A time series model with random coefficients

There are many time series applications where an experi­menter observes the simultaneous responses of several sub­systems over time. In these instances one is often not interested in the parameters of individual subsystems, but rather in an overall characterization of the system in question. Under the assumption that subsystems are independent and first order autoregressive, the present paper presents two methods for estimating the distribution of the subsystem coefficients.     

Sufficiency of a sufficient statistic for equivariant estimation

Suppose an estimation problem is invariant under a group of transformations and one is interested in finding an optimal equivariant estimator. The usual proactice is to confine attention to non-randomized equivariant estimators based on a minimal sufficient statistic. A justification of this restriction to a smaller clas of estimators is given in this paper under certain conditions.     

Anova and minque type of estimators for the one-way random effects model

The one-way random effects model with unequal variances and unequal sample sizes is considered. Estimation of the variances, variance of a single observation (total variance), and the standard error of the unweighted mean are considered. Precision of the Analysis of Variance and Unweighted Sums of Squares type of estimators and the Minimum Norm Quadratic Unbiased Estimators with a priori weights are examined.     

Maximum likelihood estimation for the generalized poisson distribution

The generalized Poisson distribution;containing two

parameters and studied by many researchers; describes the distribution of busy periods under a queueing system and has very interesting properties; The probabilities for successive classes depend upon the previous occurrences; The problem of admissible maximum likelihood estimators for for the parameters Is discussed and a necessary and sufficient condition is derived for which unique admissible maximum likelihood estimators exist; The first; order terms in the biases; variances and the covariance of these maximum likelihood estimators are obtained.     

On the asymptotic efficiency of moment and maximum likelihood estimators in the three-parameter inverse gaussian distribution

The asymptotic distribution of estimators generated by the methods of moments and maximum likelihood are considered. Simple formulae are provided which enable comparisons of asymptotic relative efficiency to be effected.     

The pitman nearness criterion and its determination

A general method for determining Pitman Nearness is given In the case of univariate estimators. This method is then applied to some estimation problems. The concept of Pitman Nearness is also generalized to the multivariate case. The James-Stein estimators are used to illustrate the multivariate comparison.     

The breakdown and influence properties of outlier rejection-plus-mean procedures

In a recent paper, Hampel (1985) studied the properties of rejection-plus-mean procedures as estimators of a location parameter. He reported that these procedures have low breakdown and high variance. In this article it is pointed out that these results are due to the outliers being rejected in a forwards-stepping manner, and when a more appropriate backwards-stepping approach is used, rejection-plus-mean procedures lead to estimators with high breakdown and high variance. In this article it is pointed out that these results are due to the outliers being rejected in a forwards-stepping manner, and when a more appropriate backwards-stepping approach is used, rejection-plus-mean procedures lead to estimator with high breakdown and redescending theoretical influence function.     

A Measure of partial association between disease and genotype for the two-parent problem

The two-parent disease-genotype association problem is studied from the point of view of a coefficient of association between the disease phenotype of the child and the disease phenotypes of the parents, in the presence of some genotypic information about the parents. This coefficient of partial association is derived, and certain tests of hypotheses are constructed. The results are shown to be useful in estimation of recurrence risks, and in understanding the nature of the association between child and parental disease phenotypes.     

Asymptotic Theory of Outlier Detection Algorithms for Linear Time Series Regression Models

Outlier detection algorithms are intimately connected with robust statistics that down‐weight some observations to zero. We define a number of outlier detection algorithms related to the Huber‐skip and least trimmed squares estimators, including the one‐step Huber‐skip estimator and the forward search. Next, we review a recently developed asymptotic theory of these. Finally, we analyse the gauge, the fraction of wrongly detected outliers, for a number of outlier detection algorithms and establish an asymptotic normal and a Poisson theory for the gauge.     

GMM的有效自举改进

广义矩方法(GMM)是计量经济和统计分析中重要的推断方法.但其小样本性质欠佳,促使人们关注其推断方法的改进.而自举法(Bootstrapping)提供了一种改进推断的思路.文章就相关文献的GMM自举方法及过程进行简要的描述和提炼,以说明由此产生的推断的渐进有效改进.