首页 | 本学科首页   官方微博 | 高级检索  
文章检索
  按 检索   检索词:      
出版年份:   被引次数:   他引次数: 提示:输入*表示无穷大
  收费全文   3207篇
  免费   84篇
  国内免费   4篇
管理学   87篇
人口学   10篇
丛书文集   2篇
理论方法论   4篇
综合类   38篇
社会学   15篇
统计学   3139篇
  2024年   1篇
  2023年   13篇
  2022年   23篇
  2021年   25篇
  2020年   55篇
  2019年   127篇
  2018年   151篇
  2017年   230篇
  2016年   99篇
  2015年   85篇
  2014年   105篇
  2013年   1055篇
  2012年   314篇
  2011年   89篇
  2010年   82篇
  2009年   88篇
  2008年   77篇
  2007年   58篇
  2006年   49篇
  2005年   51篇
  2004年   82篇
  2003年   48篇
  2002年   42篇
  2001年   50篇
  2000年   43篇
  1999年   46篇
  1998年   47篇
  1997年   36篇
  1996年   11篇
  1995年   15篇
  1994年   16篇
  1993年   13篇
  1992年   14篇
  1991年   4篇
  1990年   10篇
  1989年   6篇
  1988年   2篇
  1987年   2篇
  1986年   3篇
  1985年   1篇
  1984年   8篇
  1983年   3篇
  1982年   5篇
  1981年   1篇
  1980年   4篇
  1979年   1篇
  1978年   1篇
  1976年   2篇
  1975年   2篇
排序方式: 共有3295条查询结果,搜索用时 187 毫秒
991.
Inferences concerning exponential distributions are considered from a sampling theory viewpoint when the data are randomly right censored and the censored values are missing. Both one-sample and m-sample (m 2) problems are considered. Likelihood functions are obtained for situations in which the censoring mechanism is informative which leads to natural and intuitively appealing estimators of the unknown proportions of censored observations. For testing hypotheses about the unknown parameters, three well-known test statistics, namely, likelihood ratio test, score test, and Wald-type test are considered.  相似文献   
992.
提出了一种新的极化SAR图像相干斑抑制的方法。该方法在多纹理乘性相干斑噪声模型的假设下,采用最大似然估计法来同时估计多个极化通道的纹理参数。该方法保存了极化信息,消除了极化通道间的耦合,取得较好的相干斑抑制效果;并与极化白化滤波法(PWF)作了比较。  相似文献   
993.
A cohort of 300 women with breast cancer who were submitted for surgery is analysed by using a non-homogeneous Markov process. Three states are onsidered: no relapse, relapse and death. As relapse times change over time, we have extended previous approaches for a time homogeneous model to a non omogeneous multistate process. The trends of the hazard rate functions of transitions between states increase and then decrease, showing that a changepoint can be considered. Piecewise Weibull distributions are introduced as transition intensity functions. Covariates corresponding to treatments are incorporated in the model multiplicatively via these functions. The likelihood function is built for a general model with k changepoints and applied to the data set, the parameters are estimated and life-table and transition probabilities for treatments in different periods of time are given. The survival probability functions for different treatments are plotted and compared with the corresponding function for the homogeneous model. The survival functions for the various cohorts submitted for treatment are fitted to the mpirical survival functions.  相似文献   
994.
A particular semiparametric model of interest is the generalized partial linear model (GPLM) which extends the generalized linear model (GLM) by a nonparametric component.The paper reviews different estimation procedures based on kernel methods as well as test procedures on the correct specification of this model (vs. a parametric generalized linear model). Simulations and an application to a data set on East–West German migration illustrate similarities and dissimilarities of the estimators and test statistics.  相似文献   
995.
A Composite Likelihood Approach to Multivariate Survival Data   总被引:2,自引:1,他引:1  
This paper is about the statistical analysis of multivariate survival data. We discuss the additive and multiplicative frailty models which have been the most popular models for multivariate survival data. As an alternative to the additive and multiplicative frailty models, we propose basing inference on a composite likelihood function that only requires modelling of the marginal distribution of pairs of failure times. Each marginal distribution of a pair of failure times is here assumed to follow a shared frailty model. The method is illustrated with a real-life example.  相似文献   
996.
