关于Fuzzy度量空间的集值映射的公共不动点

本文绘出了Fuzzy度量空间的集值映射的几个新的公共不动点定理，它们是文[1]～[4]等最近的主要结果的改进、统一和发展．     

Tests for the mean of a multivariate normal population

We study the problem of testing: H₀ : μ ∈ P against H₁ : μ ? P, based on a random sample of N observations from a p-dimensional normal distribution N_p(μ, Σ) with Σ > 0 and P a closed convex positively homogeneous set. We develop the likelihood-ratio test (LRT) for this problem. We show that the union-intersection principle leads to a test equivalent to the LRT. It also gives a large class of tests which are shown to be admissible by Stein's theorem (1956). Finally, we give the α-level cutoff points for the LRT.     

在不同文明撞击中发展的蒙古文学

在不同文明撞击下发展起来的蒙古文学，具有四个显著特征：其一，文化上的兼容性和自立性，导致了蒙古文学的繁荣发展和稳定生存。其二，民族历史的艰难历程和经济发展的淤滞延缓，决定了文学内容的相对集中和文体表述的趋于定型。其三，诗性的语言和直观的思维，确立了韵文作品的主导地位和创作模式的固定倾向。其四，深厚的民间文学传统，导致了口头文学与书面文学的相互交融。     

A New Approach to Volatility Modeling: The Factorial Hidden Markov Volatility Model

A new process—the factorial hidden Markov volatility (FHMV) model—is proposed to model financial returns or realized variances. Its dynamics are driven by a latent volatility process specified as a product of three components: a Markov chain controlling volatility persistence, an independent discrete process capable of generating jumps in the volatility, and a predictable (data-driven) process capturing the leverage effect. An economic interpretation is attached to each one of these components. Moreover, the Markov chain and jump components allow volatility to switch abruptly between thousands of states, and the transition matrix of the model is structured to generate a high degree of volatility persistence. An empirical study on six financial time series shows that the FHMV process compares favorably to state-of-the-art volatility models in terms of in-sample fit and out-of-sample forecasting performance over time horizons ranging from 1 to 100 days. Supplementary materials for this article are available online.     

Multivariate Stochastic Volatility: A Review

The literature on multivariate stochastic volatility (MSV) models has developed significantly over the last few years. This paper reviews the substantial literature on specification, estimation, and evaluation of MSV models. A wide range of MSV models is presented according to various categories, namely, (i) asymmetric models, (ii) factor models, (iii) time-varying correlation models, and (iv) alternative MSV specifications, including models based on the matrix exponential transformation, the Cholesky decomposition, and the Wishart autoregressive process. Alternative methods of estimation, including quasi-maximum likelihood, simulated maximum likelihood, and Markov chain Monte Carlo methods, are discussed and compared. Various methods of diagnostic checking and model comparison are also reviewed.     

Identification of multiple high leverage points in logistic regression

Leverage values are being used in regression diagnostics as measures of unusual observations in the X-space. Detection of high leverage observations or points is crucial due to their responsibility for masking outliers. In linear regression, high leverage points (HLP) are those that stand far apart from the center (mean) of the data and hence the most extreme points in the covariate space get the highest leverage. But Hosemer and Lemeshow [Applied logistic regression, Wiley, New York, 1980] pointed out that in logistic regression, the leverage measure contains a component which can make the leverage values of genuine HLP misleadingly very small and that creates problem in the correct identification of the cases. Attempts have been made to identify the HLP based on the median distances from the mean, but since they are designed for the identification of a single high leverage point they may not be very effective in the presence of multiple HLP due to their masking (false–negative) and swamping (false–positive) effects. In this paper we propose a new method for the identification of multiple HLP in logistic regression where the suspect cases are identified by a robust group deletion technique and they are confirmed using diagnostic techniques. The usefulness of the proposed method is then investigated through several well-known examples and a Monte Carlo simulation.     

Asymptotically Optimal Design Points for Rejection Algorithms

ABSTRACT

Very fast automatic rejection algorithms were developed recently which allow us to generate random variates from large classes of unimodal distributions. They require the choice of several design points which decompose the domain of the distribution into small sub-intervals. The optimal choice of these points is an important but unsolved problem. Therefore, we present an approach that allows us to characterize optimal design points in the asymptotic case (when their number tends to infinity) under mild regularity conditions. We describe a short algorithm to calculate these asymptotically optimal points in practice. Numerical experiments indicate that they are very close to optimal even when only six or seven design points are calculated.     

Robust Regression Using Data Partitioning and M-Estimation

We propose a new robust regression estimator using data partition technique and M estimation (DPM). The data partition technique is designed to define a small fixed number of subsets of the partitioned data set and to produce corresponding ordinary least square (OLS) fits in each subset, contrary to the resampling technique of existing robust estimators such as the least trimmed squares estimator. The proposed estimator shares a common strategy with the median ball algorithm estimator that is obtained from the OLS trial fits only on a fixed number of subsets of the data. We examine performance of the DPM estimator in the eleven challenging data sets and simulation studies. We also compare the DPM with the five commonly used robust estimators using empirical convergence rates relative to the OLS for clean data, robustness through mean squared error and bias, masking and swamping probabilities, the ability of detecting the known outliers, and the regression and affine equivariances.     

A Novel Collinearity-Influential Observation Diagnostic Measure Based on a Group Deletion Approach

High leverage points can induce or disrupt multicollinearity patterns in data. Observations responsible for this problem are generally known as collinearity-influential observations. A significant amount of published work on the identification of collinearity-influential observations exists; however, we show in this article that all commonly used detection techniques display greatly reduced sensitivity in the presence of multiple high leverage collinearity-influential observations. We propose a new measure based on a diagnostic robust group deletion approach. Some practical cutoff points for existing and developed diagnostics measures are also introduced. Numerical examples and simulation results show that the proposed measure provides significant improvement over the existing measures.     

Reliability Studies of the Log-Exponential Inverse Gaussian Distribution

In this article, we investigate the monotonicity of the density, failure rate, and mean residual life functions of the log-exponential inverse Gaussian distribution. It turns out that, in this case, the monotonicity of the density, failure rate, and mean residual life functions take different forms depending on the range of the parameters. Maximum likelihood estimators of the critical points of the density, failure rate, and mean residual life functions of the model are evaluated using Monte Carlo simulations. An example of a published data set is used to illustrate the estimation of the critical points.