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81.
Herbert I. Weisberg Samprit Chatterjee Mukul Majumdar Edward L. Melnick Alan J. Oppenheim 《商业与经济统计学杂志》2013,31(2):275-278
The diagnostic tools examined in this article are applicable to regressions estimated with panel data or cross-sectional data drawn from a population with grouped structure. The diagnostic tools considered include (a) tests for the existence of group effects under both fixed and random effects models, (b) checks for outlying groups, and (c) specification tests for comparing the fixed and random effects models. A group-specific counterpart to the studentized residual is introduced. The methods are illustrated using a hedonic housing price regression. 相似文献
82.
We propose a sequential test for predictive ability for recursively assessing whether some economic variables have explanatory content for another variable. In the forecasting literature it is common to assess predictive ability by using “one-shot” tests at each estimation period. We show that this practice leads to size distortions, selects overfitted models and provides spurious evidence of in-sample predictive ability, and may lower the forecast accuracy of the model selected by the test. The usefulness of the proposed test is shown in well-known empirical applications to the real-time predictive content of money for output and the selection between linear and nonlinear models. 相似文献
83.
Charles A. Waite 《商业与经济统计学杂志》2013,31(4):400-401
Using recently developed statistical tools for analyzing cointegrated 1(2) data, this article models money, income, prices, and interest rates in Denmark. The final model describes the dynamic adjustment to short-run changes of the process, to deviations from long-run steady states, and to several political interventions. It provides new insights about the effects of the liberalization of trade and capital in a small open European economy. 相似文献
84.
Christoph Hanck 《统计学通讯:模拟与计算》2013,42(5):1051-1070
We propose new tests for panel cointegration by extending the panel unit root tests of Choi (2001) and Maddala and Wu (1999) to the panel cointegration case. The tests are flexible, intuitively appealing, and relatively easy to compute. We investigate the finite sample behavior in a simulation study. Several variants of the tests compare favorably in terms of both size and power with other widely used panel cointegration tests. 相似文献
85.
Shaowen Wu 《统计学通讯:模拟与计算》2013,42(8):1590-1604
We reinvestigate the empirical problem of lag length selection in unit root tests when using the augmented Dickey–Fuller test based on GLS-detrending. We extend the Ng and Perron (1995) work on this issue by applying the finite sample critical values calculated using the formulae proposed by Cheung and Lai (1995). Unlike Ng and Perron (2001) we find through simulation studies that the method of selecting lag length using the sequential t-test in the ADF regression of GLS-detrended series performs the best in most cases. 相似文献
86.
The proposed test detects deviations from randomness, without a priori distributional assumption, when observations are not independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.), which is suitable for our motivating stock market index data. Departures from i.i.d. are tested by subdividing data into subintervals and then using a conditional probability measure within intervals as a binomial test. This nonparametric test is designed to detect deviations of neighboring observations from randomness when the dataset consists of time series observations. Simulation results and a comparison with Lo and MacKinlay's (1988) variance ratio test showed that our proposed test is a competitive alternative. 相似文献
87.
The power-generalized Weibull probability distribution is very often used in survival analysis mainly because different values of its parameters allow for various shapes of hazard rate such as monotone increasing/decreasing, ∩-shaped, ∪-shaped, or constant. Modified chi-squared tests based on maximum likelihood estimators of parameters that are shown to be -consistent are proposed. Power of these tests against exponentiated Weibull, three-parameter Weibull, and generalized Weibull distributions is studied using Monte Carlo simulations. It is proposed to use the left-tailed rejection region because these tests are biased with respect to the above alternatives if one will use the right-tailed rejection region. It is also shown that power of the McCulloch test investigated can be two or three times higher than that of Nikulin–Rao–Robson test with respect to the alternatives considered if expected cell frequencies are about 5. 相似文献
88.
The study of the dependence between two medical diagnostic tests is an important issue in health research since it can modify the diagnosis and, therefore, the decision regarding a therapeutic treatment for an individual. In many practical situations, the diagnostic procedure includes the use of two tests, with outcomes on a continuous scale. For final classification, usually there is an additional “gold standard” or reference test. Considering binary test responses, we usually assume independence between tests or a joint binary structure for dependence. In this article, we introduce a simulation study assuming two dependent dichotomized tests using two copula function dependence structures in the presence or absence of verification bias. We compare the test parameter estimators obtained under copula structure dependence with those obtained assuming binary dependence or assuming independent tests. 相似文献
89.
In this article we review and compare a number of existing tests for detecting randomness in time series data, with emphasis on stock market index data. By comparing variance ratio tests with traditional statistical tests, we have the most extensive simulation comparison of such procedures. The investigated tests are compared over a diverse group of distributions, models, and stock market applications. In our stock market data analysis, the choice of data transformation can have a noticeable effect on test results. This study provides the reader with a guide as to which test and transformation is most appropriate for their use. 相似文献
90.