防欺诈的动态(t,n)认证加密方案

针对已有的共享认证加密方案不能有效抵制成员欺骗,不能动态调整验证成员的门限值,以及增加或删除验证者时,系统需重新给所有验证者分配新的密钥等安全缺陷,提出了一种基于动态秘密共享和认证加密算法的具有动态调整验证者门限值的共享认证加密方案。该方案可高效检测验证者的欺诈行为;用户自己选择秘密份额,系统中心不需向用户传送任何秘密信息;当有用户加入或退出系统时,其他用户不必更改自己的密钥。此外,签名者可根据消息的重要性,动态确定验证组中参与验证的门限值。     

Minimum,maximum, and average spherical prediction variances for central composite and box-behnken designs

Single value design optimality criteria are often considered when selecting a response surface design. An alternative to a single value criterion is to evaluate prediction variance properties throughout the experimental region and to graphically display the results in a variance dispersion graph (VDG) (Giovannitti-Jensen and Myers (1989)). Three properties of interest are the spherical average, maximum, and minimum prediction variances. Currently, a computer-intensive optimization algorithm is utilized to evaluate these prediction variance properties. It will be shown that the average, maximum, and minimum spherical prediction variances for central composite designs and Box-Behnken designs can be derived analytically. These three prediction variances can be expressed as functions of the radius and the design parameters. These functions provide exact spherical prediction variance values eliminating the implementation of extensive computing involving algorithms which do not guarantee convergence. This research is concerned with the theoretical development of these analytical forms. Results are presented for hyperspherical and hypercuboidal regions.     

Minimum variance unbiased estimation in a modified power series distribution and some of its applications

In this paper we study the minimum variance unbiased estimation in the modified power series distribution introduced by the author (1974a). Necessary and sufficient conditions for the existence of minimum variance unbiased estimate (MVUE) of the parameter based on sufficient statistics are obtained. These results are, then, applied to obtain MVUE of θ^r (r ≥ 1) for the generalized negative binomial and the decapitated generalized negative binomial distributions (Jain and Consul, 1971). Similar estimates are obtained for the generalized Poisson (Consul and Jain, 1973a) and the generalized logarithmic series distributions (Jain and Gupta, 1973). Several of the well-known results follow trivially from the results obtained here.     

Asymptotic design and estimation using linear splines

The estimation of a regression function g using linear splines is considered. The integrated mean square error is minimized using choice of estimator, allocation of observations and displacement of knots.     

A Locally Most Mean Powerful Based Score Test for ARCH and GARCH Regression Disturbances

This article considers the twin problems of testing for autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (ARCH) and generalized ARCH disturbances in the linear regression model. A feature of these testing problems, ignored by the standard Lagrange multiplier test, is that they are onesided in nature. A test that exploits this one-sided aspect is constructed based on the sum of the scores. The small-sample-size and power properties of two versions of this test under both normal and leptokurtic disturbances are investigated via a Monte Carlo experiment. The results indicate that both versions of the new test typically have superior power to two versions of the Lagrange multiplier test and possibly also more accurate asymptotic critical values.     

The Information Geometric Structure of Generalized Empirical Likelihood Estimators

The generalized empirical likelihood (GEL) method produces a class of estimators of parameters defined via general estimating equations. This class includes several important estimators, such as empirical likelihood (EL), exponential tilting (ET), and continuous updating estimators (CUE). We examine the information geometric structure of GEL estimators. We introduce a class of estimators closely related to the class of minimum divergence (MD) estimators and show that there is a one-to-one correspondence between this class and the class GEL.     

Composite Forecasting: An Integrated Approach and Optimality Reconsidered

This article shows when the theoretical Lagrange multiplier solution for combining forecasts has a regression representation. This solution is not optimal in general because it imposes a restriction on an otherwise more general linear form. The optimal linear predictor based on N forecasts is presented. This predictor is or is not a regression function depending on whether the latter function is linear. I also show that the Lagrange multiplier solution may often be nearly optimal. Hence, when estimating a composite forecast, the restriction imposed by this solution may prove useful. This observation is supported in an empirical example.     

Interaction Between Autocorrelation and Conditional Heteroscedasticity: A Random-Coefficient Approach

In applied econometrics, we tend to tackle specification problems one at a time rather than considering them jointly. This has serious consequences for statistical inference. One example of this is considering autocorrelation and autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (ARCH) separately. In this article we consider a linear regression model with random coefficient autoregressive disturbances that provides a convenient framework to analyze autocorrelation and ARCH simultaneously. Our stationarity conditions and testing results reveal the strong interaction between ARCH and autocorrelation. An empirical example of testing the unbiasedness of experts' expectations of inflation demonstrates that neglecting conditional heteroscedasticity or misspecifying the autocorrelation structure might result in unreliable inference.     

On Testing Sample Selection Bias Under the Multicollinearity Problem

This paper reviews and extends the literature on the finite sample behavior of tests for sample selection bias. Monte Carlo results show that, when the “multicollinearity problem” identified by Nawata (1993) is severe, (i) the t-test based on the Heckman-Greene variance estimator can be unreliable, (ii) the Likelihood Ratio test remains powerful, and (iii) nonnormality can be interpreted as severe sample selection bias by Maximum Likelihood methods, leading to negative Wald statistics. We also confirm previous findings (Leung and Yu, 1996) that the standard regression-based t-test (Heckman, 1979) and the asymptotically efficient Lagrange Multiplier test (Melino, 1982), are robust to nonnormality but have very little power.     

Testing for normally in censored regressions

This paper derives a Lagrange Multiplier test for normality in censored regressions. The test is derived against the generalized log-gamma distribution, in which normal is a special case. The resulting test statistic coincides to some extent with previously suggested score and conditional moment tests. Estimation of the variance is performed by using the matrix of second order derivatives in order to get an easy to use test statistic. Small sample performance of the test is studied and compared to other tests by Monte Carlo experiments.