The conventional Cox proportional hazards regression model contains a loglinear relative risk function, linking the covariate information to the hazard ratio with a finite number of parameters. A generalization, termed the partly linear Cox model, allows for both finite dimensional parameters and an infinite dimensional parameter in the relative risk function, providing a more robust specification of the relative risk function. In this work, a likelihood based inference procedure is developed for the finite dimensional parameters of the partly linear Cox model. To alleviate the problems associated with a likelihood approach in the presence of an infinite dimensional parameter, the relative risk is reparameterized such that the finite dimensional parameters of interest are orthogonal to the infinite dimensional parameter. Inference on the finite dimensional parameters is accomplished through maximization of the profile partial likelihood, profiling out the infinite dimensional nuisance parameter using a kernel function. The asymptotic distribution theory for the maximum profile partial likelihood estimate is established. It is determined that this estimate is asymptotically efficient; the orthogonal reparameterization enables employment of profile likelihood inference procedures without adjustment for estimation of the nuisance parameter. An example from a retrospective analysis in cancer demonstrates the methodology.  相似文献   
997.
Motivated by problems of modelling torsional angles in molecules, Singh, Hnizdo & Demchuk (2002) proposed a bivariate circular model which is a natural torus analogue of the bivariate normal distribution and a natural extension of the univariate von Mises distribution to the bivariate case. The authors present here a multivariate extension of the bivariate model of Singh, Hnizdo & Demchuk (2002). They study the conditional distributions and investigate the shapes of marginal distributions for a special case. The methods of moments and pseudo‐likelihood are considered for the estimation of parameters of the new distribution. The authors investigate the efficiency of the pseudo‐likelihood approach in three dimensions. They illustrate their methods with protein data of conformational angles  相似文献   
998.
This paper studies the estimation of dynamic discrete games of incomplete information. Two main econometric issues appear in the estimation of these models: the indeterminacy problem associated with the existence of multiple equilibria and the computational burden in the solution of the game. We propose a class of pseudo maximum likelihood (PML) estimators that deals with these problems, and we study the asymptotic and finite sample properties of several estimators in this class. We first focus on two‐step PML estimators, which, although they are attractive for their computational simplicity, have some important limitations: they are seriously biased in small samples; they require consistent nonparametric estimators of players' choice probabilities in the first step, which are not always available; and they are asymptotically inefficient. Second, we show that a recursive extension of the two‐step PML, which we call nested pseudo likelihood (NPL), addresses those drawbacks at a relatively small additional computational cost. The NPL estimator is particularly useful in applications where consistent nonparametric estimates of choice probabilities either are not available or are very imprecise, e.g., models with permanent unobserved heterogeneity. Finally, we illustrate these methods in Monte Carlo experiments and in an empirical application to a model of firm entry and exit in oligopoly markets using Chilean data from several retail industries.  相似文献   
999.
For stationary time series models with serial correlation, we consider generalized method of moments (GMM) estimators that use heteroskedasticity and autocorrelation consistent (HAC) positive definite weight matrices and generalized empirical likelihood (GEL) estimators based on smoothed moment conditions. Following the analysis of Newey and Smith (2004) for independent observations, we derive second order asymptotic biases of these estimators. The inspection of bias expressions reveals that the use of smoothed GEL, in contrast to GMM, removes the bias component associated with the correlation between the moment function and its derivative, while the bias component associated with third moments depends on the employed kernel function. We also analyze the case of no serial correlation, and find that the seemingly unnecessary smoothing and HAC estimation can reduce the bias for some of the estimators.  相似文献   
1000.
We address the identifiability and estimation of recursive max‐linear structural equation models represented by an edge‐weighted directed acyclic graph (DAG). Such models are generally unidentifiable and we identify the whole class of DAG s and edge weights corresponding to a given observational distribution. For estimation, standard likelihood theory cannot be applied because the corresponding families of distributions are not dominated. Given the underlying DAG, we present an estimator for the class of edge weights and show that it can be considered a generalized maximum likelihood estimator. In addition, we develop a simple method for identifying the structure of the DAG. With probability tending to one at an exponential rate with the number of observations, this method correctly identifies the class of DAGs and, similarly, exactly identifies the possible edge weights.  相似文献   
设为首页 | 免责声明 | 关于勤云 | 加入收藏

Copyright©北京勤云科技发展有限公司  京ICP备09084417号