提高宗地估价模型评估精度的应用研究

在实际的宗地估价过程中 ,会同时用到多种估价方法 ,其中应用地价模型对宗地进行估价 ,不失为一种科学、快捷的评估方法 ,尤其是与其他估价方法同时应用时 ,能起到相互验证和相互补充的作用。然而影响该方法对宗地地价评估结果的精度 ,关键是地价模型的预测精度。因此 ,从建立模型的源头开始 ,主要研究如何提高模型的预测精度 ,同时说明模型在实际应用中应注意的问题     

老舍小说的叙述学价值

对老舍高超小说技巧的研究,为建构中国叙事理论提供着基础.老舍整合了优秀的中国民间小说的细腻叙述、古典文学的篇章叙述和西方小说的叙事方法,丰富发展了叙事学理论.     

中国最早的爱情故事——《古列女传·有虞二妃》的文本结构

湘妃和虞舜的感情传说是中国最早的爱情故事,反映在《尚书》《山海经》《孟子》《楚辞》《史记》《列女传》等六大系文献中。在西汉时期汇编的《列女传》中,它被列在105篇传记的首位,称为"元始二妃",在发生的时间和编载的时间上都是最早的。从最初的记录开始,湘妃故事就包含曲折复杂的多层情节,具有明显的爱情因素,列为两性关系的正面典范,在中国文化观念中占据正统的地位。     

Simple graphical methods of displaying multiple clinical results

A common challenge in clinical research trials is for applied statistics to manage, analyse, summarize and report an enormous amount of data. Nowadays, due to advances in medical technology, situations frequently arise where it is difficult to display and interpret results. Consequently, a creative approach is required to summarize the main outcomes of the statistical analyses in a form which is easy to grasp, to interpret and possibly to remember. In this paper a number of clinical case studies are provided. Firstly, a topographical map of the brain summarizing P-values obtained from comparisons across different EEG sites; secondly, a bulls eye plot, showing the agreement between observers in different regions of the heart; thirdly, a pictorial table reporting inter- and intra-rater reliability scores of a speech assessment; fourthly a star-plot to deal with numerous questionnaire results and finally a correlogram to illustrate significant correlation values between two diagnostic tools. The intention of this paper is to encourage the effort of visual representations of multiple statistical outcomes. Such representations do not only embellish the report, but aid interpretation by conveying a specific statistical meaning.     

Examining Associations between Occupation and Health by using Routinely Collected Data

When examining a large number of associations simultaneously, as happens when routinely collected data are used to assess associations between occupation and health, it is not obvious how best to identify associations requiring further investigation since some risks may be high, or low, by chance alone. We have developed an approach to deal with this problem which is relatively easy to apply and appropriate to applications where data are not too sparse. Observed to expected ratios are estimated using an empirical Bayes procedure. Anomalous associations can be seen as outliers in a normal probability plot of the log-ratios. The method is illustrated in the analysis of 252 000 cancers registered in men in England during 1981–87.     

明遗民邱维屏生平考三则

邱维屏是明清之际著名学者、文学家、明朝遗民,而其生平事迹有若干不甚清晰之处,有碍对其人的进一步了解和研究。文献中或记其姓为“邱”,或记为“丘”,实则本作“丘”,雍正后为避孔子之名讳,才被写作“邱”。邱维屏成为明朝遗民始于其入翠微峰隐居,其具体时间史无明文,而考证有关记载可知,其始居翠微峰乃为顺治二年。邱维屏入清后曾为清朝官吏翟世琪讲《易》,反映其政治态度的变化。其讲《易》的具体时、地,亦是史无明文。经考证可知,实为康熙六年之七月底前在江西饶州府,康熙六年七月底至第二年上半年在九江、南京、莱芜、河津等北游途中,康熙七年下半年至八年在陕西韩城。     

Building marginal models for multiple ordinal measurements

Biomedical and psychosocial researchers increasingly utilize multiple indicators to assess an outcome of interest. We apply the ordinal estimating equations model for analysing this kind of measurement. We detail the special complexities of using this model to analyse clustered non-identical items and propose a workable model building strategy. Three graphical methods— cumulative log-odds, partial residual and Pearson residual plotting—are developed to diagnose the adequacy of models. The benefit of incorporating interitem associations and the trade-off between simple versus complex models are evaluated. Throughout the paper, an analysis to determine how measured impairments affect visual disability is used for illustration.     

论仙乡传说对唐传奇《柳毅传》的影响

从民间文学角度看,《柳毅传》享乐长生的主题、把凡人遇仙和人神相恋两种原型相结合的结构模式、采用情节单元组装故事的手法,都深受仙乡传说的影响。可以说,《柳毅传》是作者在吸取并改写民间仙乡传说的基础上形成的唐传奇名篇。     

中国民俗学学派方法论（上）

钟敬文教授倡议建立中国民俗学学派与多种研究方法,"最主要的,还是要考虑根据自己的研究对象和研究目的、并能切实解决问题的方法。"中国学派方法之源在于中国学者探索中国民俗事象的实践之中。学派是由一个个学者发展而来的。研究方法是渗透于一个个研究成果之中的。研究成果有赖于学者的研究精神、研究心态和研究方法。要从中国学者们80年的实践中梳理中国民俗学派研究方法。———顾颉刚的探索精神与历史地理研究方法。钟敬文倡导中国民俗学派、多民族一国民俗学及多种研究方法。姜彬倡导区域文化研究。段宝林倡导六维立体描写研究。各位学者各具特色的研究方法,汇成中国民俗学者学派多姿多彩的中国风格中国气派的研究方法。     

《西游记》的“七复”模式

<西游记>把传统文学的"七复"模式用为章回说部叙事节律的重要依据,扩大了"七复"模式应用于文学篇章结构的范围.同时,其以"七复"写神变的具体手法为独特的创造,至于观音菩萨为取经人"释厄"与"八百里"山与水"的循环暗藏"七复"之玄机,更是全书叙事之大密谛.<西游记>对"七复"模式的运用,不仅能化腐朽为神奇,而且别出心裁,为中国文学特别是小说叙事提供了新的经验,创造了新的典范.