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221.
D. Firth & K. E. Bennett 《Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series B, Statistical methodology》1998,60(1):3-21
In the estimation of a population mean or total from a random sample, certain methods based on linear models are known to be automatically design consistent, regardless of how well the underlying model describes the population. A sufficient condition is identified for this type of robustness to model failure; the condition, which we call 'internal bias calibration', relates to the combination of a model and the method used to fit it. Included among the internally bias-calibrated models, in addition to the aforementioned linear models, are certain canonical link generalized linear models and nonparametric regressions constructed from them by a particular style of local likelihood fitting. Other models can often be made robust by using a suboptimal fitting method. Thus the class of model-based, but design consistent, analyses is enlarged to include more realistic models for certain types of survey variable such as binary indicators and counts. Particular applications discussed are the estimation of the size of a population subdomain, as arises in tax auditing for example, and the estimation of a bootstrap tail probability. 相似文献
222.
We derive an identity for nonparametric maximum likelihood estimators (NPMLE) and regularized MLEs in censored data models
which expresses the standardized maximum likelihood estimator in terms of the standardized empirical process. This identity
provides an effective starting point in proving both consistency and efficiency of NPMLE and regularized MLE. The identity
and corresponding method for proving efficiency is illustrated for the NPMLE in the univariate right-censored data model,
the regularized MLE in the current status data model and for an implicit NPMLE based on a mixture of right-censored and current
status data. Furthermore, a general algorithm for estimation of the limiting variance of the NPMLE is provided.
This revised version was published online in July 2006 with corrections to the Cover Date. 相似文献
223.
MONTSERRAT GUILLEN JENS P. NIELSEN ANA M. PEREZ-MARIN 《Scandinavian Journal of Statistics》2007,34(2):419-431
Abstract. The Nelson–Aalen estimator is well known to be an asymptotically efficient estimator of the cumulative hazard function, see Andersen et al. ( Statistical models based on counting processes , Springer-Verlag, New York, 1993) among many others. In this paper, we show that the efficiency of the Nelson–Aalen estimator can be considerably improved by using more information in the estimation process than the traditional Nelson–Aalen estimator uses. While our approach results in a biased estimator, the variance improvement is substantial. By optimizing the balance between the bias loss and the variance improvement, we obtain results on the efficiency gain. Several examples for known failure time distributions are used to illustrate these ideas. 相似文献
224.
Bayesian semiparametric inference is considered for a loglinear model. This model consists of a parametric component for the regression coefficients and a nonparametric component for the unknown error distribution. Bayesian analysis is studied for the case of a parametric prior on the regression coefficients and a mixture-of-Dirichlet-processes prior on the unknown error distribution. A Markov-chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method is developed to compute the features of the posterior distribution. A model selection method for obtaining a more parsimonious set of predictors is studied. The method adds indicator variables to the regression equation. The set of indicator variables represents all the possible subsets to be considered. A MCMC method is developed to search stochastically for the best subset. These procedures are applied to two examples, one with censored data. 相似文献
225.
The differential geometric framework of Amari (1982a, 1985) is applied to the study of some second order asymptotics related to the curvatures for exponential family nonlinear regression models, in which the observations are independent but not necessarily identically distributed. This paper presents a set of reasonable regularity conditions which are needed to study asymptotics from a geometric point of view in regression models. A new stochastic expansion of a first order efficient estimator is derived and used to study several asymptotic problems related to Fisher information in terms of curvatures. The bias and the covariance of the first order efficient estimator are also calculated according to the expansion. 相似文献
226.
Smoothing parameter selection in nonparametric regression using an improved Akaike information criterion 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
Clifford M. Hurvich Jeffrey S. Simonoff & Chih-Ling Tsai 《Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series B, Statistical methodology》1998,60(2):271-293
Many different methods have been proposed to construct nonparametric estimates of a smooth regression function, including local polynomial, (convolution) kernel and smoothing spline estimators. Each of these estimators uses a smoothing parameter to control the amount of smoothing performed on a given data set. In this paper an improved version of a criterion based on the Akaike information criterion (AIC), termed AICC , is derived and examined as a way to choose the smoothing parameter. Unlike plug-in methods, AICC can be used to choose smoothing parameters for any linear smoother, including local quadratic and smoothing spline estimators. The use of AICC avoids the large variability and tendency to undersmooth (compared with the actual minimizer of average squared error) seen when other 'classical' approaches (such as generalized cross-validation (GCV) or the AIC) are used to choose the smoothing parameter. Monte Carlo simulations demonstrate that the AICC -based smoothing parameter is competitive with a plug-in method (assuming that one exists) when the plug-in method works well but also performs well when the plug-in approach fails or is unavailable. 相似文献
227.
Interval-censored data arise in a wide variety of application and research areas such as, for example, AIDS studies (Kim et al ., 1993) and cancer research (Finkelstein, 1986; Becker & Melbye, 1991). Peto (1973) proposed a Newton–Raphson algorithm for obtaining a generalized maximum likelihood estimate (GMLE) of the survival function with interval-cen sored observations. Turnbull (1976) proposed a self-consistent algorithm for interval-censored data and obtained the same GMLE. Groeneboom & Wellner (1992) used the convex minorant algorithm for constructing an estimator of the survival function with "case 2" interval-censored data. However, as is known, the GMLE is not uniquely defined on the interval [0, ∞]. In addition, Turnbull's algorithm leads to a self-consistent equation which is not in the form of an integral equation. Large sample properties of the GMLE have not been previously examined because of, we believe, among other things, the lack of such an integral equation. In this paper, we present an EM algorithm for constructing a GMLE on [0, ∞]. The GMLE is expressed as a solution of an integral equation. More recently, with the help of this integral equation, Yu et al . (1997a, b) have shown that the GMLE is consistent and asymptotically normally distributed. An application of the proposed GMLE is presented 相似文献
228.
Tatsuya Kubokawa 《Revue canadienne de statistique》1990,18(1):59-62
For estimating powers of the generalized variance under a multivariate normal distribution with an unknown mean, the inadmissibility of the closest affine equivariant estimator is shown for the Pitman closeness criterion. 相似文献
229.
A. Stepanov 《Statistical Papers》2007,48(1):63-79
LetX
1,X
2, … be a sequence of i.i.d. random variables with some continuous distribution functionF. LetX(n) be then-th record value associated with this sequence and μ
n
−
, μ
n
+
be the variables that count the number of record values belonging to the random intervals(f−(X(n)), X(n)), (X(n), f+(X(n))), wheref−, f+ are two continuous functions satisfyingf−(x)<x, f+(x)>x. Properties of μ
n
−
, μ
n
+
are studied in the present paper. Some statistical applications connected with these variables are also provided. 相似文献
230.
The problem of variable selection is considered in high-dimensional partial linear regression under some model allowing for possibly functional variable. The procedure studied is that of nonconcave-penalized least squares. It is shown the existence of a √n/sn-consistent estimator for the vector of pn linear parameters in the model, even when pn tends to ∞ as the sample size n increases (sn denotes the number of influential variables). An oracle property is also obtained for the variable selection method, and the nonparametric rate of convergence is stated for the estimator of the nonlinear functional component of the model. Finally, a simulation study illustrates the finite sample size performance of our procedure. 相似文献