Ergodicity and extinction in a stochastic susceptible-infected-recovered-susceptible epidemic model with influence of information

An epidemic model with stochastic contact transmission coefficient takes into account white noise and the influence of information. Sufficient conditions for the extinction and persistence of the disease are expressed. The existence of a stationary distribution and the ergodic property are proved. The peak of infected population can be decreased by information. The analytical results are showed by simulations and the influence of white noise and information on the dynamics of epidemics are evaluated.     

The resource constrained single-item inventory problem with demand-dependent unit cost

In this paper, we present an economic order quantity (EOQ) with both demand-dependent unit cost and restrictions. An analytical solution of the EQO is derived using a recent and simple method, which isthe geometric programming approach. The EOQ inventory model with demand-dependent unit cost without any restriction and the classical EOQ inventory model are obtained.     

A generalized semi-Pareto minification process

In this paper a generalization of the semi-Pareto autoregressive minification process of the first order is given. The necessary and sufficient condition for stationarity of the process is determined. It is shown that the process is ergodic and uniformly mixing. The joint survival function and the joint density function of the random variables X _n+h and X _n are determined. The extremes of the random variables X ₁, X ₂, ..., X _n and the geometric extremes of random variables X ₁, X ₂, ..., X _N are derived and their asymptotic distributions are discussed. The estimation of the parameters is discussed and some numerical results are given.     

Some Related Minima Stability and Minima Infinite Divisibility of the General Multivariate Pareto Distributions

This article studies the minima stable property of the general multivariate Pareto distributions MP^(k)(I), MP^(k)(II), MP^(k)(III), MP^(k)(IV) which can be applied to characterize the MP^(k) distribution via its weighted ordered coordinates minima and marginal distribution. Also, the multivariate semi-Pareto distribution (denoted by MSP) is discerned in the class of geometric minima infinite divisible and geometric minima stable distributions. If the exponent measure is satisfied by some functional equation, then the geometric minima stable property can be used to characterize the MSP distribution. Finally, the finite sample minima infinite divisible property of the MP^(k)(I), (II), and (IV) distributions is also discussed.     

A Discrete Analog of the Generalized Exponential Distribution

In this article, we attempt to introduce a discrete analog of the generalized exponential distribution of Gupta and Kundu (1999 Gupta , R. D. and Kundu , D. ( 1999 ). Generalized exponential distributions . Austral. NZ J. Statist. 41 ( 2 ): 173 – 188 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]). This new discrete generalized exponential (DGE(α, p)) distribution can be viewed as another generalization of the geometric distribution and it is more flexible in data modeling. We shall first study some basic distributional and moment properties of this family of new distributions. Then, we will reveal their structural properties and applications and also investigate estimation of their parameters. Finally, we shall discuss their convolution properties and arrive at some characterizations in the special cases DGE(2, p) and DGE(3, p).     

A Tandem Queue with Server Slow-Down and Blocking

Abstract

We consider two variants of a two-station tandem network with blocking. In both variants the first server ceases to work when the queue length at the second station hits a ‘blocking threshold.’ In addition, in variant 2 the first server decreases its service rate when the second queue exceeds a ‘slow-down threshold, ’ which is smaller than the blocking level. In both variants the arrival process is Poisson and the service times at both stations are exponentially distributed. Note, however, that in case of slow-downs, server 1 works at a high rate, a slow rate, or not at all, depending on whether the second queue is below or above the slow-down threshold or at the blocking threshold, respectively. For variant 1, i.e., only blocking, we concentrate on the geometric decay rate of the number of jobs in the first buffer and prove that for increasing blocking thresholds the sequence of decay rates decreases monotonically and at least geometrically fast to max{ρ₁, ρ₂}, where ρ _i is the load at server i. The methods used in the proof also allow us to clarify the asymptotic queue length distribution at the second station. Then we generalize the analysis to variant 2, i.e., slow-down and blocking, and establish analogous results.     

On the Markov property of order statistics

The order statistics from a sample of size n≥3 from a discrete distribution form a Markov chain if and only if the parent distribution is supported by one or two points. More generally, a necessary and sufficient condition for the order statistics to form a Markov chain for (n≥3) is that there does not exist any atom x₀ of the parent distribution F satisfying F(x₀-)>0 and F(x₀)<1. To derive this result a formula for the joint distribution of order statistics is proved, which is of an interest on its own. Many exponential characterizations implicitly assume the Markov property. The corresponding putative geometric characterizations cannot then be reasonably expected to obtain. Some illustrative geometric characterizations are discussed.     

抽象数学观念的直观形象(Ⅱ)

本文多侧面、深层次地展示抽象数学观念的直观形象,以期揭示数学发现的萌动的思想过程．     

Log Gaussian Cox Processes

Planar Cox processes directed by a log Gaussian intensity process are investigated in the univariate and multivariate cases. The appealing properties of such models are demonstrated theoretically as well as through data examples and simulations. In particular, the first, second and third-order properties are studied and utilized in the statistical analysis of clustered point patterns. Also empirical Bayesian inference for the underlying intensity surface is considered.     

Modeling asset returns with alternative stable distributions

In the 1960's Benoit Mandelbrot and Eugene Fama argued strongly in favor of the stable Paretian distribution as a model for the unconditional distribution of asset returns. Although a substantial body of subsequent empirical studies supported this position, the stable Paretian model plays a minor role in current empirical work.

While in the economics and finance literature stable distributions are virtually exclusively associated with stable Paretian distributions, in this paper we adopt a more fundamental view and extend the concept of stability to a variety of probabilistic schemes. These schemes give rise to alternative stable distributions, which we compare empirically using S&P 500 stock return data. In this comparison the Weibull distribution, associated with both the nonrandom-minimum and geometric-random summation schemes dominates the other stable distributions considered-including the stable Paretian model.