首页 | 本学科首页   官方微博 | 高级检索  
文章检索
  按 检索   检索词:      
出版年份:   被引次数:   他引次数: 提示:输入*表示无穷大
  收费全文   7477篇
  免费   151篇
  国内免费   30篇
管理学   364篇
民族学   26篇
人口学   145篇
丛书文集   228篇
理论方法论   110篇
综合类   1794篇
社会学   75篇
统计学   4916篇
  2024年   32篇
  2023年   39篇
  2022年   67篇
  2021年   59篇
  2020年   131篇
  2019年   218篇
  2018年   249篇
  2017年   468篇
  2016年   155篇
  2015年   174篇
  2014年   254篇
  2013年   2080篇
  2012年   648篇
  2011年   290篇
  2010年   211篇
  2009年   251篇
  2008年   260篇
  2007年   259篇
  2006年   221篇
  2005年   228篇
  2004年   183篇
  2003年   173篇
  2002年   165篇
  2001年   152篇
  2000年   128篇
  1999年   77篇
  1998年   66篇
  1997年   48篇
  1996年   41篇
  1995年   35篇
  1994年   26篇
  1993年   31篇
  1992年   29篇
  1991年   28篇
  1990年   28篇
  1989年   23篇
  1988年   19篇
  1987年   16篇
  1986年   9篇
  1985年   13篇
  1984年   13篇
  1983年   15篇
  1982年   8篇
  1981年   6篇
  1980年   7篇
  1979年   7篇
  1978年   5篇
  1977年   6篇
  1976年   3篇
  1975年   4篇
排序方式: 共有7658条查询结果,搜索用时 0 毫秒
61.
In order to avoid wrong conclusions in any further analysis, it is of importance to conduct a formal comparison for characteristic quantities of the distributions. These characteristic quantities we are familiar with include mean, quantity and reliability function, and so on. In this paper, we consider two tests aiming at the comparisons for function of parameters in Pareto distribution based on record values. They are generalized p-value-based test and parametric bootstrap-based test, respectively. The resulting procedures are easy to compute and are applicable to small samples. A simulation study is conducted to investigate and compare the performance of the proposed tests. A phenomenon we note is that generalized p-value-based test almost uniformly outperforms the parametric bootstrap-based test.  相似文献   
62.
We investigate a Bayesian inference in the three-parameter bathtub-shaped lifetime distribution which is obtained by adding a power parameter to the two-parameter bathtub-shaped lifetime distribution suggested by Chen (2000). The Bayes estimators under the balanced squared error loss function are derived for three parameters. Then, we have used Lindley's and Tierney–Kadane approximations (see Lindley 1980; Tierney and Kadane 1986) for computing these Bayes estimators. In particular, we propose the explicit form of Lindley's approximation for the model with three parameters. We also give applications with a simulated data set and two real data sets to show the use of discussed computing methods. Finally, concluding remarks are mentioned.  相似文献   
63.
A multivariate generalized beta distribution is introduced that extends the univariate generalized beta distribution and includes many multivariate distributions, such as the multivariate beta of the first and second kind, the generalized gamma, and the Burr and Dirichlet distributions as special and limiting cases. These interrelationships can be illustrated using a distributional family tree. The corresponding marginal distributions are univariate generalized beta distributions and their special cases. Selected expressions for the moments are reported, and an application to the joint distribution of income and wealth is presented. A simple transformation of the multivariate generalized beta distribution leads to what will be referred to as a multivariate exponential generalized beta distribution, which includes a multivariate form of the logistics and Burr distributions as special cases.  相似文献   
64.
We develop a stochastic model describing the joint distribution of (X,N), where N has a geometric distribution while X is the sum of N dependent, heavy-tail Pareto components. Models of this form arise in many applications, ranging from hydro-climatology to finance and insurance. We present fundamental properties of this vector, including marginal and conditional distributions, moments, representations, and parameter estimation. We also include an example from finance, illustrating modeling potential of this new bivariate distribution.  相似文献   
65.
Quantile-based reliability analysis has received much attention recently. We propose new quantile-based tests for exponentiality against decreasing mean residual quantile function (DMRQ) and new better than used in expectation (NBUE) classes of alternatives. The exact null distribution of the test statistic is derived when the alternative class is DMRQ. The asymptotic properties of both the test statistics are studied. The performance of the proposed tests with other existing tests in the literature is evaluated through simulation study. Finally, we illustrate our test procedure using real data sets.  相似文献   
66.
In recent years, there has been a growing interest in modelling integred-valued time series. In this article, we propose a modified and generalized version of the first order rounded integer-valued autoregressive RINAR(1) model, originally introduced by Kachour and Yao (2009 Kachour , M. , Yao , J. F. ( 2009 ). First-order rounded integer-valued autoregressive (RINAR(1)) process . Journal of Time Series Analysis 30 ( 4 ): 417448 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]). Indeed, this class can be considered as an alternative of classical models based on the thinning operators. Using a Markov chain method, conditions for stationarity and the existence of moments are investigated. Least squares estimator of the model parameters is considered and its consistence is established. Finally, we describe the price change data using a model of the new class.  相似文献   
67.
This article investigates the properties of the likelihood function of Spanos’ conditional t heteroskedastic model (Spanos, 1994 Spanos , A. ( 1994 ). On modeling heteroskedasticity: The student's t and elliptical linear regression models . Econometric Theor. 10 : 286315 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]) On modeling heteroskedasticity: the student's t and elliptical linear regression models. It is shown that estimability of the degrees of freedom of t distribution and the block-diagonality of the information matrix of the joint likelihood function with respect to conditional mean parameters and remaining parameters hold for the model. The joint maximum likelihood estimator and its inference based on the t-statistic and χ2-statistic are examined in finite samples by simulation when the degrees of freedom is known and unknown.  相似文献   
68.
Efficient, accurate, and fast Markov Chain Monte Carlo estimation methods based on the Implicit approach are proposed. In this article, we introduced the notion of Implicit method for the estimation of parameters in Stochastic Volatility models.

Implicit estimation offers a substantial computational advantage for learning from observations without prior knowledge and thus provides a good alternative to classical inference in Bayesian method when priors are missing.

Both Implicit and Bayesian approach are illustrated using simulated data and are applied to analyze daily stock returns data on CAC40 index.  相似文献   

69.
In this article, we consider sequences of i.i.d. random variables and, under suitable conditions on the (common) distribution function, we prove large deviation principles for sequences of maxima, minima and pairs formed by maxima and minima. The i.i.d. random variables can be either unbounded or bounded; in the first case maxima and minima have to be suitably normalized.  相似文献   
70.
Suppose one uses a parametric density function based on the first four (conditional) moments to model risk. There are quite a few densities to choose from and depending on which is selected, one implicitly assumes very different tail behavior and very different feasible skewness/kurtosis combinations. Surprisingly, there is no systematic analysis of the tradeoff one faces. It is the purpose of the article to address this. We focus on the tail behavior and the range of skewness and kurtosis as these are key for common applications such as risk management.  相似文献   
设为首页 | 免责声明 | 关于勤云 | 加入收藏

Copyright©北京勤云科技发展有限公司  京ICP备09084417号