally Integrated GARCH (FIGARCH) model is a standard approach to study the long memory of financial volatility. The original specification of FIGARCH model is developed using Normal distribution, which cannot accommodate fat-tailed properties commonly existing in financial time series. Traditionally, the Student-t distribution and General Error Distribution (GED) are used instead to solve that problem. However, a recent study points out that the Student-t lacks stability. Instead, the Stable distribution is introduced. The issue of this distribution is that its second moment does not exist. To overcome this new problem, the tempered stable distribution, which retains most attractive characteristics of the Stable distribution and has defined moments, is a natural candidate. In this paper, we describe the estimation procedure of the FIGARCH model with tempered stable distribution and conduct a series of simulation studies to demonstrate that it consistently outperforms FIGARCH models with the Normal, Student-t and GED distributions. An empirical evidence of the S&P 500 hourly return is also provided with robust results. Therefore, we argue that the tempered stable distribution could be a widely useful tool for modelling the high-frequency financial volatility in general contexts with a FIGARCH-type specification.  相似文献   
933.
Genome-wide association studies (GWAS) are effective in investigating the loci related with complex diseases. For most of these studies, the genetic inheritance model is not known in advance and therefore robust tests are preferred. Empirical likelihood (EL) method is well known for its flexibility and nonparametric properties, but is rarely investigated in GWAS. In this study, we develop EL-based test statistics to detect the association of a disease and genetic loci while the genetic model is unknown. The performance of proposed tests is evaluated by simulations and compared with several existing methods. For illustration, we apply these tests to identify the single nucleotide polymorphisms associated with alkaline phosphatase level on mouse chromosome 6.  相似文献   
934.
We propose new ensemble approaches to estimate the population mean for missing response data with fully observed auxiliary variables. We first compress the working models according to their categories through a weighted average, where the weights are proportional to the square of the least‐squares coefficients of model refitting. Based on the compressed values, we develop two ensemble frameworks, under which one is to adjust weights in the inverse probability weighting procedure and the other is built upon an additive structure by reformulating the augmented inverse probability weighting function. The asymptotic normality property is established for the proposed estimators through the theory of estimating functions with plugged‐in nuisance parameter estimates. Simulation studies show that the new proposals have substantial advantages over existing ones for small sample sizes, and an acquired immune deficiency syndrome data example is used for illustration.  相似文献   
935.
936.
In this article, we discuss the estimation of model parameters of the Type II bivariate Pólya–Aeppli distribution using the method of moments and the maximum likelihood method. We also compare some interval estimation methods. We then carry out a Monte Carlo simulation study to evaluate the performance of the proposed point and interval estimation methods. Finally, we present an example to illustrate all the inferential methods developed here.  相似文献   
937.
In this article, we study the problem of estimating the unknown shape and scale parameters of the exponentiated half logistic distribution. For the maximum-likelihood estimation, we obtain a necessary and sufficient condition for the existence and uniqueness of maximum-likelihood estimates of the parameters. Inverse moment and modified inverse moment estimators are derived. Monte Carlo simulations are conducted to compare their performances. Two methods for constructing joint confidence regions for the two parameters are also proposed and their performances are discussed. A numerical example is presented to illustrate the methods.  相似文献   
938.
In this paper, we introduce a new positive dependence concept between two non negative random variables which is related to a conditional version of the mean inactivity time order. A number of properties and relationship between the new notion and the concept of positive likelihood ratio dependence (PLRD) is discussed. Some results in terms of proposed notions for the Archimedean family of copulas are provided.  相似文献   
939.
We consider an exact factor model with integrated factors and propose an LM-type test for unit roots in the idiosyncratic component. We show that, for a fixed number of panel individuals (N) and when the number of time points (T) tends to infinity, the limiting distribution of the LM-type statistic is a weighted sum of independent Chi-square variables with one degree of freedom, and when T tends to infinity followed by N tending to infinity, the limiting distribution is standard normal. The results should contribute to the challenging task of deriving likelihood-based unit-root tests in dynamic factor models.  相似文献   
940.
This paper considers the multiple change-point estimation for exponential distribution with truncated and censored data by Gibbs sampling. After all the missing data of interest is filled in by some sampling methods such as rejection sampling method, the complete-data likelihood function is obtained. The full conditional distributions of all parameters are discussed. The means of Gibbs samples are taken as Bayesian estimations of the parameters. The implementation steps of Gibbs sampling are introduced in detail. Finally random simulation test is developed, and the results show that Bayesian estimations are fairly accurate.  相似文献   
设为首页 | 免责声明 | 关于勤云 | 加入收藏

Copyright©北京勤云科技发展有限公司  京ICP备09084417号