Inference for Box–Cox Transformed Threshold GARCH Models with Nuisance Parameters

Abstract. Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedastic (GARCH) models have been widely used for analyzing financial time series with time‐varying volatilities. To overcome the defect of the Gaussian quasi‐maximum likelihood estimator (QMLE) when the innovations follow either heavy‐tailed or skewed distributions, Berkes & Horváth (Ann. Statist., 32, 633, 2004) and Lee & Lee (Scand. J. Statist. 36, 157, 2009) considered likelihood methods that use two‐sided exponential, Cauchy and normal mixture distributions. In this paper, we extend their methods for Box–Cox transformed threshold GARCH model by allowing distributions used in the construction of likelihood functions to include parameters and employing the estimated quasi‐likelihood estimators (QELE) to handle those parameters. We also demonstrate that the proposed QMLE and QELE are consistent and asymptotically normal under regularity conditions. Simulation results are provided for illustration.     

Order preserving property of moment estimators

Balakrishnan and Mi (2001) considered order preserving property of maximum likelihood estimators. In this paper there are given conditions under which the moment estimators have the property of preserving stochastic orders. The preserving property for the usual stochastic order as well as for likelihood ratio one is considered. Sufficient conditions are established for some parametric families of distributions.     

Error variance estimation via least squares for small sample nonparametric regression

In this paper we explore statistical properties of some difference-based approaches to estimate an error variance for small sample based on nonparametric regression which satisfies Lipschitz condition. Our study is motivated by Tong and Wang (2005), who estimated error variance using a least squares approach. They considered the error variance as the intercept in a simple linear regression which was obtained from the expectation of their lag-k Rice estimator. Their variance estimators are highly dependent on the setting of a regressor and weight of their simple linear regression. Although this regressor and weight can be varied based on the characteristic of an unknown nonparametric mean function, Tong and Wang (2005) have used a fixed regressor and weight in a large sample and gave no indication of how to determine the regressor and the weight. In this paper, we propose a new approach via local quadratic approximation to determine this regressor and weight. Using our proposed regressor and weight, we estimate the error variance as the intercept of simple linear regression using both ordinary least squares and weighted least squares. Our approach applies to both small and large samples, while most existing difference-based methods are appropriate solely for large samples. We compare the performance of our approach with other existing approaches using extensive simulation study. The advantage of our approach is demonstrated using a real data set.     

Comments on the paper “Bias-adjustment and calibration of jackknife variance estimator in the presence of non-response”

Singh and Arnab (2010) presented a bias adjustment to the jackknife variance estimator of Rao and Sitter (1995) in the presence of non-response. In their paper, they obtained a second-order approximation of the bias of the Rao-Sitter variance estimator and then proposed a bias-adjusted estimator based on this approximation. To compare their proposed variance estimator to various other variance estimators, they performed a simulation study and showed that their variance estimator is superior to the Rao-Sitter variance estimator. In fact they showed that the Rao-Sitter variance estimator suffers from severe underestimation. These results contradict those in the literature, which indicate that the Rao-Sitter variance estimator suffers from a positive bias if the sampling fractions are not negligible; see Rao and Sitter (1995), Lee et al. (1995) and Haziza and Picard (2011). Because of this contradiction, we felt that a further investigation was warranted. In this paper, we attempt to recreate the results of Singh and Arnab (2010) and, in fact, show that their second order approximation to the bias of the Rao-Sitter variance estimator is incorrect and that their simulation results are also questionable.     

A note on consistent estimation of Kullback–Leibler discrepancy in Poisson regression

A recent theorem by Hannig and Lee on consistency of their estimator of Kullback–Leibler discrepancy is re-proved under assumptions suitably modified to correct a fault in the original proof.     

Semiparametric Estimation in Transformation Models with Cure Fraction

Semiparametric transformation model has been extensively investigated in the literature. The model, however, has little dealt with survival data with cure fraction. In this article, we consider a class of semi-parametric transformation models, where an unknown transformation of the survival times with cure fraction is assumed to be linearly related to the covariates and the error distributions are parametrically specified by an extreme value distribution with unknown parameters. Estimators for the coefficients of covariates are obtained from pseudo Z-estimator procedures allowing censored observations. We show that the estimators are consistent and asymptotically normal. The bootstrap estimation of the variances of the estimators is also investigated.     

A resampling‐based test for two crossing survival curves

The area between two survival curves is an intuitive test statistic for the classical two‐sample testing problem. We propose a bootstrap version of it for assessing the overall homogeneity of these curves. Our approach allows ties in the data as well as independent right censoring, which may differ between the groups. The asymptotic distribution of the test statistic as well as of its bootstrap counterpart are derived under the null hypothesis, and their consistency is proven for general alternatives. We demonstrate the finite sample superiority of the proposed test over some existing methods in a simulation study and illustrate its application by a real‐data example.     

George W. Snedecor,Pioneer Statistician, 1881–1974

Users of statistical packages need to be aware of the influence that outlying data points can have on their statistical analyses. Robust procedures provide formal methods to spot these outliers and reduce their influence. Although a few robust procedures are mentioned in this article, one is emphasized; it is motivated by maximum likelihood estimation to make it seem more natural. Use of this procedure in regression problems is considered in some detail, and an approximate error structure is stated for the robust estimates of the regression coefficients. A few examples are given. A suggestion of how these techniques should be implemented in practice is included.