q－Hermite多项式与Askey－Wilson积分

应用ｑ－微分算子研究了ｑ－Ｈｅｒｍｉｔｅ多项式，得到了若干结论．应用这些结论简洁地计算了Ａｓｋｅｙ－Ｗｉｌｓｏｎ积分．     

Psychotropic drug classification based on sleep–wake behaviour of rats

Summary.  The aim of the paper is to present methodology for the classification of potential psychotropic drugs on the basis of their activity. We first sketch the background of this class of drugs and then zoom in on so-called pharmacoelectroencephalogram studies. These data pose some statistical challenges. For classification purposes, we propose a flexible hierarchical discriminant analysis tool, allowing us to take the specific nature of the drug class into account, as well as the features of the mixed models, in combination with fractional polynomials, fitted to the electroencephalogram data. The method is evaluated against the background of existing methods. The method's performance is studied by using a comprehensive analysis of a large electroencephalogram data set.     

On some formulas for weighted sum of invariant polynomials of two matrix arguments

Some properties of the generalized binomial coefficients and new coefficients related to symmetric functions are discussed. Several formulas of the weighted sum of invariant polynomials of two matrix arguments which are useful in multivariate distribution theory are presented.     

Equally spaced design points in polynomial regression: A comparison of systematic sampling methods with the optimal design of experiments

In some situations an experimenter may desire to have equally spaced design points. Three methods of obtaining such points on the interval [—1,1]—namely systematic random sampling, centrally located systematic sampling, and a purposive systematic sampling method which includes the endpoints - 1 and 1 as two of the design points-are evaluated under the D-optimal and G-optimal criteria. These methods are also compared to the optimal designs in polynomial regression and to the limiting designs of Kiefer and Studden (1976).     

Forecasting of some; transformed series

The delta method is proposed as a. retransformation approach for coramputing forecasts for a nonstationary process (Z$inf:t$einf t, = 1, 2, ...), A derived variance stabilizing transformation technique is also used to compute forecasts, The performance of the two methods is compared to other techniques. Numerical results show that forecasts based on the variance stabilizing transformation method (VSTM) can lead to forecasts with a lower mean square error (MSE) as compared to other transformation techniqnes.     

Polynomial trends in time series

The J^* test which was previously proposed by the present author for the detection of a trend in a time series does not depend on any quantitative assumptions, but in the case of a polynomial trend it depends on its degree; if this degree is too high, the test cannot be applied. The author finds a bound of the significance level at which the test can be applied when the sample size, as well as a bound of the degree of the trend, are given. Asymptotic results are used only when we trust the asymptotic distribution of J^* under the null hypothesis.     

Estimating herd-specific force of infection by using random-effects models for clustered binary data and monotone fractional polynomials

Summary.  In veterinary epidemiology, we are often confronted with hierarchical or clustered data. Typically animals are grouped within herds, and consequently we cannot ignore the possibility of animals within herds being more alike than between herds. Based on a serological survey of bovine herpes virus type 1 in cattle, we describe a method for the estimation of herd-specific rates at which susceptible animals acquire the infection at different ages. In contrast with the population-averaged force of infection, this method allows us to model the herd-specific force of infection, allowing investigation of the variability between herds. A random-effects approach is used to account for the correlation in the data, allowing us to study both population-averaged and herd-specific force of infection. In contrast, generalized estimating equations can be used when interest is only in the population-averaged force of infection. Further, a flexible predictor model is needed to describe the dependence of covariates appropriately. Fractional polynomials as proposed by Royston and Altman offer such flexibility. However, the flexibility of this model should be restricted, since only positive forces of infection have a meaningful interpretation.     

Nonparametric analysis of ordinal categorical response data with factorial structure

A simple nonparametric method of analysis for contingency tables with an ordinal response and factorial treatment structure is described. The method involves a partition of Pearson's X ²_P-statistic by using orthogonal polynomials so that location and dispersion effects are estimated for each level of the explanatory variable. Analyses of variance are then performed on these effects to determine the important factors. The methods are applied to two examples, where consumers rate their liking for a product on an ordered categorical scale, one of which highlights the need to look at dispersion as well as location effects.     

AN EVALUATION OF NON-ITERATIVE METHODS FOR ESTIMATING THE LINEAR-BY-LINEAR PARAMETER OF ORDINAL LOG-LINEAR MODELS

Parameter estimation for association and log-linear models is an important aspect of the analysis of cross-classified categorical data. Classically, iterative procedures, including Newton's method and iterative scaling, have typically been used to calculate the maximum likelihood estimates of these parameters. An important special case occurs when the categorical variables are ordinal and this has received a considerable amount of attention for more than 20 years. This is because models for such cases involve the estimation of a parameter that quantifies the linear-by-linear association and is directly linked with the natural logarithm of the common odds ratio. The past five years has seen the development of non-iterative procedures for estimating the linear-by-linear parameter for ordinal log-linear models. Such procedures have been shown to lead to numerically equivalent estimates when compared with iterative, maximum likelihood estimates. Such procedures also enable the researcher to avoid some of the computational difficulties that commonly arise with iterative algorithms. This paper investigates and evaluates the performance of three non-iterative procedures for estimating this parameter by considering 14 contingency tables that have appeared in the statistical and allied literature. The estimation of the standard error of the association parameter is also considered.     

L'Hospital's Rule and the Central Limit Theorem

Beginning probability students are often confused by the use of Taylor polynomials in the proof of the central limit theorem. This article provides a proof of the central limit theorem based on L'Hospital's rule rather than on Taylor polynomials.