Patterns of delinquent careers: An assessment of three perspectives

The literature on careers of juvenile delinquents has been divided as to whether or not career specialization occurs. It has recently been proposed that the careers of delinquents may be viewed as arising from a Markov process with the observed arrest histories the result of a series of stochastic events. This approach has considerable appeal for it provides a wealth of information about criminal behavior, including predictions concerning the length and diversification of a delinquent career, the long-run distribution of various types of crimes, the extent of specialization in delinquency, and offense switching over the course of a delinquent career. In the present paper, the career patterns for a sample of highly delinquent, incarcerated juveniles are investigated. Although some support is found for specialization in delinquent careers, especially among robbery offenders, the findings generally support situational theories of crime.     

The impact of family planning programs on fertility in developing countries: A critical evaluation

Controversy surrounds the question: do organized family planning programs produce fertility decline in developing countries that is independent of other causes? Two major conclusions emerge from this critical evaluation of 26 past studies on this question. First, the disparate results are associated with the differential validity of the studies. Second, the fertility declines or variations analyzed were generated mainly be indigenous causes, that is, they would have occurred and the means for bringing them about would have been available without family planning programs. Hence, the programs had little net effect on fertility.     

Organizing evaluation to serve the needs of program planners and managers

Evaluation is often both conceptually and functionally separate from program planning and operations management. Though program managers may not see themselves as served well by the work of evaluation staffs, there are a number of potentially beneficial side effects to be realized from close collaboration between program administrators and evaluators. These flow only when the evaluation task is broadly defined and when both administrators and evaluators recognize their interdependence. Particular functional benefits to management from evaluation are described. Characteristics of interorganizational relations which might increase the probability of their attainment are then outlined and discussed.     

泰国华商:开创南北行及其对香港转口贸易的贡献

泰国华商:开创南北行及其对香港转口贸易的贡献@王绵长$暨南大学东南亚研究所!广东广州510632~~     

上海建设全国海外投资中心研究

上海建设全国海外投资中心,包括完善国际金融市场体系、聚集国际金融机构、创新国际金融(衍生)产品和汇集国际金融人才等。上海建设全国海外投资中心的策略包括:积极推动建立相关产业的国际生产和服务体系;推动对外投资项目经营管理过程的持续改进;适度加大海外投资服务平台的项目融资支持;鼓励海外资本投资于高新技术领域等。上海海外投资中心的主要任务有:努力创新和推动有利于金融市场发展的各种新措施在上海先行先试;努力为对外投资企业提供更好的配套服务;继续推进不同层次金融市场的发展和建设。     

上海建立融资租赁交易平台研究

融资租赁是连接金融资本、商业资本和产业资本的纽带,是与银行信贷、证券并驾齐驱的三大融资工具之一,在当前经济趋于下行的经济环境下,上海建立融资租赁交易平台,将有助于在融资租赁行业大发展的浪潮中抢占先机,形成上海产业转型和拉动经济增长的重要抓手,加快国际金融、贸易和航运中心建设。上海构建全国性的融资租赁交易平台,在资金、机构、人才、物流、平台等方面具有综合资源优势。上海融资租赁交易平台应具有提供市场信息、撮合市场交易、登记公示物权、提供配套服务、规范市场行为、制定交易规则等基本功能。     

生产力促进中心咨询诊断服务的SWOT分析

生产力促进中心自建设发展以来,形成了多样化的服务业务。其中,咨询诊断服务不断衍化发展,已经成为服务中小企业的重要手段,积累了一定的优势,也存在着劣势。面对科技服务业迅猛发展的态势,生产力促进中心开展咨询诊断服务面临机遇与挑战并存的局面,通过基于SWOT分析法构建的评价模型,明确主要影响因素,进而推演出下一步发展的具体路径。     

区域副中心城市发展生产性服务业的机理分析

宝鸡作为关中-天水经济区副中心城市,具有雄厚的工业发展基础,当前正处产业结构转型升级的关键时期,首先,西安同质第二产业向宝鸡转移,就要求宝鸡积极发展生产性服务业,实现整合后的本地制造业与生产性服务业融合互动发展;另一方面,宝鸡应该角色转换,扮演西安生产性服务业服务供给的增压辐射角色,从而最终实现副中心城市和中心城市生产性服务业发展的衔接,进而完成区域生产性服务业服务供给的专业化全覆盖。     

International Statistical Activities

The growth of the health care industry places increasing strain on available resources. As in other areas of social policy, health statisticians and health data are increasingly expected to provide keys to rational decision making. To accomplish this goal, the statistician and decision-maker need to interact to an increasing degree. The current issues in health policy and the statistician's contribution to policy analysis are discussed in the context of the National Center for Health Statistics experience. While the article focuses on health, it has implications for statisticians and policy formation in other fields.     

金融聚集与金融中心发展之逻辑——兼论海西金融中心建设思路

从为交易服务的角度研究金融聚集和金融中心发展的逻辑,认为：金融聚集随着交易与贸易中心的转移而变迁,是交易信息汇聚、交易制度演进、交易市场化的结果,金融工具的标准化和证券化是金融聚集的核心手段,降低交易成本是促进金融聚集与发展的根本途径,金融定价技术和制度安排则是金融发展的信心基础。从金融分工的逻辑看,当前国际金融中心体系的发展已走过了简单的聚集模式,呈现出＂圈层＂分工发展特征。海西金融中心建设应遵循金融聚集和金融中心发展规律,建设专业性区域金融中心,以融入全国仍至亚太金融大格局的发展。