论近现代转型时期的寰球中国学生会

寰球中国学生会是我国最早的留学生中介机构之一 ,它在 1 91 9- 1 92 0年间为赴法勤工俭学的各批留学生提供服务 ,并且成为“五四运动”期间上海学生运动的活动中心。它在与学校、社团、报纸等一些公共领域的基本元素的紧密结合中建构起一种对社会发展产生影响的推动力。     

从认知语境的吻合看言语交际的成功

讨论了关联理论中从认知语境相吻合的角度看言语交际的成功;基于明示推理模式,分析听话者在交际过程中的认知推理和心理运算,论证了力求在推理过程中,找到最佳关联度,进而不断推测、验证使发话者对对方认知语境的假设与理解的期待与听话者真实的认知语境相吻合来达到言语交际的成功。     

基于顾客满意度陷阱的市场细分方法研究

提出了基于顾客满意度陷阱的市场细分方法,企业可以根据该细分结果对不同满意程度的顾客采取不同的营销战略,将投向满意顾客的部分资源转向不满意顾客和非常满意顾客,能够更有效地提升顾客忠诚度,并拉动企业的业绩表现。以某个电视制造企业为例,采用了聚类分析、主成分回归分析、多重对应分析等统计分析方法,验证了顾客满意度陷阱的存在,同时表明顾客的人口统计特征与顾客满意作用于顾客忠诚的方式存在对应关系,从而佐证了方法的合理性。     

FDI’s Impact on Transitional Countries, Serbia as a Rational Choice: The FIAT-ZASTAVA Case

The privatization process and foreign direct investments (FDI) are among the most important economic issues in transitional countries. FDI has enormous influence on transitional countries that need serious structural changes. In this paper we will study FIAT’s decision to invest in the Serbian automotive industry. We will try to rationalize FIAT’s decision because Serbian car manufacturer ZASTAVA was not the only alternative for FIAT to invest in the Balkans. In order to justify FIAT’s decision we will apply the Mullins model of horizontal and vertical FDI, examine the importance of the cooperating history between two car manufacturers and compare macroeconomic conditions and Global Competitiveness of Serbia and Romania, which was the main alternative for FIAT. Finally, we will also try to explain why FIAT decided to announce the investment at the end of political campaign in Serbia when pools gave anti-European parties higher chances for victory, instead of waiting to see the outcome of the elections.

NGOs, Global Governance and the UN: NGOs as “Guardians of the Reform of the International System”

The role of non-governmental organizations (NGOs) in the United Nations (UN), as well as in world politics in general, is increasingly gaining the attention of scholars of international law, political science and social anthropology. Using extensive earlier research on NGO-UN relations and on the concept of global governance, it is concluded that although NGOs are becoming increasingly influential actors on the international arena, several problems impede their influence from growing within the UN. Once the inefficiencies of NGOs participation in United Nations’ bodies and institutions have been described, we propose some modalities of reform of this Organization, with the purpose of improving the involvement of world civil society in UN decision-making processes, and increasing its democratic profile. Finally, the study suggests several areas that require future research and more in-depth study in order to make predictions about how NGO-UN relations will evolve in the coming decades.

全球公民社会的作用及其变革

全球化引发的全球治理真空,需要全球公民社会发挥作用。而全球化密切交往中全球意识的扩展和社会资本的兴起,也为全球公民社会的产生提供了条件。全球公民社会在参与全球治理、扶持弱势群体、抑制全球强权、弥补“民主赤字”等方面扮演着积极的角色。由于力量的相对弱小和参与机制的不健全,全球公民社会的作用还受到局限。全球公民社会需要解决好自身的独立性、合法性、平衡性等一些重大问题,以谋求更大的发展。     

关联理论关照下的话语理解

Sperber和Wilson从认知科学的角度对话语交际进行了有效探讨,提出了以明示推理原则为根基的关联理论。在话语实践中,交际双方通常凭借认知语境与最佳关联的有效介入来实现话语的准确理解,从而达到成功交际的目的。     

水污染物总量行业优化分配模型研究

提出行业水环境经济综合指数的概念和确定方法,建立多目标区域水污染物总量行业优化分配模型。该模型以社会生产总值最大化与新增处理污染物费用最小化为目标,在满足环境、资源和行业规划等约束前提下获得各行业水环境容量的最优配额。以华北某市为背景进行了实例应用。结果表明,模型能够较好地协调经济、环境与资源的关系,实现了区域行业结构优化调整和资源优化配置,为水污染物总量控制提供了一种可借鉴的思路及可操作的方法。     

同轴波导FEL放大器的非线性分析

以同轴波导、同轴混合磁铁摇摆器为模型,导出了自洽的注波三维非线性方程组,在考虑了电子初始速度零散效应、空间电荷波效应的影响及电子注在互作用区入口处的绝热压缩过程的基础上,编制了相应的计算软件。同时,通过数值分析的方法研究了自由电子激光器的饱和效率、频带宽度等高频特性和变参数摇摆器结构对延缓饱和、提高效率的作用。     

股指期货最优套期保值与绩效评价——基于分位数回归的实证研究

针对股指期货套期保值的问题,利用分位数回归方法对沪深300指数中权重占前两位的股票的最优套期保值比率进行了实证测算和绩效评价,实证结果表明：运用分位数回归计算得到的最优套期保值比率都大于0.99,在不同分位点上,期货收益对现货收益的影响大小及变动情况存在明显差异。