On the estimation of a sensitive quantitative mean using blank cards

In this article, we introduce for the first time, the blank card methods for estimation of finite population mean of a sensitive variable. Two generic randomization devices are suggested, and for each device we identify the choices of special models. We introduce additive, multiplicative, and combination of both additive and multiplicative scrambling models that require use of a non sensitive variable. We derive the basic statistical properties of each model. It is interesting to note that various existing estimators can be viewed as the special cases of those presented here. The statistical efficiency of proposed techniques is compared with Greenberg et al. (1971 Greenberg, B.G., Kuebler Jr, R.R., Abernathy, J.R., Horvitz, D.G. (1971). Application of the randomized response technique in obtaining quantitative data. J. Am. Stat. Assoc. 66(334):243–250.[Taylor &; Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) and modified Perri (2008 Perri, P.F. (2008). Modified randomized devices for Simmons’ model. Model Assisted Stat. Appl. 3(3):233–239. [Google Scholar]) model. The proposed devices can easily be adjusted to achieve the required efficiency level by making suitable choices of different design parameters.     

层级制:存续抑或终结

层级制是人类管理史上一种高效率的组织形式,但由于其包含着组织利益与个体利益、平等与等级、自由与依赖、稳定结构与环境变化等内在理念的冲突,以及现实中独断的领导方式,信息沟通不畅通等痼疾,将会为一种民主、平等、自我管理的网络型的理想组织体系所替代,然而,这种替代性方案必须在一定情景之下才能实现。纵观我国管理界,层级组织仍然是主要模式,如何推进我国组织体制的变革,始终是一个棘手的问题。通过对层级制组织的分析,希望为我国组织体制的变革提供理论支撑。     

论公平、效率与收入分配

经济体制转型过程中,"效率优先,兼顾公平"是我们进行分配领域改革的基本原则,对这一原则理解的失误导致收入分配差距日愈拉大.通过对公平与效率的重新反思,认识公平与效率是两个不同经济运行过程的运行原则.公平是分配过程的原则,它贯穿于收入分配的全过程,不管初次分配还是再分配,都要遵循这一原则.     

论我国刑事证据展示制度的确立--以公正、效率为视角

公正与效率既是刑事诉讼的基本价值目标,也是我们分析和研究刑事诉讼相关问题的一种基本方法。而刑事证据展示制度的确立对刑事诉讼中公正与效率的实现有着十分重要的意义。以刑事诉讼公正与效率价值目标为视角,通过对刑事证据展示制度与公正、效率价值目标关系的分析,指出了我国目前刑事证据展示制度在实现公正与效率价值目标方面存在的问题,并对如何确立我国的刑事证据展示制度提出了一些设想。     

局部平稳过程、稳定过程及GARCH模型的比较研究

本文在Granger（2005）[1]研究成果的基础上对局部平稳过程的大样本性质进行了深入探讨,发现了一些颇具实际价值的理论结果,弥补了Granger（2005）仅利用预测效果标准得到金融数据生成过程的不足,进一步给出了适合于实证分析的判断金融数据生成过程的标准,并在此基础上详细讨论了局部平稳过程、稳定过程及GARCH模型在大样本情况下的区别。本文运用研究得到的结果,在非平稳框架下对中国股票市场上证180指数进行了分析,发现上证180指数收益率具有明显的非平稳特性,并在此基础上进一步讨论了中国股票市场的市场有效性问题。     

Declining inter-industry wage dispersion in the US

Industrial effects have long been significant factors in wage inequality. Previous research indicates that wage differentials across industries were increasing through the mid 1980s. Using more recent data, however, we find that the level of inter-industry wage dispersion declined by 36% from 1986 to 2002 despite the continued trend towards increasing inequality in the labor force. This decline in inter-industry wage dispersion is evident across gender and educational groups. Using multilevel growth curve models, our multivariate results indicate that the decline is only weakly related to industrial changes in education, occupation or even productivity despite the fact that the latter variable had been a critical factor in the prior period. Indicators of globalization and downsizing also do not appear to explain this decline. For the more recent period, the most important factors associated with the narrowing of inter-industry wage dispersion are reduced unionization rates and the higher proportion of casual workers. We interpret these results as suggesting that firms may now be less economically obliged to pass on a portion of their rents to broad groups of workers and may instead be engaged in more idiosyncratic processes of negotiation with individual workers based on micro-level sources of bargaining power.     

Efficiency Wages,Productivity and Simultaneity: A Meta-Regression Analysis

This study reports a meta-analysis of 75 estimates of the efficiency-wage effect. It reveals a strong efficiency-wage effect that depends upon whether researchers control for potential simultaneity between wages and productivity. Studies that control for simultaneity tend to report stronger effects. Clear evidence of publication selection is also found. E24, J30.

我国中小零售企业物流系统运营效率研究

近年来我国中小零售企业发展快速且竞争激烈,零售物流系统是高成本时代中小零售企业发展的关键。运用数据包络分析(DEA)法,对比分析18家中小零售企业的物流系统经营数据可知,中小零售企业物流作业要树立效率经营理念,不断加强物流系统内部管理,从而建设高效零售物流体系,提升企业运营效率。     

Protection of privacy in efficient application of randomized response techniques

In estimating the proportion of people bearing a sensitive attribute A, say, in a given community, following Warner’s (J Am Stat Assoc 60:63–69, 1965) pioneering work, certain randomized response (RR) techniques are available for application. These are intended to ensure efficient and unbiased estimation protecting a respondent’s privacy when it touches a person’s socially stigmatizing feature like rash driving, tax evasion, induced abortion, testing HIV positive, etc. Lanke (Int Stat Rev 44:197–203, 1976), Leysieffer and Warner (J Am Stat Assoc 71:649–656, 1976), Anderson (Int Stat Rev 44:213–217, 1976, Scand J Stat 4:11–19, 1977) and Nayak (Commun Stat Theor Method 23:3303–3321, 1994) among others have discussed how maintenance of efficiency is in conflict with protection of privacy. In their RR-related activities the sample selection is traditionally by simple random sampling (SRS) with replacement (WR). In this paper, an extension of an essential similarity in case of general unequal probability sample selection even without replacement is reported. Large scale surveys overwhelmingly employ complex designs other than SRSWR. So extension of RR techniques to complex designs is essential and hence this paper principally refers to them. New jeopardy measures to protect revelation of secrecy presented here are needed as modifications of those in the literature covering SRSWR alone. Observing that multiple responses are feasible in addressing such a dichotomous situation especially with Kuk’s (Biometrika 77:436–438, 1990) and Christofides’ (Metrika 57:195–200, 2003) RR devices, an average of the response-specific jeopardizing measures is proposed. This measure which is device dependent, could be regarded as a technical characteristic of the device and it should be made known to the participants before they agree to use the randomization device. The views expressed are the authors’, not of the organizations they work for. Prof Chaudhuri’s research is partially supported by CSIR Grant No. 21(0539)/02/EMR-II.     

A robustness framework for monitoring real options under uncertainty

This paper presents a problem structuring methodology to assess real option decisions in the face of unpredictability. Based on principles of robustness analysis and scenario planning, we demonstrate how decision-aiding can facilitate participation in projects setting and achieve effective decision making through the use of real options reasoning. We argue that robustness heuristics developed in earlier studies can be practical proxies for real options performance, hence indicators of efficient flexible planning. The developed framework also highlights how to integrate real options solutions in firms’ strategic plans and operating actions. The use of the methodology in a location decision application is provided for illustration.